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MOD: Houston Astros #1

This is the first Mock Organizational diary for the Astros, as we prepare for the mock draft to be held on this site on Saturday, June 4th. The Astros will be one of the most interesting teams to watch in this draft with a lot of questions to be answered.

We're going to do our best to collectively answer those questions, and then to reflect those answers in the picks we make for the first three rounds, at #11, #69 and #99.

Philosophy:

The Astros are undoubtedly in a rebuilding phase. They're in the midst of a rough season early on, but there are definitely signs of hope.

The rebuilding process is always an uncertain one, with the biggest question generally being: "How long will it take?" When it comes to the draft, that's a question worth considering. Should the team be focused on college players with the chance to help out and quickly turn the team around, or should perhaps higher upside high school players be taken, making the wait a bit longer, but with the chance to turn the team into a powerhouse down the road?

Or should that be irrelevant, and should our picks simply be the player we think is best, regardless of their level?

Positional Preference:

The Astros have some nice pieces in place, though how long they'll be with the team is up for debate. While Brett Wallace seems to have a good shot at locking down first base for the foreseeable future, other positions that are in good shape for now may not be down the road. Will the team hold onto Hunter Pence, Michael Bourn, Wandy Rodriguez, and Brett Myers for the long-term? Will the team soon look to move some of them simply to improve the financial situation or to get prospects that help in the future?

The point here being that, in my opinion, it's hard to look at the Astros and use the current team and farm system to make determinations about what position to target in the draft. The team's needs in a few years could be drastically different than the needs today. So while college, junior college or high school is worth debating, my thought is that the position the player plays at should probably be low on our priority list.

That said, is there a consensus among position players on whether pitching or hitting should be targeted?

Budget:

The budget for this draft is likely the most important question we need to answer. The new ownership group has made the draft a focus, but also talks about wisely spending money. 

I think it's certain the Astros will be willing to spend. They're certainly not going to cheap. But to what degree is debatable, and may come into play with the first round pick.

Would the team be willing to spend the big dollars needed to take/sign a player like Archie Bradley, Bubba Starling or even Dylan Bundy (not that they'll all be available at #11, but just for discussion sake)?

Even if the belief is that the Astros will have a big budget for the draft, how would that be spent? Buy a big ticket item in the first round and then focus on signability later? Focus on a signable player in the first round and then find expensive players that fall in rounds two and three? Or just be balanced across the board, not taking any guys with huge price tags, but always being able to take those with modest prices?

_______

These are the three areas I want to focus on with our first MOD, and I look forward to getting all of your feedback. Once we've got those parameters laid out, in the next MOD we'll start focusing on names that fit in. Feel free to share names you like in this thread, but we'll really start focusing on that in the next one.

Thanks, and I look forward to this process!

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In order:

1. Take high ceiling players. They don’t have to rush to the majors; the Astros need stars, which are in very short supply in their system.

2. I’m of the school of thought that says take a bat in this first round; the pitching is so deep that you’ll get quality in the second and third rounds.

3. I think the budget will be a problem, due to the fact that the ownership will be in transition. McLane will still be in charge at the time of the draft, and why would he approve going far over slot?

by lhb98 on May 17, 2011 4:10 PM EDT reply actions  

Can't be sure that new ownership didn't throw an extra few million into the pot

To cover over-slot spending for this year’s draft.

http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/

by Dan Strittmatter on May 17, 2011 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Or likewise

That the over-slot bonuses were included in the company budget the new owners signed off on.

by 4dizzle on May 17, 2011 4:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

BPA all the way.

Not a good farm, no particular timetable for competing, so projects are welcome – i.e. high school players in this/next year’s drafts, followed by college players in 2013/2014 drafts to build for a 2016/2017 competing period. Archie Bradley would be a dream come true, Alex Meyer would also be awesome.

http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/

by Dan Strittmatter on May 17, 2011 4:19 PM EDT reply actions  

Best player available. Make-up matters. Heck regime’s MO has been (generally been) high schoolers early, though with the crop of college arms in this draft, wouldn’t surprise me a bit at 11 (and in fact, given the arms in this draft across the board, I wouldn’t lean towards position players this time). As for money, there not seeing them make any HUGE deals, but there are no indications at all that over-slot would be an issue at all (not that it matters in this exercise, but I’m looking for them to take a couple of 1st-3rd round money guys in the later rounds in this draft).

FWIW, I’d stay away from Lindor. He certainly fits the mold… but… if you (in the name of the Astros) take yet another toolsy shortstop with iffy(?) bat, I’m going to lose it… Also, if Jungmann is still on the board, take him. If nothing else, it’ll earn you some goodwill from us Astros fans…

Good luck, and make us proud!!!

by streetjl on May 17, 2011 5:57 PM EDT reply actions  

I agree on not taking Lindor

There are safer players available, particularly in a system that already has its share of toolsy shortstops (that are looking like much better prospects these days than in the off-season).

This team could use some elite pitching or some pop in the lineup. If signability keeps teams away from Starling, that’s an easy choice. Otherwise, the best SP prospect remaining on your board, college or HS.

http://hasthelargehadroncolliderdestroyedtheworldyet.com/

by Dan Strittmatter on May 17, 2011 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

1st pick, I like Taylor Jungmann or Dylan Bundy.

by PeteyNhtown on May 19, 2011 1:46 PM EDT reply actions  

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