MiLB Gameday 4/23
by auclairkeithbc on Apr 23, 2011 1:01 PM EDT
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PrintSome notables going today...
AAA - Mike Minor, Vin Mazzaro, Jordan Lyles, Michael Kirkman
AA - Casey Crosby, Randall Delgado, Nick Barnese, Juan Nicasio
High A - Tyler Skaggs, Allen Webster, Noel Arguelles, Jake Odorizzi, Deck McGuire, Alex Colome, Chad James, Jeurys Familia
Low A - Enny Romero, Mike Foltynewicz, Colton Cain
Still some TBDs and I'm sure I missed some others, but I figured I'd get it started anyway.
X k X k X a K x A X x C cX k X k X a K x A X x CX k X k X a K x A X x CX k X k X a K x A X x X k X k X a K x A X x CC
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Not minor leagues but . . .
Danny Hultzen going for UVA this morning due to rainout last night. Has a 1 hitter through 3 innings.
My question is this: Does anyone have an issue with the way he crouches all the time before he delivers? He seemingly crouches 6 – 12 inches in his stretch and then also before he begins his windup. I always thought a pitcher wanted to be taller and use his leg drive to deliver the pitch. Obviously the results have been fantastic so maybe this is a non-issue, but I just don’t see that kind of a crouch very often from big league pitchers.
The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. It reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.
I don't have a big issue with it
as I think he uses it as a way to balance and push. That said, there are far more knowledgeable folks on pitching mechanics out there than me ….
Hultzen tagged for a 6 spot in 6th
I think a lot of people are going to be curious if he can hold up his new found stuff and velo through the entire season. Haven’t heard anything on the inning or his stuff today, though, so maybe it’s not an issue.
Best pitching prospect nobody's talking about?
Juan Nicasio
15 IP, 20/1 K/BB, 1.80 ERA
Throwing for AA Tulsa today, John ranked him as a B prospect and said his stuff would translate well to AA. Looks good so far, won’t be under the radar much longer throwing like this
If everybody likes you, then either no one knows anything about you, or you're dead.
Fantasy Prospect Central: http://fantasyprospectcentral.blogspot.com/
Not sure nobody's talking about him
He was on quite a few people’s breakout lists going into the season. I, too, am a pretty big fan.
Agreed
Am a big fan too although now it seems as though this community is a bit more receptive to him after a couple of starts.
He’s already 24 so some might hold that against him a little bit but he’s virtually the quintessential Colorado arm in terms of his similarities to a couple of their current rotation placeholders & he has ver tangible upside. I like him quite a bit.
21 yr old C.J. Riefenhauser took a no hitter into the 7th for bowling green
even rays pitchers way under the radar are good
Cubs today
Nothing too interesting on the pitching front (rehabbing Ramon Ortiz in AAA), although one of my favorite sleepers/breakout possibilities is throwing in A+ in Nick Struck. Three semi-intriguing lefthanders are also scheduled to toe the rubber (Brooks Raley, Cam Greathouse, Graham Hicks).
Jays from Lansing
Carlos Perez: 3-5
Jake Marisnick: 1-2 triple 2 walks
those two keep doing their thing
an under the radar guy Crouse 0-2 walk and hit by pitch. .245/0.362/.490/.852 with 7 SB and good looking peripherals.
What do we think of Carlos Perez?
I love his K:BB ratio and his consistency as a hitter. Where does he end up on the top 100 next year?
Chris Wallace (C)
Astros sleeper went 4/5 last night with a homer and two triples. Currently second in the minors in OPS with 1.375 (and leads all single A hitters). He is old for the level, but keep an eye on him, a promotion has to be in the cards soon if he keeps this up.
http://www.crawfishboxes.com
On the positive side
He had a 2:1 GO:FO ratio.
by auclairkeithbc on Apr 23, 2011 5:04 PM EDT up reply actions
Woah.
I listened to his first two starts, and he was fantastic. I was wondering whether anyone would ever hit him this year.
Something must have been wrong.
Yeah that is two bad starts in a row now...
Hurt maybe?
Bullpen Banter's Top 100 Prospects for 2011!
- - - - - - - -
You can find my musings at Bullpen Banter and Beyond the Box Score.
An injury would make sense
He is missing location quite a bit lately, evident from his previous two starts. Might be trying to compensate.
Or he could just be a 20 year old in his first full season assignment
There will be days like this for almost every pitching prospect.
Bullpen Banter
Twitter Account: @Ioffridus
Fernando Martinez
With a pinch hit HR in his first game back.
