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2011 Rule 5 Baseball Draft Results and Reports

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Here are the results of the 2011 Rule 5 Baseball Draft, with scouting summaries for each player.

1) Houston Astros: Rhiner Cruz, RHP, from Mets: A 25-year-old right-hander from the Dominican Republic, Cruz posted a 2.77 ERA with an 18/6 K/BB in 13 innings for High-A St. Lucie, followed by a 4.14 ERA with a 51/39 K/BB in 59 innings for Double-A Binghamton. Owner of a 95 MPH fastball, Cruz also has an erratic slider and a history of serious command problems. He could slot into a middle relief role but won't get a chance to close without huge improvements in his strike-throwing ability.

2) Minnesota Twins: Terry Doyle, RHP, from White Sox: Chicago drafted Doyle in the 37th round in 2008 from Boston College. He had an excellent season in '11, posting a 2.84 ERA with a 49/11 K/BB in 73 innings for High-A Winston-Salem, then a 3.24 ERA with a 73/22 K/BB in 100 innings for Double-A Birmingham. He followed that up with a 1.98 ERA and a 22/5 K/BB in 27 innings in the Arizona Fall League. Age 26, Doyle has a mediocre fastball in the 87-90 range, but he mixes in his breaking ball and changeup very effectively and throws strikes. He could end up being a useful fifth starter, and Minnesota seems like a good fit for his skills.

3) Seattle Mariners: Lucas Luetge, LHP, from Brewers: Luetge was a 21st round pick in 2008 out of Rice. At age 24, he posted a 3.13 ERA with a 69/23 K/BB in 69 innings for Double-A Huntsville this year, and held left-handed hitters to a .175 average. His fastball is average in the upper-80s, but he has an impressive curveball, and would fit well as a left-handed short man, the LOOGY (lefty-one-out-guy) role.

4) Baltimore Orioles: Ryan Flaherty, 3B-OF, from Cubs:
A supplemental first-round pick in 2008 out of Vanderbilt, 25-year-old Flaherty hit .305/.384/.523 with 14 homers in 83 games for Double-A Tennessee, but just .237/.277/.399 in 49 games for Triple-A Iowa. His biggest problem has been finding a position. His range is very limited as a middle infielder, he's error-prone at third base, and doesn't excite scouts much as an outfielder. Although he's never lived up fully to expectations coming out of college, Flaherty could be a useful super-utility type with a bat that flashes power.

Star-divide


5) Kansas City Royals: Cesar Cabral, LHP, from Red Sox. Traded to Yankees. A 22-year-old Dominican lefty, Cabral posted a 1.62 ERA in 17 innings for High-A Salem with a 24/5 K/BB, then a 3.52 ERA with a 46/16 K/BB in 38 innings for Double-A Portland. He has pitched excellently in the Dominican Winter League this year, with a 12/2 K/BB in 10 innings and a 0.87 ERA. He has a 90-95 MPH fastball and a good changeup, but is still refining his breaking ball. He picks up a lot of ground balls. Cabral was involved in the '10 Rule 5, going from Boston to Tampa, but was returned to the Red Sox in spring training. The Royals traded him to the Yankees after selecting him this year.

6) Chicago Cubs: Lendy Castillo, RHP, from Phillies:
Castillo was signed out of the Dominican Republic in 2006. He posted a 2.54 ERA with a 46/16 K/BB in 46 innings for Low-A Lakewood in the South Atlantic League this year. A converted shortstop, the 22-year-old Castillo has taken well to pitching and has classic middle relief stuff with a low-to-mid-90s fastball and a slider. His lack of pitching experience above Low-A is his biggest handicap.

8) Pittsburgh Pirates: Gustavo Nunez, SS, from Tigers:
A Dominican signed in 2007, Nunez hit .304/.368/.431 with 14 steals in 62 games for High-A Lakeland in '11, followed by a much weaker .215/.252/.289 mark in 34 games for Double-A Erie. A line drive hitter, the 23-year-old has good speed but lacks power and struggles against pitchers with above-average stuff. He is better on defense, where he shows above-average range and a strong throwing arm. He could have a long career as a utility infielder.

21) Atlanta Braves: Robert Fish, LHP, from Angels:
A sixth-round pick in 2006 from high school in California, Fish at age 23 posted a 3.26 ERA with a 41/18 K/BB and a 1.88 GO/AO in 30 innings this year for Double-A Arkansas. He had an unusual reverse platoon split: right-handers hit .161 against him, lefties .256. Fish can hit 94 MPH but his breaking ball and command are erratic, and his track record is very mixed. Scouts love his arm strength but he is more thrower than pitcher. He was also selected in the Rule 5 draft in 2010 by the Yankees but didn't stick.

