2011 Baseball Draft: John's Current Draft Board
John's Draft Board
This is how I have things currently. I change this every day, and the second 50 is particularly fluid. Signability is not factored in at all, and this is NOT a Mock Draft or prediction. It is my personal preference list, and it will probably look considerably different by Monday.
1) Anthony Rendon, 3B, Rice
2) Trevor Bauer, RHP, UCLA
3) Gerrit Cole, RHP, UCLA
4) Dylan Bundy, RHP, Oklahoma HS
5) Danny Hultzen, LHP, Virginia
6) Bubba Starling, OF, Kansas HS
7) Josh Bell, OF, Texas HS
8) Matt Barnes, RHP, Connecticut
9) Archie Bradley, RHP, Oklahoma HS
10) Taylor Guerrieri, RHP, South Carolina HS
11) Sonny Gray, RHP, Vanderbilt
12) Jed Bradley, LHP, Georgia Tech
13) Francisco Lindor, SS, Florida HS
14) Mikie Mahtook, OF, LSU
15) Daniel Norris, LHP, Tennessee HS
16) Taylor Jungmann, RHP, Texas
17) Brandon Nimmo, OF, Wyoming HS
18) Andrew Susac, C, Oregon State
19) Blake Swihart, C, New Mexico HS
20) George Springer, OF, UConn
20-A) Javier Baez, INF, Florida HS (Baez and Springer got accidently cut off when I transferred this from spreadsheet to word. I don't want to renumber everything but he goes here)
21) C.J. Cron, 1B, Utah
22) Kolten Wong, 2B, Hawaii
23) Tyler Anderson, LHP, Oregon
24) Alex Meyer, RHP, Kentucky
25) Brian Goodwin, OF, Miami-Dade CC
26) Robert Stephenson, RHP, California HS
27) Henry Owens, LHP, California HS
28) Jose Fernandez, RHP, Florida HS
29) Dillon Howard, RHP, Arkansas HS
30) Trevor Story, SS, Texas HS
31) Tyler Beede, RHP, Massachusetts HS
32) Jorge Lopez, RHP, Puerto Rico HS
33) Levi Michael, SS, South Carolina
34) Jackie Bradley, Jr, OF, South Carolina
35) Joe Ross, RHP, California HS
36) Dwight Smith, OF, Georgia HS
37) Cory Spangenberg, 3B, Indian River JC
38) Andrew Chafin, LHP, Kent State
39) Josh Osich, LHP, Oregon State
40) Derek Fisher, OF, Pennsylvania HS
41) Grayson Garvin, LHP, Vanderbilt
42) Adam Conley, LHP, Washington State
43) Hudson Boyd, RHP, Florida HS
44) Joe Panik, SS, St. John's
45) Sean Gilmartin, LHP, Florida State
46) Aaron Westlake, 1B, Vanderbilt
47) Jason Esposito, 3B, Vanderbilt
48) Michael Kelly, RHP, Florida HS
49) Granden Goetzman, OF, Florida HS
50) Connor Barron, SS, Mississippi HS
51) Alex Dickerson, OF, Indiana
52) Austin Hedges, C, California HS
53) Dillon Maples, RHP, North Carolina HS
54) Kyle Winkler, RHP, TCU
55) Tyler Goeddel, 3B, California HS
56) Anthony Meo, RHP, Coastal Carolina
57) Kes Carter, OF, Western Kentucky
58) Brad Miller, SS, Clemson
59) Jake Hager, SS, Nevada HS
60) Larry Greene, OF, Georgia HS
61) Travis Harrison, OF-3B, California HS
62) Michael Fulmer, RHP, Oklahoma HS
63) Tony Zych, RHP, Louisville
64) Chris Reed, LHP, Stanford
65) Andrew Gagnon, RHP, Long Beach State
66) Charlie Lowell, LHP, Wichita State
67) Williams Jerez, OF, New York HS
68) Ricky Oropesa, 1B, USC
69) Jace Peterson, SS, McNeese State University
70) Tyler Marlette, C, Florida HS
71) Dante Bichette Jr, OF, Florida HS
72) Kyle Crick, RHP, Texas HS
73) Bryan Brickhouse, RHP, Texas HS
74) Logan Verrett, RHP, Baylor
75) Keenyn Walker, OF, Central Arizona JC
76) J.R. Graham, RHP, Santa Clara
77) Navery Moore, RHP, Vanderbilt
78) Burch Smith, RHP, Oklahoma
79) Johnny Eierman, OF, Missouri HS
80) Ryan Wright, INF, University of Louisville
81) Brett Austin, C, North Carolina HS