I still think
He can turn into a star. Still younger than guys like Jennings and Brown.
by CaptainHowdy on Apr 23, 2011 8:00 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
I still like the bat
Don’t like the knee or long train of injuries
Bullpen Banter
Twitter Account: @Ioffridus
Agreed, the knees scare me.
I’m also not sold on his bat yet. I’m very interested in how he does this year.
Hak Ju Lee
Aka “The Korean Jose Reyes” lead of the game witha triple for Charlotte in the FSL.
"If my uniform doesn't get dirty, I haven't done anything in the baseball game." - Rickey Henderson
Arguelles
4.1 ip, 4 h, 2 r, 0 bb, 4 k
faced 18 batters and had 16 first pitch strikes.
again on a low pitch count but i’m not sure of the exact number.
R.I.P. cwhitman412, Frederick0220, & Mets2k9
http://twitter.com/doublestix
Mariot
2.2 ip, 2 h, 0 r, 0 bb, 2 k
not getting innings unfortunately because of the 7 inning games that Arguelles has started.
R.I.P. cwhitman412, Frederick0220, & Mets2k9
http://twitter.com/doublestix
surely he wont be in Hi A for too much longer, right?
seems like it hasnt been too much of a challenge. mid june or early july to AA?
Fire Everyone
by billybeingbilly on Apr 23, 2011 9:46 PM EDT up reply actions
you'd think he'd be on a bit of an accelerated time table
maybe they’ll want to be cautious since he’s still building stamina and arm strength, but if he keeps pitching like this, it’d be hard to keep him down.
R.I.P. cwhitman412, Frederick0220, & Mets2k9
http://twitter.com/doublestix
i think they'll be really cautious with the innings....
but i think they’ll accelerate his progression since he’s on a major league contract
Fire Everyone
by billybeingbilly on Apr 24, 2011 2:05 AM EDT up reply actions
Mark Rogers
2 ip, 3 h, 7 er, 5 bb, 3 k
is this guy ever going to throw enough strikes to be a successful MLB pitcher in any role. i know he was gaining a little steam last season but his last two starts have just been disasters. now 17 walks in 13 innings for season.
R.I.P. cwhitman412, Frederick0220, & Mets2k9
http://twitter.com/doublestix
Nashville Sounds
Zack Greinke is expected to throw 50 – 60 pitches tomorrow for the Sounds against the loaded Omaha lineup (Hosmer, Moustakas, Giavotella, Clint Robinson, Cain, & Lough).
The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. It reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.
Lawrie
2-3 so far. Finds a way to get on base.
Jeurys Familia
7 IP
3 H
8 K
3 BB
0 R
Labored in the 1st inning (single, BB, BB) but got out of it and cruised the rest of the way.
Mike Minor
Done for the day
6.2 IP
3 H
3 BB
8 K
1 ER
When’s this kid gonna get a chance to pitch in the majors? He’s definitely ready… probably needs an injury to get there though
Some Rangers
Roman Mendez: 5 IP | 8 H | 1 R | 1 ER | 2 BB | 6 SO | 1 HBP
Joe Wieland: 7.0 IP | 5 H | 0 R | 0 ER | 0 BB | 6 SO
Mike Olt: 2-6, 2B, 2K
Chris McGuinness: 2-4, 2 BB
Jake Skole: 1-3, 2 BB
>mfw
Paul Goldschmidt
Goldschmidt hit his 9th HR today
2-5, 2B, HR, 2K
Here are some of his peripherals, not including today’s game: .510 ISO, 23.1% BB%, 15.4% K%
Paul Goldschmidt
I’ts good to see this as I honestly never saw much difference between Goldschmidt & the much more ballyhooed Jerry Sands at the plate (& never hesitated to say it). The power is absolutely real here & I think he’ll see Arizona at some point in 2011. Very overlooked guy this offseason in my estimation.
It’s bittersweet just like when a favorite band gains mainstream acceptance, but Goldschmidt is on his way now. Godspeed, Paul.
Belt
First at bat after demotion = home run.
Jordan Lyles finally had a good night as well 7in 3h 0r 1bb 3k’s
Brandon Belt
I saw enough of Belt in the early going to come away impressed. He went 2-4 yesterday also & I think he profiles as an above average first baseman (if not considerably more) sooner than later
Also, to the Brett Wallace doubters
Slugged a couple doubles tonight and is currently batting .324/.392/.450 this season.
http://www.crawfishboxes.com
Slugging doubles
Many doubters thought he would not hit for the power needed for his position. You are basically supporting that argument when you single out that performance in my opinion.
by ROBERTS04 on Apr 23, 2011 11:43 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Are you actually trying to imply
That hitting two doubles is a bad thing? Really? Regardless, of course he isn’t going to have plus-plus power. It’s not his game. But last time I checked, power is only one part of offensive prowess.
