Devin Mesoraco: Does He Deserve More Love?
I posted here back in late March/early April that I drafted Reds catching prospect Devin Mesoraco in the UBA NL-only keeper league minors draft. I drafted him for three reasons: 1. he had a breakout year in 2010, 2. he was getting plenty of love from the prospect experts, and 3. he was close to being major league ready.
Prior to last year, his best season in the minors was in 2008 at Low A Dayton where he hit .261-.311-.399 with 9 HRs and 42 RBIs. He struck out in 21% and walked in 6% of his at bats that year. In 2009, his plate discipline improved as he increased his walk rate to almost 10%, but the strikeout rate also increased, to 24%.
In 2010, Mesoraco batted .302-.377-.587 with 26 HRs, 75 RBIs and an 80-43 K/BB rate across three levels of the minors-A+, AA and AAA. He cut his K rate down to 20% and, again, improved his walk rate to 10.8%. Of his 120 base hits, 56 went for extra base hits, so the power potential finally showed up during games.
This season he is hitting .327-.403-.551 with 8 HRs, 41 RBIs and a 43-25 K/BB rate. Of his 70 hits this season, 31 have gone for extra bases.
More on Mesoraco after the jump:
ESPN's Jason Grey had a nice writeup on Mesoraco on Thursday and mentioned that several things were holding Mesoraco back prior to his 2010 breakout season: 1. he was dealing with several hand injuries and a wrist injury, and 2. he was not serious about his workouts and game preparation. Grey also talked about a change in Mesoraco's approach at the plate:
Mesoraco also changed his hand positioning, dropping his hands to give him a better bat path and be more direct to the ball, resulting in him hitting the ball in the air more, which is obviously never a bad thing for a power hitter. It also helped him reduce the uppercut in his swing, allowing him to keep the bat in the hitting zone longer. The stocky right-handed hitter gets good leverage, uses his lower half well and gets good extension, and the changes helped him tap into his raw power better. I expect more of those doubles to turn into homers down the road.
More home runs are always a good thing when you are discussing a catching prospect for fantasy purposes. Grey also discussed his defense behind the plate and concluded that he thinks Mesoraco could be a 20+ HR hitter in the big leagues, and hit for a solid BA/OBP as well.
But it wasn't Grey's article that lead me to writing this article, it was an article published by Jason Parks over at Baseball Prospectus. Parks joined BP a few months ago and here is what Parks had to say about Mesoraco in an article where he ranks the top catching prospects in the minors currently:
Leader of the Pack (Present): Devin Mesoraco (Reds)
The Case For: Mesoraco is showing a middle-of-the-order bat from a premium defensive position, which basically makes him one of the most valuable prospects in the minors. At the plate, the soon-to-be 23-year-old has plus power, with a leveraged swing and plus-plus raw strength. Seriously, Mesoraco is an incredibly strong man. He can sell out a bit when looking for the power stroke, but his contact ability hasn’t suffered this season; in fact, he is barreling the ball like a plus-plus hitter. The hit tool itself is sound, meaning I think he can hit for average, but I don’t foresee a .300 hitter at the major-league level.
That first sentence caught me by surprise as I know I liked Mesoraco as a prospect, but Parks LOVES him. The
"middle of the order bat" comment is key for fantasy owners as the more at bats he gets, the more valuable he will be, and the fact that he COULD bat in the middle of a lineup does make him very valuable. There aren't many catchers who hit in the middle of their team's lineup right now. The ones that come to mind are: Buster Posey, Brian McCann, Carlos Santana, and Victor Martinez.
Mesoraco is currently batting cleanup for AAA Louisville for a team that includes other top prospects including first baseman/left fielder Yonder Alonso, outfielder Todd Frazier, shortstop Zach Cozart and former prospect Jeremy Hermida.
Mesoraco is currently blocked by Ramon Hernandez and Ryan Hanigan at the big league level, and there is a very small possibility that he gets called up before September, when rosters increase, but should an injury occur to either Hernandez or Hanigan, the Reds won't hesitate to call up their top prospect.
Hernandez is a free agent at the end of the season, and Hanigan is signed through 2013, but at a team friendly salary so playing time is not guaranteed. This leaves Mesoraco with a chance to play regularly at the big league level out of spring training next season.
Mesoraco is not one of the bigger hyped prospects in baseball, but he could impact your fantasy team as soon as this year, but more likely in 2012. The potential for 20+ HRs and a solid BA/OBP would rank him in the top 5-6 catchers in all of baseball. As an owner of Mesoraco, I am excited to see him hit in the big leagues, and fantasy owners in keeper leagues should not hesitate to pick him up if he is still available.
