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Prospect of the Day: Carlos Peguero, OF, Seattle Mariners


Prospect of the Day: Carlos Peguero

When the Seattle Mariners dumped Milton Bradley earlier this month, the immediate beneficiary was outfield prospect Carlos Peguero, promoted from Triple-A and installed in the  lineup. Is Peguero a long-term solution in left field?

Star-divide

     Peguero was signed by the Mariners as a free agent out of the Dominican Republic in 2005. Left-handed power is his best asset and he has a lot of it: he hit 31 homers in the California League in 2009 and another 23 last year for Double-A West Tennessee. In 511 career minor league games, Peguero hit 88 homers with an overall line of .271/.329/.497, including a .282/.345/.456 mark in Triple-A before his promotion.
    The power comes with some significant flaws. He has big problems with breaking balls and a very high strikeout rate, including 660 career minor league strikeouts and 34 in just 25 Triple-A games this year. In his first 17 major league games, he's fanned 19 times and drawn just two walks, though he also hit a double, a triple, and two home runs. Contact is always going to be an issue for him, and he'll never likely hit for much of a batting average without big improvements in his approach. However, he has the potential to be a 25-30 homer hitter if he can make the necessary adjustments.  
    Despite his 6-5, 245 pound frame, Peguero is a good athlete who runs well. He was error-prone in the minors, though he did show a strong throwing arm and enough range to play center field on occasion.
    At age 24, Peguero hasn't yet entered his peak seasons and still has slack on the classic development curve. He'll need that slack, as major league pitchers will quickly find the holes in his swing.

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24 is still somewhat young.

I like that he is 6.4 + 200 pounds and the fact that he struggles with the curveball and can strike out alot is just because he is a power hitter. I can actually see this guy hitting 25+ homers in the big leagues. Clearly he did do good in the minors and showed that he had alot of power.

by Jt Malley on May 30, 2011 8:08 AM EDT reply actions  

Curious to hear your perspective on a trio of M's outfields

Greg Halman, Peguero, and Johermyn Chavez have different skill sets, but power is the best tool for all three and strikeouts/pitch recognition has hampered the development of all three. I’d enjoy a comparison of all three, along with a guess at their ceiling vs. most likely outcome. Thanks,

by goyo70 on May 30, 2011 8:39 AM EDT reply actions   2 recs

His defense is pretty bad.

Get’s terrible reads on balls and takes strange routes to the ball. His power is fantastic though, as his first home run was 451 feet and ranks 21st on this years home run distance, in between guys like Matt Holliday and Ryan Howard.

by jackyz on May 30, 2011 3:34 PM EDT reply actions  

Defense not good overall

…but he did rob a HR earlier this season with a pretty incredible play that not a lot of players could make.

by FWBrodie on May 30, 2011 6:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Peguero at DH?

Looks like the M’s will be replacing Jack Cust with Jack Cust 2.0

by tenags on May 31, 2011 9:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

Cust can walk.

smk73’s Wily Mo Pena comparison is more apt, except Peguero has been worse at swinging at balls out of the strike zone (55%) and swinging strike rate (22%) than Pena. So, he’s a worse Wily Mo Pena.

Fans are typically idiots.

by The Typical Idiot Fan on May 31, 2011 4:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Like a mirror-image Wily Mo Pena

I'm white and I don't dance but that doesn't mean I have all the answers.

by smk73 on May 31, 2011 10:05 AM EDT reply actions  

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