If he can maintain anywhere close to this OBP, then he won’t need to hit for plus power to be a good player. Daric Barton was worth 4.9 WAR last season and he batted .273/.393/.405. (Of course, Barton is also a plus fielder, but I think Wallace’s glove has been underestimated and he will be at least average at 1B.) Billy Butler might be a likelier comparison; he batted .318/.388/.469 and was worth 3.4 WAR with below average fielding.
While I agree that Wallace will probably never be a star-level player, I think he will be a good one. I’ve disagreed strongly with those who were already jumping to call him a bust, and at the moment he’s proving me right with a .376 wOBA—with the major caveat of SSS of course.
http://www.crawfishboxes.com
The bad thing is that he's a first baseman with a .125 IsoP
Neither Barton nor Butler is a good comp for Wallace. Wallace has never shown anything like Barton’s (outstanding) walk rate, or anything like Butler’s contact ability. He’s got a high OBP at the moment because of an unsustainably high batting average. Once that goes away, what exactly will he do well?
by PissedMick on Apr 24, 2011 3:52 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
His walk rate is up to 10%
His strikeout rate is down to 19.7%. These aren’t amazing numbers out of context, but they’re good, and they’re great in context—the context being a young second year player who has consistently shown a pattern of hitting a lot of line drives and having a high BABIP. It means even once his BABIP normalizes, he should have maintain a high batting average (not this high) and a high OBP.
As far as power goes? It’s usually one of the last things to show up for a young slugger. .127 isn’t bad at this stage of his career. It’s right around MLB average. Not that ISO is even remotely stable at this point—you almost have to throw it out, the best numbers we have are walk rate and strikeout rate, and Wallace has improved both of those immensely.
http://www.crawfishboxes.com
And I'll repeat this twice just to emphasize
BABIP is a skill for hitters.
BABIP is a skill for hitters.
http://www.crawfishboxes.com
That's fantastic if you have any idea how to evaluate it.
Get back to me with your list of guys who run a .390+ BABIP. I’ll be right here.
by PissedMick on Apr 25, 2011 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Did I ever say his current BABIP was sustainable?
The fact is (and the point I was making), he can be a valuable everyday regular with his current plate discipline numbers and a normalized BABIP.
http://www.crawfishboxes.com
I do agree that the BB% so far is a great sign...
because Brett Wallace with a 6-7% walk rate (as his minor league career suggests) isn’t a good enough hitter to play first base full-time. If he can keep his strikeout rate at 20%, he’s probably a .280 hitter, and that .280/.350/.430 line a 10% walk rate would give him is reasonably valuable, I guess, in an off-year Michael Cuddyer kind of way.
Vin Mazzaro
7 IP
5 H
0 Runs
1 BB : 5 K
12 GO : 1 FO
The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. It reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.
Jake Odorizzi
6 ip, 4 h, 2 r, 1 bb, 10 k
20 k and 4 bb in 13 innings this year.
R.I.P. cwhitman412, Frederick0220, & Mets2k9
http://twitter.com/doublestix
Good stuff
I like Odorizzi. Barely 21 years old & constant improvement throughout his career thus far.
Jio Mier
1-2, HR, 3 BB, SO…. he’s actually hitting the ball this year…
Jarek __ 1-4, 2B, 2 SO [xbh machine]
Trayce Thompson __ 1-4, 2B, SO [game 1], then 2-5, SO, E in game 2
gary brown
3 for 5 with 1 homer
now hitting .361 with a .446 obp and a .890 ops
and 15 steals
I liked him, but mostly due to his ability to play center field above averagely
I expected he’d probably be at best a league average hitter, mostly due to his low-walk numbers. if he keeps getting on base the way he’s doing now, I think I might fall in love with him.
Josh Vitters w/ his 3rd HR
and Robert Whitenack gets the call to TN…we get to find out if his dominating start was for real
Triunfel
2-4, 2 2B. Now spotting a 35% xbh% and .200 ISO to go with his plus contact rate in the early going.
Obviously it’s early, and obviously he still doesn’t walk enough, but if he keeps showing this kind of power in the next few weeks I think it will be time to start talking about him as a legitimate prospect again. Not a blue-chipper of course – he needs to learn to take a walk to avoid topping out at Jose Lopez with less power, all of which makes for a profile that tops out at something less than an elite prospect – but back on the map.
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