82) Brandon Martin, SS, California HS
83) Lenny Linsky, RHP, Hawaii
84) Joe Musgrove, LHP, California HS
85) Noe Ramirez, RHP, Cal State Fullerton
86) Matt Dean, 3B, Texas HS
87) Dan Vogelbach, 1B, Florida HS
88) Nick Delmonico, C-1B, Tennessee HS
89) Cody Asche, 3B, Nebraska
90) Blake Snell, LHP, Washington HS
91) Amir Garrett, LHP, Nevada HS
92) Garrett Buechele, 3B, Oklahoma
93) James McCann, C, Arkansas
94) Jeff Soptic, RHP, Johnson County CC
95) Cam Gallagher, C, Pennsylvania HS
96) B.A. Vollmuth, 3B, Southern Mississippi
97) Nick Ahmed, SS, Connecticut
98) Chris Marlowe, RHP, Oklahoma State
99) Dillon Peters, LHP, Indiana HS
100) Mark Pope, RHP, Georgia Tech
101) Tom Robson, RHP, Canada HS
Matt Purke isn't on here right now because I don't know what to make of his health status. You can put him around 40 if you like. He'll be on the final list but I don't know where yet.
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Excellent this is fun to look at
I have Cody Asche juuuust inside the top 90 or so too like right where you have him.
Could I be mistaken or have you missed OF George Springer? -maybe you dislike him that much?
I think this board rules the only thing i can see that some may have different is SS/OF Larry Green up inside the top 50 or 40. I also have RHP Anthony Meo from Coastal Carolina up higher. But this is an awesome power board.
Glen Perkins is throwing 97 MPH in 2011 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell is he on?
Big fan of Juerys Familia and his repitoire
by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 1, 2011 4:19 PM EDT reply actions
no Springer
my first reaction…
by ThnkGoodnessforHowieRose on Jun 1, 2011 4:33 PM EDT up reply actions
having said that,
where did you have Springer?
by ThnkGoodnessforHowieRose on Jun 1, 2011 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions
I found Bauer incredibly intriguing.
Also intriguing is having Lindor down so low. Not sold on his bat?
Fans are typically idiots.
by The Typical Idiot Fan on Jun 1, 2011 4:21 PM EDT reply actions
I don't think Lindor is low at all thats about where i'd have him
Glen Perkins is throwing 97 MPH in 2011 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell is he on?
Big fan of Juerys Familia and his repitoire
by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 1, 2011 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions
yeah
how is 13 low?
Lance Berkman= Awesome, CJ Wilson= Jack@$$
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If you didn't know by now, my screen name is sarcastic
i think it only looks low if your team has been linked with him at #2
by FI2 on Jun 1, 2011 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions
Well, that and...
We’re talking about someone who is getting rave (like elite) reviews on his defense at short. If you can get a cornerstone defensive short stop who can also hit, that’s far more valuable than a lot of these other choices.
Since I doubt the defense will slump at the pro level, the confidence in the stick has to be the issue keeping him from being higher. I’ve seen other people mock draft him being picked in the teens area, but I thought there were reasons for that other than talent.
Fans are typically idiots.
by The Typical Idiot Fan on Jun 2, 2011 5:28 AM EDT up reply actions
Great stuff!
