Directions:

What prospects have you been right about?  Which ones have you been wrong about?  Which ones is the jury still out?

Rules:

1. Be Honest
2. State your definitions of success (see mine below)
3. Try to limit it to a maximum of 30 recent players.
4. Be Original (i.e. don't just pick all the elite prospects and say you thought they'd be good and you were right...)

Definitions:

• Success (Hitter): Impact player (above average) at the MLB level.
• Success (Pitcher): Earned a closer spot or spot in a MLB starting rotation and has been at least average.

Pitchers: 

• Right: David Price, Rick Porcello, Brian Matusz, Brett Cecil, Wade Davis, Jeremy Hellickson
• Jury Still Out: Justin Masterson, Jordan Walden
• Wrong: none

Hitters:

• Right: none
• Jury Still Out: Hank Conger, Lars Anderson, Beau Mills, Mike Moustakas, Jesus Montero, Ben Revere
• Wrong: none

The good news is that over the past 4-5 years I've done pretty well predicting pitching talent, haven't really been "wrong" yet.  Some might have Hellickson as a "Jury Still Out", but I bumped him into "Right" because he pitched well last season and is almost guaranteed a rotation spot this season.  Some might bump Porcello down to "Jury Still Out" or even a miss.  Some might bump Masterson down to a "Miss".  But I think Porcello has been average and I think Masterson has just been the victim of a bad team around him.

The bad news is I haven't predicted a solid hitting prospect yet.  And 2 of my "Jury Is Still Out" guys are looking like they might be busts (Mills and Anderson) as soon as this season or next.