FanPost

gore51 top-151 (50 write ups)

I had this lying around and with the low levels of discussion going on the site, I felt I might as well post it.

 

***** = My 5 personal "cheeseball" picks for 2010.

Rank Name Info
1 Mike Trout A cold weather state athlete who boasts tools across the board along with a combination of polish, all at the ripe young age of 19.  Trout should emerge as a defensive and offensive force at the top of the Angels lineup by late-2012.
2 Domonic Brown ***This ranking was prior to Brown's recent wrist injury***  Despite this injury, I still like Brown enough where I would keep him in my top-10, probably bumping him down to slot in at #6 between Teheran and Montero.  This speaks for Brown's athletic ability and upside.  He's got the tools for plus contact, power, speed, and defense and has already displayed these abilities at the AAA level.
3 Bryce Harper The top power prospect in all of the minor leagues, who also boasts exceptional arm strength and has a fire for the game that few can match.  Harper hasn't got the greatest contact ability, but hopefully he will be able to learn enough strike-zone discipline to tone down the K's and bring up the BB's.  He's got as much upside as anybody with the bat, but he's already a sturdily built man, and if he continues to gain mass, he will lose some of his athleticism and his defensive value will go down. 
4 Jeremy Hellickson The only knocks on Hellickson are injuries, and possibly not having ace upside.  Citing injury prone-ness in young minor leaguers is something I frown upon unless it is due to poor mechanics or a history of reckless endangerment.  Hellickson's motion doesn't worry me to the point where I'd lowering his ranking at all, and his command of his above average stuff makes him the top pitcher in the minor leagues.
5 Wil Myers Despite being moved off of C and into RF, Myers bat and athleticism are still strong enough to land him in the top 5.  He shows good contact, discipline, and power at the plate, and over time he should develop into at least a slightly above average RF but could develop into a plus defender depending on how well his route reading abilities are.
6 Julio Teheran Teheran is the 1b to Hellickson's 1a in terms of ranking pitching prospects.  Teheran shows true #1 ace potential, especially if he fills out his very skinny frame with muscle, providing more durability.  His 3 pitch mix is as good as anybody's in the minor leagues, and the Braves have a reputation of developing young arms.  Teheran could establish himself in the Braves rotation as soon as late-2011.
7 Jesus Montero Montero has one of the best bats in the minor leagues and it's nearly ready to be put on display at the major league level.  However, the same cannot be said for his defense, or his ultimate fielding position.  Currently a Catcher, his footwork and mobility behind the plate leave plenty to be desired, despite showing a strong throwing arm.  He's too slow to play the Outfield, and I don't think he could handle 3B, leaving him with 1B and DH.  If his technique behind the dish manages to improve, I could see Montero being a guy who catches 2 or 3 games a week, and DH's or plays 1B in the other games, but as it is now, I see him more as a fulltime 1B in the not so distant future.
8 Aroldis Chapman Chapman is electric, and if I was positive he was going to be established as a starting pitcher, he would have ranked even higher on the list.  That being said, Chapman has one of, if not the most devasting pitch in baseball in his 100+ MPH fastball.  What people forget, is that his #2 offering (slider) is nearly as devasting.  Chapman could be up with the big league Reds out of camp in the bullpen, or he could be sent to AAA to work on his ability as a starting pitcher, but wherever he goes, he'll be the most exciting pitcher around.
9 Shelby Miller Shelby Miller looks to be a future top of the rotation starter, with a solid 3 pitch mix, headlined by his hard fastball.  His command has improved since being drafted, and he put up great numbers in 2010.  Still, he's over a year away from the big league level, but as it is now, Miller could fight for to be the #1 pitching prospect in the minors by this time next year.
10 Dustin Ackley Ackley isn't going to hit for a lot of power, and his defense at 2B still needs work, but he's one of the guys most likely to get on base better than 40% of the time.  A great contact hitter, Ackley profiles more as a guy with a lot of singles and doubles than home runs, but even his power should be good enough to get him around 15 dingers per year, certainly an acceptable number from second base.
11 Matt Moore Moore has some of the best stuff from the left side in the minor leagues, and he only trails Aroldis Chapman for best LH pitching prospect.  He's been a pitcher of 2 seasons in 2009 and 2010, pitching like a dud in the first half, and being unhittable in the second half.  If he can put together a full season of this performance in 2011, he could be rivaling Julio Teheran and Shelby Miller for the honor of top pitching prospect entering the 2012 season.
12 Desmond Jennings Although Jennings will likely play out the 2011 season in AAA due to the arrival of Johnny Damon, it will only give him more seasoning before being exposed to a full season at the major league level.  He possess plus plus speed and the ability to take a walk, making him a dangerous threat at the top of a lineup.  He's a good defender in the outfield, making him a good player even if he does not develop power as some would hope.  If that happens, the Rays could have a true 5 tool/7 skill player on their hands.
