Well, my thinking on the fourth overall pick has solidified some.  As much as I like the idea of the Orioles taking Bubba Starling, I don't think it is particularly realistic.  I also am having a very hard time seeing the Orioles passing on Danny Hultzen if he falls to them and Bundy is off the board.  I think the Orioles' board right now looks like: Rendon, Cole, Bundy, and Hultzen.  #5 is probably either Bauer or Archie Bradley, another high ceiling arm from Joe Jordan's home state, but I suspect that Bauer and Bradley only come into play if Rendon's medicals are bad.  While I would probably slot Starling fourth overall and possibly even third for the Orioles, I think that the goal here is to make the most realistic pick possible.

With my feelings about the fourth pick pretty set, I'm looking at what to do with the 64th overall pick.  As I mentioned before, Jordan habitually goes for the opposite of whatever he takes in the first round with his second pick, and considering that I expect to take a pitcher, I'm looking at hitters.  Jordan favors athletes when it comes to hitters in the second round, but the Orioles' system is starved for power hitters, so my goal is to find an athletic type with good power potential.  The pick is protected, and while the O's usually save their overslot spending for later rounds, I'm willing to go a bit off script here and think that with a protected pick and the possibility of hard slotting in the future, the O's will spend what it takes with this pick.  Names like Josh Tobias, Dwight Smith, Johnny Eierman or Billy Flamion are all good candidates, with Senquez Golson a dark horse due to lack of power.  If I'm looking instead for a pitcher, I will hope that Matt Purke falls this far, otherwise look at names like Joel Osich, Tyler Anderson, Hudson Boyd, Michael Kelly, Cody Kukuk, and Dillon Maples.  I think among the prep arms there is a big divide between Boyd/Kelly and Kukuk/Maples, so I hope that I can get one of the first four.

Thoughts?