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Minor League Notes, May 14, 2011

Domonic Brown of the Philadelphia Phillies runs to third base during a spring training workout February 19 2011. (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)

**Phillies prospect Domonic Brown was showing no ill effects from his spring wrist injury, hitting .353/.425/.588 in his first nine games for Triple-A Lehigh Valley, with four walks and eight strikeouts in 34 at-bats. Rumors were swirling of an imminent promotion to Philadelphia, but he jammed his right thumb  this past Wednesday and could miss up to a week of action.

Star-divide


**After a difficult April, Detroit Tigers third base prospect Nick Castellanos has turned things around in May, hitting .327/.377/.612 and boosting his overall season line to .241/.288/.379 for Low-A West Michigan. The better May numbers are good to see from a player regarded as one of the best bats in the '10 high school class, though he's got to get a grip on the strike zone. Plate discipline was supposed to be one of his strengths, but he hasn't shown that yet this year, with an 8/33 BB/K in 116 at-bats. He's also struggling on defense, with an .849 fielding percentage and very poor range factor so far. The Tigers spent $3.45 million to sign him in the supplemental first round last June.

**We haven't mentioned Bryce Harper for a couple of weeks. What he's doing at Low-A Hagerstown is really amazing: .390/.467/.686 through 33 games, with eight homers, 17 walks, and 28 strikeouts in 118 at-bats. He's been especially hot since May 1st, hitting .469/.519/.694 this month. He's murdering lefties, murdering righties, hitting at home and on the road. About the only "flaw" is a strikeout rate that's a little higher than perfect, but considering everything else I don't think that's too relevant.

The main question now is, at what point do they promote him? He's just 18 years old, but it doesn't seem like the Sally League has a lot left to teach him. Still, I'd rather be too conservative than too aggressive with a talent like this one. If I were the Nationals, I'd leave him at Hagerstown until the end of June, at which point the promotion would come. But to where? Should he move up to High-A Potomac, or skip that level altogether and jump directly to Double-A to challenge him?

That question is what I'd be asking myself for the rest of May and June. You can make a case either way: you want to see how he can handle failure psychologically, and Double-A has a better chance of teaching him that than High-A. But on the other hand, you also want to teach him psychological patience, and making him go up one-level-at-a-time (even if he doesn't spend a huge amount of time at each level) might help with that.

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Potomac end of May, Harrisburg end of July

Naturally, I’m biased, but aside from A-Rod can you name another uber-prospect that was promoted from Low-A to AA without ill effect? This was brought up on NationalsProspects.com by one of our commenters:

Jason Heyward
Age 17 12 (rookie)
Age 18 120 (A), 7 (A+)
Age 19 49 (A+), 47 (AA), 3 (AAA)
Age 20 ML

Mike Trout
Age 17 39 (rookie), 5 (A)
Age 18 81 (A), 50 (A+)
Age 19 27 (AA) in progress

Andruw Jones
Age 17 63 (rookie)
Age 18 139 (A)
Age 19 66 (A+), 38(AA), 12 (AAA), 31 (ML)

To which I added
Elvis Andrus

Age 16 46 (rookie), 6 (adv. rookie)
Age 17 111 (A)
Age 18 126 (A+)
Age 19 118 (AA)
Age 20 MLB

by Sue Dinem on May 14, 2011 4:21 PM EDT reply actions  

Ken Griffey

Went from A to AA in 1988 before becoming the opening day CF in 1989.

by rwperu34 on May 14, 2011 10:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Funny thing

You add Elvis Andrus but not Justin Upton?

by rwperu34 on May 14, 2011 10:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes

Because I saw Andrus play in person and not Upton. But thanks for your facetiousness.

by Sue Dinem on May 15, 2011 6:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

Delmon Young

He’s another that skipped A+ with no ill effect and another I’d rate as a higher rated prospect in the low minors than Trout, Heyward, and Andrus.

by rwperu34 on May 14, 2011 10:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

really?
He’s another that skipped A+ with no ill effect

some would argue that the ill effect was his first few years in the majors.

by apoxonbothyourhouses on May 15, 2011 4:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

harper

Follow the arod path. Straight to AA in June and if he succeeds than the bigs in September…

by St.Steve on May 14, 2011 4:29 PM EDT reply actions  

Why would the Nationals, bring him up before the team is ready to compete?

I could see him getting a Sept. call up for ticket sales, but he won’t be on the roster until late 2012, imo.

by JD Sussman on May 14, 2011 4:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Its not like September counts for service time

Might as well let him get his feet wet with the big boys if he appears close to ready. As you mentioned, the extra interest and attendance would be nice to, especially if the team is already out of it and there isn’t much else to cheer about.

As for when he comes up, if he’s ready, why bother waiting until late 2012? I could see keeping him down long enough to get an extra year of team control, but I’ve never liked the idea of keeping down a guy who is ready just to save some money on the back end. If you make more money on the front end, you can reinvest it into the team sooner, get better sooner, and make more money from ticket sales for when (really if at this point with super 2 status) he makes more money on the back end.

by nixa37 on May 14, 2011 5:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

25 man

I think you need to be on the 25 man roster to accrue service time. I"m not 100% positive since I’ve never been able to get a concrete answer on this though.

by rwperu34 on May 14, 2011 10:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

What you're thinking of is option years.

A September call-up wont burn any option years. The option wont be burned up until the beginning of the next season when the player is optioned down to a minor league team. But they would most definitely accrue service time.

Fans are typically idiots.

by The Typical Idiot Fan on May 15, 2011 12:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

Why wait?

You never know when a team is going to gel and come together. For the Nats it could easily be 2012, so why not get Harper ready now?

IMO, they should move him to AA right now, and if he can handle it, get the call up after the break.

by rwperu34 on May 14, 2011 10:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah

I’m with this. This kid appears to be a real natural so why not reward him with a deserved promotion. Nobody ever seems to talk about how going slowly in the minors could be a problem as well. Kids could develop bad habits as they could find themselves unchallenged.

Naturally, you monitor how he does in AA. If there is even a hint of any problems (as John alluded to the slightly high K-rate in A ball), then leave him in AA the rest of the year.

by RedHopeful on May 14, 2011 10:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

With Boras as an agent, I would be very surprised if the Nats are able to afford Harper after 6 years. If I was them, I would make those 6 years count and leave him in the minors until they absolutely sure the team can compete.

That is, of course, unless he forces them to bring him up by demolishing minor league pitching.

by philiafan14364 on May 15, 2011 9:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

I say like you said let him play where he is now for a few months.

After this i would move him to High A and next year i would start him in AA and think he will be called up next year.

by Jt Malley on May 14, 2011 10:22 PM EDT reply actions  

Failure

He felt failure when he struggled before getting contacts or whatever.

by bezeerk on May 15, 2011 12:27 AM EDT reply actions  

Potomac is not the nicest field. I’ve read some rumors that he might skip that level for that reason. I think he’s next step is Harrisburg anyway.

by KSM on May 15, 2011 6:25 PM EDT reply actions  

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