13 Michael Pineda I really like Pineda, and it's easy to envision a time where he and Felix Hernandez form a devasting 1-2 punch rivalling anybody in baseball.  Pineda is a big man and uses his large frame to throw really hard.  His performances at all of his minor league stops have been good, but he has not gotten as much prospect love until now due to injuries.  If he stays healthy in 2011, look for him to be with the big league Mariners by September at the very latest.
14 Eric Hosmer Eric Hosmer is basically everything I'd look for in a 1B prospect.  He's close the the majors, produced at a high level, shows good athleticism, good knowledge of the strikezone, is not a right-right guy, and he can flat out mash.  That being said, if he loses the slightest bit out of his bat, he'll find himself more as an average player than a star.  Putting Hosmer in the #14 range seems low, but this is the highest I've ever rated a 1B prospect other than Justin Smoak, a guy who I still believe in to turn it around.
15 Manny Machado Machado is the top shortstop in all of minor league baseball, definitely some high praise for an 18 year old one year out of high school.  He's got mega upside with the bat, especially if he is able to stay at shortstop.  He'll get all of the opportunities in the world to stay at the position, but he may have to move off later in his career.  Nevertheless, his bat should be good enough to start wherever he is forced to play defensively.
16 Jameson Taillon A right handed arm with true ace potential, Taillon is still years away from making a major league impact, but his upside rivals any arm in the minor leagues.
17 Mike Moustakas I don't like Moustakas's bat as much as I like Hosmer's, and although Moustakas plays a more valuable position, I see him more as a slightly below average to average defender than anything more.
18 Mike Montgomery I love Montegomery and I see him as the top of the Royals slew of LH pitching prospects.  He has the most upside of any of the Royals arms, and their depth at the position should allow Montgomery to move slowly and gain better control over his impressive arsenal.
19 Kyle Drabek I really like Drabek's fastball curveball combination, and if he better develops his changeup, I could see him developing into an ace at the top of the Toronto rotation.  As it is now, I see him more as a good #2/#3 starter than a guy who can carry a staff.
20 Martin Perez Perez is still young, and despite a rough 2010, he's prospect star is still bright.  His fastball, changeup, curveball mix has the potential to be 3 plus pitches.  If Texas is smart, they will move Perez slowly, and allow him to gain a better feel for pitching, gaining better command and better consistency throughout a season.
21 Lonnie Chisenhall Chisenhall is close to the major leagues, and has a very good bat.  His defense looks to be average more than anything else at this point, but he looks to be a guy who can hit for average, take a walk, and hit for some power at the major league level.
22 John Lamb The second of KC's lefties, Lamb has more pitchability than Montgomery, but not as good of stuff.  Still, his 3 pitch mix is above average and should be featured as a good #2 starter for KC in a couple of years.
23 Jacob Turner The main concern I have with Turner's development into a future ace is that he plays for the Tigers, and organization with a history of fast tracking young arms.  I'm a strong believer in the Tampa Bay way of slowly promoting pitching prospects, and I hope Detroit takes it slow with Turner so that he has the best chance to meet his ace potential.
24 Zach Britton Britton doesn't have as much potential as your average top-25 prospect, but he is close to the majors, and gets groundballs at an extraordinary rate.  His fastball has great sinking action and is his best pitch.  If he develops his changeup into a good 3rd pitch, Britton could solidify himself as a good #2 starter for Baltimore.
25 Casey Kelly In his first full year of pitching in 2010, Kelly didn't put up the numbers expected after his tremendous half season in 2009.  Still, he should show strong command over all 3 of his pitches, and will put up big numbers at Petco when he makes in there in early-2012 at the latest.
26 Brandon Belt I like Belt, but as a 1B, I'm not sure if there is enough power to make him a star more than a good regular.
27 Mike Minor I love Minor and I think I have him ranked much too low.  His stuff looks much better than when he was drafted and he could produce for Atlanta as soon as opening day 2011.
28 Manny Banuelos He may never be a workhorse, but his stuff is good enough to be a quality big league starter, even if he's giving you 175 innings a year as opposed to 200.
29 Jarrod Parker Parker missed a great deal of time with Tommy John surgery, but looks like he could push the Diamondbacks to give him a big league job this year.
30 Kyle Gibson I really like Gibson, he gets a ton of groundballs and shows good control of his above average stuff.
31 Chris Sale The only reason Sale is at #31 instead of in the top-25 is the possibility that he ends up in the bullpen.  If the White Sox are smart, they'll give him every opportunity to start, as his value which be much higher pitching every 5th day rather than coming out of their pen.