I especially like the all of the little-known sleepers you’ve added:
Jeff Soptic
Lenny Linsky
Jace Peterson
"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner
Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.
Another thing that stands out to me is
All the Florida High school prep starts that are on this board, and many others…
Theres a lot of them and they’re a talented bunch
from Lindor, to Goetzman, to Bichetter JR to Marlette, to RHP MIchael Kelly – this is a good year from Florida.
Glen Perkins is throwing 97 MPH in 2011 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell is he on?
Big fan of Juerys Familia and his repitoire
by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 1, 2011 4:31 PM EDT reply actions
Baez
I have him in the 15-20 range and you don’t have him top 101, interesting.
ugh
Yeah, baez is supposed to be 21. Not sure what happened there, him and Springer got cut off when i transferred this from spreadsheet to word.
Bell
Very aggressive ranking on Bell. Two questions about him: 1) Do you think he signs, even if a team gives him big money? 2) What’s his ceiling?
i like where Bell is at if he'd be an easier sign
I could of sen him to K.C. at #5 potentially.
Glen Perkins is throwing 97 MPH in 2011 !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! what the hell is he on?
Big fan of Juerys Familia and his repitoire
by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 1, 2011 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm
with you on that.
Da'Sean Butler - A Mountaineer Legend
by McCutchenIsTheTruth on Jun 1, 2011 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions
AQA
Probably after, but my docket is full right now….I am anchoring the draft coverage at Baseball Nation as well as doing all my stuff here.
by John Sickels on Jun 2, 2011 11:49 AM EDT up reply actions
On my own list
Top five that aren’t here (other than Purke):
Charles Tilson
Zach Cone
Phil Evans
Kevin Comer
Joshua Tobias
How close were they to making the list?
by cookiedabookie on Jun 1, 2011 9:47 PM EDT up reply actions
cone
Cone and Comer were pretty far away. the other guys were considered.
by John Sickels on Jun 2, 2011 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions
Josh Bell
A couple questions:
1 – Could the Cubs pick him at 9 if Starling is off the board?
2 – Would they have a real shot at luring him away from Texas?
3 – How would you parallel his rise to Jason Heyward’s in ’07?
Also, I have a question on Matt Barnes…how similar to Justin Verlander is he? I see some similarities in stuff, size, and mechanics, but was Verlander a notch or so higher than Barnes is coming out of college?
Oh and how large do you see the gap between...
Bell and Starling as? I have Bell as a better pure baseball player, while Starling is the better athlete with stronger defensive tools while still owning ridiculous bat potential. Close?
yeah
I agree on your take here, Bell has more polish, Starling a better athlete with better defense but also higher risk that he won’t hit as expected. They are pretty damn close
by John Sickels on Jun 2, 2011 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions
To put some numbers on their ceilings, does this seem reasonable? 30-30 potential for Starling, 30-40 HR potential for Bell? Maybe .280 avg for each, with Bell more likely to reach that avg?
This was my suspicion...
and it’s why I’m putting Bell over Starling. I have a way more faith in a player with Sale’s offensive profile.
Isn't Starling
essentially Donavan Tate without the same level of competition faced in HS?
by realitypolice on Jun 3, 2011 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions
There were more questions about Tate's hit tool
And we really don’t know how good Tate is. He’s been battling injuries since he signed a pro contract.
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my top 5 not on John's board
Interestingly, they’re all prepsters. In alphabetical order:
Nicky Delmonico, C/1B, Farragut HS (TN)
Philip Evans, LaCosta Canyon HS (CA)
Billy Flamion, OF, Central Catholic HS (CA)
Charlie Tilson, CF, New Trier HS (IL)
Josh Tobias, 2B, Southeast Guilford HS (NC)
Very curious as to why Flamion didn’t make John’s list in particular, given our previous discussion.
list
Delmonico is on my list.
