Prospects in the Trevor Cahill Trade
Prospects in the Trevor Cahill Trade
The Oakland Athletics and Arizona Diamondbacks made a major trade on Friday, December 9th. Oakland shipped starting pitcher Trevor Cahill and reliever Craig Breslow to the desert in exchange for a pair of pitching prospects, Jarrod Parker and Ryan Cook, plus outfielder Collin Cowgill.
Here is my take on the prospects involved.
Ryan Cook, RHP: A 24-year-old right-hander, Cook was drafted by Arizona in the 27th round in 2008, from the University of Southern California. He was very effective in the minors this year, posting a 2.21 ERA with a 62/22 K/BB in 61 innings, with 41 hits allowed, between Double-A Mobile and Triple-A Reno, collecting 19 saves. He received a major league trial but got hammered, giving up 11 hits, eight walks, and six runs in 7.2 innings.
Cook throws quite hard in the bullpen, hitting 94-97 MPH and touching 100 at times. He offers a slider and splitter, but his command wasn't good enough in the majors, granted the sample size was small. If he throws strikes, his stuff would fit well in middle relief and it isn't impossible for him to pick up some saves eventually, if the command truly comes around.
Collin Cowgill, OF: Another product of Arizona's 2008 draft, Cowgill was a fifth round pick from the University of Kentucky. Age 25, he is undersized at 5-9, 185. He hits right-handed but throws left, a combination which usually annoys scouts.
Cowgill certainly annoyed pitchers in Triple-A in '11, hitting .354/.430/.554 with 13 homers, 51 walks, and 30 steals for Reno. The park/league environment helped him, and he was much less effective in the majors, hitting .239/.300/.304 with 28 strikeouts in 92 at-bats for the Diamondbacks. At his best, he works counts well, draws walks, steals bases, produces moderate power, and is a very good defensive outfielder with a strong throwing arm.
He's athletic and has better tools than most players his size, but scouts wonder if his swing will work against major league pitching. However, Cowgill has shown the ability to make adjustments before, and he has a good chance to have a long career as a fourth outfielder.
Jarrod Parker, RHP: Parker is a 23-year-old right-hander drafted in the first round in 2007 from high school in Ossian, Indiana. He missed 2010 recovering from Tommy John surgery, but he came back healthy and effective in 2011, going 11-8, 3.79 with a 112/55 K/BB ratio in 131 at-bats for Double-A Mobile, allowing 112 hits.
Parker is the big prize in this trade, thanks to a 92-96 MPH fastball. He worked hard on developing his changeup this year, using it more often than his slider at times, and it's a solid offering. The slider was nasty before the surgery and while it has lost some bite, it is still very good. He also has a reasonable curveball that could use more development.
Parker's combination of four pitches is overpowering when he's on, and while his secondary pitches still need a bit of refinement, most scouts think he'll develop into a rotation anchor as an ideal number two starter. Although his command still wobbles at times, his recovery from surgery was impressive and I am giving him a Grade A- in the 2012 Baseball Prospect Book. With the injury receding rapidly in the rearview mirror, Parker could be even better in '12.
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i think it was fair.
I think it helps AZ in the short-run by getting a solid young #3 in Cahill (who throws a comparable sinker to former dback great brandon webb) and Cahill is signed to a team friendly deal so that helps. plus they traded from a position of strength (bradley, bauer, skaggs, brewer, etc.)
by James Westfall on Dec 10, 2011 9:32 PM EST up reply actions
All of these Brandon Webb references
Really need to be put aside. Nobody has a comparable sinker to Brandon Webb.
Founder and Chairman of the Send Dan Some Pizzeria Bianco Commission (SDSPBC). SDSPBC is a totally, definitely for-profit organization.
by Dan Strittmatter on Dec 10, 2011 10:31 PM EST up reply actions
Halladay?
Da'Sean Butler - A Mountaineer Legend
by McCutchenIsTheTruth on Dec 10, 2011 10:54 PM EST up reply actions
Cutter?
Founder and Chairman of the Send Dan Some Pizzeria Bianco Commission (SDSPBC). SDSPBC is a totally, definitely for-profit organization.
by Dan Strittmatter on Dec 11, 2011 9:26 PM EST up reply actions
What separates Webb's sinker from other elite GB pitchers?
Serious question
Ability to spot it wherever he wanted once he figured things out
And most importantly IMO, the arm-side movement it had. Aside from remarkable depth and sharpness, it would run away from lefties and towards righties, letting him backdoor the pitch against righties, starting way out of the zone in an area that nobody looks to swing and ending up on the outside black. He did it all the time, and got gobs of K’s off of it.