22) St. Louis Cardinals: Eric Komatsu, OF, from Nationals:
Komatsu was drafted by the Brewers in the eighth round in 2008 from Cal State Fullerton. 24 years old, he was traded to the Nationals for Jerry Hairston Junior this past summer. He hit .277/.367/.382 in 124 games in Double-A this year, with 21 steals and 64 walks. The 24-year-old runs well and has a good eye at the plate, but lacks substantial power and profiles as a reserve outfielder.

23) Boston Red Sox: Marwin Gonzalez, 3B, from Cubs: Traded to Astros:
A 22-year-old switch-hitter signed out of Venezuela in 2005, Gonzalez hit .301/.359/.421 in 64 games for Double-A Tennessee, then .274/.326/.376 in 60 games for Triple-A Iowa. He's currently hitting .321 in 28 games of winter ball in Venezuela. Gonzalez is a defense-first player who can handle shortstop, second base, third base, and even has experience at center field and first base. He won't hit a lot but he could stick in Houston as a reserve.

25) Arizona Diamondbacks: Brett Lorin, RHP, from Pirates:
Lorin is 24 years old and was drafted in the fifth round by the Mariners in 2008. The Pirates got him in the Ian Snell/Jack Wilson trade in 2009. Lorin posted a 2.84 ERA with a 99/19 K/BB in 117 innings for High-A Bradenton this year, after missing most of 2010 with a hip injury. He has a mediocre fastball in the upper-80s, but has a good slider, changes speeds well, and throws strikes. He could be a fifth starter or long reliever.

29) New York Yankees: Brad Meyers, RHP, from Nationals:
Age 26, Meyers posted an amazing 38/0 K/BB in 36 innings for Double-A Harrisburg this year with a 2.48 ERA, followed by a 3.48 ERA with a 74/15 K/BB in 96 innings for Triple-A Syracuse. His fastball is mediocre at 87-90 MPH, but his exquisite control helps play up the quality of his slider, curveball, and changeup. Like Lorin, he could be very useful as a fifth starter or long reliever, but might have an uphill battle to stick in New York.

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Duarte

Some guy named Marco Duarte who pitched in the Mexican League last year. The Astros got him in the minor league portion of today’s Rule 5. I don’t know anything about Duarte at this point.

by John Sickels on Dec 8, 2011 1:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Agreed

Lefties that can throw 99 don’t grow on trees, lack of command and off-field issues nowithstanding

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Dec 8, 2011 4:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Cubs fans are a little confused...

…why the team went into the Rule 5 draft with fewer than 40 players on its 40-man roster and Ryan Flaherty left off of it. I have no quibbles with the description above, but he still seems like the kind of guy who could help a team lacking a third baseman.

"[The Cubs] have a very famous tradition in baseball, and it will be nice to be part of turning it around." ~ Jamie Quirk, Bench Coach

by daver on Dec 8, 2011 3:01 PM EST reply actions  

I didn't like the decision

Largely because the Cubs still need to fill the final few 40 spots with a couple upper level, versatile positional players. I also think Flaherty can be, say, a .260/.350/.440 type of guy with enough AB’s.

All that said, considering his age, and the presence of 3 utility type guys ahead of him, plus the need to roster Lake’s upside, I somewhat understand the decision as Flaherty didn’t have a position to call home and had a poor run in AAA (where he was expanding the zone from what I saw).

I’m disappointed, but not going to lose sleep over either loss (I’m not that enthused about Lendy Castillo’s chances to stick – debatable if he beats out a guy with a better fastball in Marco Mateo, and Mateo was already borderline). Very happy Dae-Eun Rhee is back, and that was all that mattered to me.

by toonsterwu on Dec 8, 2011 9:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Same

Rhee was the guy I was afraid to lose. Isn’t Mateo recovering from TJS?

by RynoRooter on Dec 9, 2011 12:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Nah

Mateo is pitching in winter ball, and doing quite well, actually. I think he’s in the Dominican.

by Mulhollandmania on Dec 12, 2011 1:22 AM EST up reply actions  

Makes sense.

I wonder whether Theo & Jed are leaving open the 40-man roster spots for international signings.

"[The Cubs] have a very famous tradition in baseball, and it will be nice to be part of turning it around." ~ Jamie Quirk, Bench Coach

by daver on Dec 9, 2011 1:18 PM EST up reply actions  

surprised jiwan james didnt go

thought he could have been a serviceable defender and maybe a Darren Ford type off the bench…

by James Westfall on Dec 8, 2011 3:40 PM EST reply actions  

In addition to Valiquette and James who I thought would get taken

I thought Johan Yan might get selected. I’m intrigued by sidearmers and the Rangers have a pretty decent record of converting position players to pitcher.

Trevor Reckling seemed to generate a lot of buzz too, kinda thought he’d get taken.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Dec 8, 2011 4:01 PM EST reply actions  

i agree 100% with you on both of those guys.

I’m surprised nobody took a flier on either Wynn Pelzer or Josh Smoker as well.

