Jose Fernandez vs taylor guerrieri
Taylor Guerrieri and Jose Fernandez seem to be two very similar prospects to me. Both throw mid to upper 90's/ with fernandez having what seems to be 3 above avg to plus pitches and 4th that is avg. Guerrieri seems to hav 2 plus pitches. My questions is which one do you take and why?
I understand fernandez is a year older, but i also understand Guerrieri has character concerns. Am I off base thinking they are about equal?
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Guerrieri's change isn't as far along as Fernandez's
and Fernandez throws two breaking pitches, but really only the curveball is above average. I’ve heard its wipeout, but I thought I heard that about the slider too. The diamondscape report gave his pitches a 60 FB / 55 CU / 45 SL / 40/45 (sorry, forget) CHG. The high-effort delivery has people thinking bullpen though. I don’t like Guerrieri’s lack of a third pitch but the fact that Fernandez is a year older, seemingly maxed out physically, and has his high-effort delivery all make me feel like Guerrieri is the slightly better prospect.
That being said, Fernandez seems safer and as a draft prospect he might be preferred to Guerrieri due to sign-ability. Fernandez is speculated to sign for slot, and would have pretty much anywhere in the first round, while Guerrieri has some more leverage. If one is 2 or 3x more expensive than the other I feel they are close enough that it could color the judgment of the two.
Guerrieri
His still is a touch better today and his ceiling is a touch higher. Though it is nitpicking as they are really close. I think Guerrieri has #1 potential and Fernandez has a very very good #2 potential. I like Guerrieri’s build, FB and CB are going to be plus or better and the CH will be at least avg but probably a touch above that. His cutter has potential if he decides to stick with it. I see Fernandez as having a plus FB (but not as dynamic as Guerrieri) and either his SL or CB might be plus. His CH will be avg. So he has the potential to have a 4 pitch arsenal I just like Guerrieri’s stuff a touch more.
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Year older?
Jose Fernandez (DOB 7.31.1992)
Taylor Guerrieri ( DOB 12.01.1992)

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