Founder and Chairman of the Send Dan Some Pizzeria Bianco Commission (SDSPBC). SDSPBC is a totally, definitely for-profit organization.
by Dan Strittmatter on Dec 11, 2011 9:26 PM EST up reply actions
Okay so he was basically just a good sinkerball pitcher
He’s not the first or the last. And every sinker is going to have a ton of arm-side movement. That’s how the pitch is spun, with mostly side-spin instead of backspin.
Webb is a pretty unique GB pitcher
For his career, he averaged 65% GB rate.
Derek Lowe managed to do that twice in 2006-2007. Fausto Carmona managed it in 2007 as well. Tim Hudson managed it once in 2010. I only bothered looking as far back as 2004, when Webb really started.
Really, if you look at it from a career standpoint, only Lowe is comparable as a sinkerballer.
Not sure what “basically just a good sinkerball pitcher” means, or “he’s not the first or the last”, but I think it’s impossible to deny that the guy was pretty unique.
by blue bulldog on Dec 11, 2011 10:18 PM EST up reply actions
I'm sorry, but I'm not buying "Nobody has a comparable sinker to Brandon Webb"
That’s pretty much what this is coming down to. Webb had a great sinker and he’s certainly one of the better sinker pitchers since 2004 (which as you admit is as far back as you went), but he isn’t THAT unique. You mention Lowe for instance, but you’re numbers don’t do him justice. In his actual prime, he was every bit the GB machine that Webb was. From 2002-2007, Lowe put of GB rates of 67%, 66%, 62%, 63%, 67%, and 65%. I’d say that compares pretty favorably to Webb’s 64.2% career rate (which lets be honest really only covers his prime at this point).
well Webb's shoulder injury
means that his prime is the only thing we’re going to be able to get
i can’t tell you why his sinker is better than other GB artists. but i think if you just look at his results, it’s obvious that Webb is in a classification of his own. as we have both pointed out now, the only guy who has had comparable groundball rates consistently the past eight years is Derek Lowe.
the difference between the two is Webb managed to get all those groundballs, while also striking out way more hitters and walking way few hitters than Lowe.
by blue bulldog on Dec 12, 2011 4:17 AM EST up reply actions
Right, but again you're only looking at an 8 year period
I don’t think that says all that much about whether or not there has EVER been anyone with a sinker like Webb’s (I’d argue that Venters’ is as good or better than Webb’s was).
i think it is worth mentioning
considering cahill is 24 and has some time to develop his already above average sinker…webb didnt even make it to the show until he was 24 and cahill is already through three full seasons.
Ride the tiger...You can see his stripes but you know he's clean.
by James Westfall on Dec 12, 2011 5:40 PM EST up reply actions
Bad for Cahill
Not facing the Rangers several times a year with raise his ERA.
by forloveofthegam3 on Dec 10, 2011 10:38 PM EST reply actions
believe it or not
Cahill absolutely owned the Rangers, had like a 2.8 ERA in over 10 or so starts. As a Ranger fan, there were few pitchers I hated facing worse, he just our hitters to the nth degree.
"I’d love to walk in and hug everybody every day, but that’s not critical to us winning." The JeDi
As a Yankee fan
I’m sorry to see him go. They always seemed to beat the tar out of him.
http://www.yankeeanalysts.com
Stick a fork in this franchise
I really feel for the Oakland fans right now. The writing is on the wall and this team is now breaking apart teams before they even near free agency. I am guessing the Oakland A’s will be on their way out of town by 2014 and that is going to be a sad day for baseball in the bay area.
Big Sexy
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by King Billy Royal on Dec 12, 2011 11:38 AM EST reply actions
A san jose resolution should come in early january
The oakland mayor announced plans for 2 ballpark sites in last friday. Since the current A’s owners are dead set on san jose, if they dont get it, maybe selling the team is possible.
by J.J. Miller on Dec 12, 2011 1:06 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Oakland announced nothing new
Victory Court or the current site was announced a long time ago. Since then, the city has done nothing to get the ball rolling on it.
A San Jose move is the critical missing piece
That reboots everything. For a great laugh, have a look at the artist’s rendering Oakland’s mayor presented last week, and try to spot the baseball stadium.
San Jose is where the team needs to be. Once that happens (and it almost assuredly will), the team continues its build toward 2015 and a prosperous future.
are there any links?
to the new stadium options?
Ride the tiger...You can see his stripes but you know he's clean.
by James Westfall on Dec 13, 2011 4:54 PM EST up reply actions

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