Adoptive father of 18th round draft pick and future ace, BRANDON ALLEN

by Nnamdi Asomugha on Dec 8, 2011 4:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Was Jefry Marte eligible to picked in the minor league phase?

Adoptive father of 18th round draft pick and future ace, BRANDON ALLEN

by Nnamdi Asomugha on Dec 8, 2011 4:38 PM EST reply actions  

would he have to be placed on the 40 man roster?

Adoptive father of 18th round draft pick and future ace, BRANDON ALLEN

by Nnamdi Asomugha on Dec 8, 2011 4:46 PM EST up reply actions  

YES

Adoptive father of 18th round draft pick and future ace, BRANDON ALLEN

by Nnamdi Asomugha on Dec 8, 2011 9:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Some of these guys

Like Barnese, Rhee, Jiwan James I think are definitely talented but you also have to factor they have to sit on a MLB roster all year long, and how do you stash a guy like that? They probably need more development and it will be hard to hide them. Whereas a guy like Komatsu who isn’t much of a prospect anyway can probably help you a bit as a 4th OF but no more upside than that, or a glove guy like Marwin Gonzalez can help you defensively.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Dec 8, 2011 10:38 PM EST up reply actions  

idk i figure its worth having a guy like barnese be your 12th man out of the bullpen

if it means hes under team control for the future. idk, just seems cost effective to me, especially for a team lacking prospects.

Adoptive father of 18th round draft pick and future ace, BRANDON ALLEN

by Nnamdi Asomugha on Dec 9, 2011 3:20 AM EST up reply actions  

John

Who do you think stands a good chance of sticking? I would guess Flaherty, but I’m not really that convinced any of the rest will stick.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Dec 8, 2011 10:36 PM EST reply actions  

Good point

I agree.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Dec 8, 2011 11:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Thinking differently

It’s easier to carry a super-utility limited-hit rule 5 guy on your MLB roster for the full season when you have solid hitting positional regulars than when you have a sketchy starting lineup like the Astros will field, particularly in this era of 12- and 13-man pitching staffs. See Michael Martinez of the Phillies as a textbook example from last season. Gonzalez would be very unlikely to stick on Houston’s MLB roster for the full season given how offensively challenged their lineup projects to be; if he sticks in the Astros system for the long term, it’s because the Cubs and Astros have struck up a deal to grant Houston his full rights.

by reillocity on Dec 9, 2011 12:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Who do you have

starting at SS in Houston? Since they have 2 rule 5 guys, they’re punting anyway.

10-25-2011. Theo Epstein joins the Cubs. Now, the fun begins.

by timh815 on Dec 9, 2011 12:37 PM EST up reply actions  

For those pre-September stretches of the season when the Astros will inevitably carry 13 pitchers

their bench would feature Gonzalez, a back-up catcher, and two other position players. That isn’t nearly enough firepower for an NL manager to have in reserve, even one of a club that might not win 60 games. From your club’s perspective, I would think that the Cubs would be inclined to let Gonzalez stay in the Houston system (allowing Houston the in-season flexibility to option Gonzalez down when necessary) since they’ve got Castro and Lake in their organization and probably would prefer an experienced utility type moving forward. A team carrying two active rule 5 guys simultaneously is likely just about unheard of. Of the two draftees, it’s much easier to bury the reliever Cruz in the bullpen as their last relief option than to give up one of the few bench spots to Gonzalez.

by reillocity on Dec 9, 2011 3:51 PM EST up reply actions  

I wouldn't be too sure about that

I think the Cubs would probably take Marwin back if he was offered. It somewhat depends on when he is offered, but right now, they need to find a shortstop in AAA. Keep in mind that there were those in the organization that were high on him and some believed that he would still add some power in time. Their IF “depth” in the upper levels has been thinned out with the loss of Marwin/Ryan/DJ, all guys that were potentially slated for AAA,. Add in that Lake isn’t expected to stick at short, and if the Cubs get him back and don’t have to put him on the 40 (which was the big issue now), I think they’d take him.

by toonsterwu on Dec 9, 2011 10:35 PM EST up reply actions  

There's no way the Cubs would let Gonzalez...

walk to a rival (even if just for 1 year) for only $25k. If the Astros offered something more, then maybe they’ll consider it, because Gonzalez isn’t a huge loss… still no reason to help a team out just because.

--------------------------------
Just North of Wrigley Field

@JamesDaBear

by jameslcrockett on Dec 11, 2011 9:17 PM EST up reply actions  

WTF Minnesota

They have 5th starters coming out of their ears… They don’t need another one. I’d rather them grab potentially high upside talent that might be able to stick in the pen for a year… I’d think a guy like Ceasar Cabral would have been a good fit… live arm and lefty… could possibly be an effective loogy for a season and then get sent down for some seasoning…

by diehardtwinsfan on Dec 10, 2011 9:08 AM EST reply actions  

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