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yes he does
i dont know why a lot of people forget to mention him when they are talking about the top catching prospects…Not only will this kid be a great hitter, but from everything i have been reading, he will also stay behind the plate, unlike Montero
XB machine
.376 BABIP with a 34% LD rate… he should hit for a high average with a ton of extra base hits. Cincinnati should try and get him in the lineup as much as possible… any idea how he profiles at 3B? Even if he’s below average, I would think that bat would make up for it.
by another know it all on Jun 18, 2011 10:36 AM EDT reply actions
Never played there a day in his life
so I don’t think its worth it to try him there. If he’d played some infield in his time in the minors I’d think about it, but he’s been a C his whole career.
two months ago, I started to like Mesoraco more then Montero...
I still see Montero just key piece in trade for Felix, and also he wont stay behind the plate… so then the worst possible scenario is Montero DHing for Mariners…they still have Romine, and Gary Sanchez, so they could let Montero go…
so i m going at the end of the season to stash Mesoraco in my keeper league and keep him for another season, becasue Soto is pissing me off and Lucroy isnt something exciting…
before there was law, there were the Cowboys!!!
Felix Hernandez trade?
When, in July 2013?
Grandal
Either Mesoraco or Grandal is going to need to be used as trade bait at some point soon. I think Grandal is going to be the better major league catcher and would much prefer see the Reds trade Meso for pitching help.
I have Mesoraco way above Grandal right now
maybe the poster above is talking about defense which I suppose is debateable, but Mesoraco’s bat look way ahead of Grandal’s.
I don't know if I would say "way ahead"
Mesoraco certainly has more power, but I think Grandal’s K/BB rates are difficult to overlook. Honestly, I like ’em both.
by Charlie Scrabbles on Jun 18, 2011 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions
I might be underrating Grandal a bit, I'll admit
But while the K/BB numbers are good, I want to see how he does outside of a hitters environment before I truly judge his offensive ability (I realize the K/BB thing is independent of a hitters environment). A lot of my opinion on him comes from being skeptical of his swing mechanics, but obviously it matters more what the results are that he produces.
Why can't I prefer Grandal over Meso?
He’s proven to have a pretty good batting eye. Obviously I’d like to see him have similar success in AA, but In my opinion he is more likely to find success in the majors early on then Meso. I like them both though.
I'm having a hard time getting excited about catching prospects for fantasy purposes
We’ve had the golden trio of Wieters, Posey, and Santana entering the majors these past few years, with a few other good ones here and there, and none of them are really having the impact hoped/expected.
A lot of that is just because they’re in the catcher positions; Santana and Posey have suffered season-ending injuries in incidents directly related to playing catcher, and even then neither of them have really performed as hoped this season after having good rookie years.
I love Mesoraco, but in fantasy I’m not sure its worth investing that much in catcher. Sure, if you happen to hit on a guy that manages to be fairly durable and has good production that’s amazing, but the risks just seem so high it feels like it’d be a better investment to grab a different position player if possible.
I’m curious how other people feel about this; I’m probably a bit jaded by some of the flukish stuff that’s happened with some of these guys the past year or so.
+1
I agree 100%. Just like you said, we’ve seen Wieters, Posey and Santana all look like the next great catchers and all have had their issues. Sure Posey and Santana have been hurt, but that’s part of the risk of playing the position. For fantasy purposes I don’t think it’s worth investing in rookie catchers.
McCann
is an interesting name, as he’s been the guy I see as one possible outcome for Mesoraco. That’s clearly a best case scenario though. I’m not sure Mes well ever have McCann’s high level plate discipline either, but he’s no slouch, and his walk and strikeout rates are what I watch most. They’ve stabilized in a perfectly acceptable range for a guy with his pop.
As for more love?
I couldn’t (platonically and manfully) love him any more than I already do, Ray! lol
depends what happens with Hanigan and Hernandez up at the big club
Possible one gets dealt because they have meso ready, which would free up a spot. Also if one gets injured meso would probably get the call. September is the most likely date though, can’t see any situation where they wouldn’t call him up then.
Hernandez is not signed for next year, but Hanigan is. The Reds like Hernandez a great deal and he’s performed well for them, but I think they let him walk and bring up Mes next year if he isn’t up before that. Initially he would probably share time with Hanigan, but I could see him overtaking Hanigan in playing time eventually.
I think I read somewhere
that Mesoraco has been working on his Spanish, which is crucial when working with Cueto and Chapman (both of whom still speak through an interpreter much of the time) and probably doesn’t hurt with Volquez. Not sure how much English guys like Fisher and Arredondo speak either, but Hernandez augments his value as a defender and solid hitter in that respect. It’s easier to let him walk if Mes is halfway fluent. I’m not sure how much it helps with Chapman. Cuban is different enough from other Spanish dialects that it can take some work.
by blackoutyears on Jun 21, 2011 1:15 PM EDT up reply actions
interesting
thanks for the info. i remember reading that the Reds front office loves him and his work ethic.
Ray Guilfoyle
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by Ray Guilfoyle on Jun 22, 2011 1:28 AM EDT up reply actions

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