Evans, Flamion, Tilson, and Tobias were all considered. Flamion and Tilson seem like their stock is down a bit. Evans and Tobias aren’t far off, 100-110 range.
by John Sickels on Jun 1, 2011 11:19 PM EDT up reply actions
makes sense
no idea how I missed Delmonico on your list (#88).
by AndrewTorrez on Jun 1, 2011 11:31 PM EDT up reply actions
What about Tyler Wilson?
I know he’s a senior and his stuff isn’t spectacular, but he seems very solid, a high floor sort of guy who could impress, any thoughts?
I like Wilson a lot, but I can’t see him going off the board before the 3rd round. There’s just so many other high-upside pitchers available.
"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner
Keep an eye on my son, Jake "The Jacksonville Rifle" Dunning. From SS to the mound - exclusively toeing the rubber since March 2010.
Derek Fisher
Glad to see he squeaked into your top 40. He seems to be leaning toward college (has scholorship to Virginia) but I also believe that some team might still risk an early selection on him anyway. As much as I would love to see my Pirates land him with their first pick of the second round, I’m thinking Tampa Bay, with all those comp selections in the first round will take him.
by rblythepittsteel on Jun 2, 2011 9:59 AM EDT reply actions
fisher
He could go in the late first round if he is signable. But he could drop pretty far if he isn’t.
by John Sickels on Jun 2, 2011 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions
I wouldnt take him right now
Based on the Scouting report that mentions he swings at a lot of balls and watches a lot of strikes go by. Something that you could hope he fixes in college, but not worth it for me, if drafting in the first 10 rounds.
Except
this is a change from last year, so he may be pressing. Wouldn’t be the first player to get draftitis, or make adjustments over the winter that don’t work. You scout a player like Fisher on his tools, and I don’t think those are in doubt. And he’s certainly not a guy you say needs to go to college. That’s for kids needing projection, which is definitively not him. If he goes early I think it will be because he’s worked out a deal with the team that drafts him. If he doesn’t, then it’s probably a sign that he’s indicated to all that he’s serious about UVA, and John’s right, that you’ll see a later round flier.
by blackoutyears on Jun 2, 2011 2:36 PM EDT up reply actions
Don't know much about anyone after the top 6 or so
But I like Bauer ahead of Cole.
Basis for Top 50
Is your list based on potential ceiling or some blend of other factors? Just trying to figure out if the Rockies should take Nimmo, Cron or Wong at #20.
TGFPR!!
balance
Mixture of ceiling with polish, weighted towards ceiling. No weight is given to signability or affordability.
by John Sickels on Jun 2, 2011 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions
What about Grayson Garvin?
….I would have thought he would be in the top 100.
CJ Cron
Must love Cron’s bat to be ranked #21 with no defensive value. Is he the best bat in this draft?
thoughts on winkler?
i feel like he might sneak up on some people
I am like your Dan Aykroyd and biglow would be Jane, the ignorant slut. -Chad
Winkler has been injured recently I believe
Not sure how that affects his draft status.
by blackoutyears on Jun 3, 2011 1:55 PM EDT up reply actions
If you would, please --
I was wondering if you could elaborate on a couple of Oklahoma HSers not named Bundy and Bradley — Fulmer (62) and Bradley’s teammate, Mason Hope. Thanks!
Big fan of Hope
Guy has a potential four pitches. Sits low 90’s, athletic build, shows some sharp break on his slider, good arm action on his change, and shows good spin on his curve. Could stand a little work on the delivery but is a good piece of clay to work with.
I think he is pretty well known in scouting community maybe not as much by others because of his teammate Bradley.
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Quick question
Isn’t the shortstop from Nevada named Jake Hager, not Jason?
Jose Flores: .831 OPS in High-A last year, 23 years old. This is his year. Update: .492 OPS in Double-A. Yeah, that's OPS. Perhaps this isn't his year.
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