32 Tyler Matzek If the reports that Matzek's velocity has returned, I may even have him too low at #32.  Regardless, I really like Matzek, and I look for him to have a strong 2011 campaign.
33 Gary Sanchez I really like Sanchez and I feel that he should be able to stay behind the dish.  Paired with his great bat, it should make for a quality all around package.
34 Freddie Freeman I don't feel like Freeman will be a star, but he's a good enough all around hitter to make him an above average 1B.
35 Brett Jackson Jackson should boast an above average bat with above average defense from CF.  He's one of those guys who is above average at everything, and at the very least, he should be a stable CF for the Cubs.
36 Jason Kipnis Kipnis has hit at every level, and should put up good contact, walk, and power numbers from 2B.  If his defense continues to improve, Kipnis could turn himself into a star player.
37 Trey McNutt I like McNutt quite a bit.  He's got a good frame, good fastball, and good command.  If he can develop his changup into a good 3rd pitch, he has #2 starter upside.
38 Jean Segura If Segura can successfully switch to SS, he has a good chance to be a #25 guy entering 2011.  He has a good bat, and great speed, so even if he has to move back to 2B, he's still a good enough player to look for leading off a major league lineup down the road.
39 Jose Iglesias Iglesias is the best defensive SS in the minor leagues, and if he can hit enough to be just league average, he will be a great overall player.
40 Aaron Hicks Hicks is a toolshed in CF and if he starts turning the tools into skills, he has the making of a star CF for Minnesota.
41 Jordan Lyles Lyles best attribute is his pitchability, which is a little worrisome putting him in a top-50 without knockout stuff.  That being said, I'm confident enough that his command and pitching know-how are good enough where the stuff won't be that big of a worry.
42 Jenrry Mejia Mejia's arm is electric, and if the Mets give him time to work on pitches to go behind his fastball, he could reward them by turning into a front of the rotation pitcher.
43 Chris Archer Archer's fastball is a true plus plus pitch, combining good velocity with good movement.  His control is shaky, but I'm confident Tampa Bay will give him enough minor league time to iron out all the kinks he has with his stuff and command.
44 Miguel Sano I doubt Sano stays at 3B long term, but regardless of his future position, his bat is good enough where it won't make that much of a difference.
45 Dee Gordon I really really love Gordon, possibly to the extent that I'm overrating him at #45.  He hasn't put up excellent numbers at any minor league stop, but he hasn't been playing the game his whole life, and I expect both the bat and glove to improve over time.
46 Zack Wheeler I like Wheeler quite a lot (or maybe it's my Giants bias shining through), and I'm looking for big things out of him in 2011.
47 Dellin Betances Betances is huge, just like his upside (bada bing).  He'll need to refind his command in order to reach that upside, but if everything goes right, he looks like a top of the rotation candidate.
48 Jarred Cosart Cosart had injury issues in 2010, but if he puts those behind him in 2011, he could emerge as a top-25 prospect.
49 Alex White White has a high floor and good upside.  I like him more Cleveland's most recent 1st rounder by the slimmest of margins.
50 Drew Pomeranz Pomeranz has the stuff to be a #1 starter, especially coming from the left side.  If he gains better command, this upside will look much more achievable than it is currently.
51 Travis D'Arnaud
52 Wilin Rosario
53 Brody Colvin
54 Randall Delgado
55 Derek Norris
56 Devin Mesoraco
57 Simon Castro
58 Matt Dominguez
59 Tony Sanchez
60 Jake Odorizzi
61 Wilmer Flores
62 Arodys Vizcaino
63 Brett Lawrie
64 Grant Green
65 Nick Franklin
66 Jurickson Profar
67 Danny Espinosa
68 Christian Colon
69 Danny Duffy
70 Anthony Ranuado
71 Hak-Ju Lee
72 Jonathan Singleton
73 Stetson Allie
74 Nolan Arenado
75 Andrew Brackman
76 Carlos Perez (TOR)
77 Nick Castellanos
78 Billy Hamilton
79 Chris Dwyer
80 Alex Wimmers
81 Andy Oliver
82 Michael Choice
83 Tyler Chatwood
84 Alex Colome
85 Zach Stewart
86 Garrett Richards
87 Matt Harvey
88 Drake Britton
89 Yasmani Grandal
90 Hank Conger
91 Deck McGuire
92 Joe Benson
93 Zack Cox
94 Jaff Decker
95 Tyler Skaggs
96 Gary Brown
97 Zach Lee
98 Peter Tago *****
99 Jake McGee
100 Robbie Erlin
101 Kaleb Cowart
102 Chad Bettis *****
103 Engel Beltre
104 Wilson Ramos
105 Jason Knapp *****
106 A.J. Cole
107 Anthony Gose
108 Brent Morel
109 Trayvon Robinson
110 Matt Lipka
111 Austin Romine
112 Mark Rogers
113 Asher Wojciechowski *****
114 Reymond Fuentes
115 Craig Kimbrel
116 Rudy Owens
117 Sammy Solis *****
118 Rubby de la Rosa
119 Trevor May
120 Jonathan Villar
121 J.P. Arencibia
122 Alex Torres
123 Nick Hagadone
124 Oscar Tejeda
125 Deryk Hooker
126 Noah Syndergaard
127 Tyrell Jenkins
128 Nick Weglarz
129 Neil Ramirez *****
130 Carlos Perez (ATL)
131 Brett Eibner
132 Aaron Sanchez
133 Jeremy Jeffress
134 Josh Sale
135 Mike Foltynewicz
136 Jesse Biddle
137 James Darnell
138 Garin Cecchini
139 Oswaldo Arcia
140 Carlos Matias
141 Drew Cumberland
142 Andrelton Simmons
143 Chris Carter
144 Adeiny Hecevarria
145 Ben Revere
146 Tyrell Jenkins
147 Delino Deshields
148 Matt Davidson
149 Brandon Workman
150 Mycal Givens
151 Kenley Jansen
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