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2010 Top 20 Los Angeles Angels Pre-Season Prospects in Review

Peter Bourjos of the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim steals third base ahead of the tag of Josh Bell #25 of the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards on August 4 2010 in Baltimore Maryland.  (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images)

2010 Los Angeles Angels Top 20 Prospects in Review

Here is a review of the 2010 Angels prospect list, originally published November 23, 2009. THIS IS A REVIEW OF THE OLD LIST AND PRE-SEASON GRADES. THIS IS NOT A NEW LIST.  The 2011 list and new grades won't be ready until the season is over and I start writing the book.

Star-divide


1) Mike Trout, OF, Grade B+: .362/.454/.526 with 45 steals for Low-A Cedar Rapids, .282/.368/.427 in 25 games for High-A Rancho Cucamonga, six steals. Power is still developing, but speed , OBP, and defense are excellent.

2) Hank Conger, C, Grade B+:   .278/.370/.414 in 86 games for Triple-A Salt Lake City. Actually hitting much better on the road (.868 OPS) than at home (.707). Has caught 29% of runners, but made 12 errors in 63 defensive games. Not breaking through like I'd hoped.

3) Trevor Reckling, LHP, Grade B:  Horrible at Salt Lake (8.53 ERA, 46/50 K/BB in 70 innings, 99 hits). Better after moving back to Double-A Arkansas (3.54 ERA, 39/21 K/BB in 48 innings), but he already showed he could handle that level last year. Stock has dropped substantially.

4) Garrett Richards, RHP, Grade B:  3.55 ERA, 121/36 K/BB in 119 innings between Cedar Rapids and Rancho, 109 hits, 2.10 GO/AO. A solid season.

5) Peter Bourjos, OF, Grade B-:   .314/.364/.498 in 102 games for Salt Lake, 27 steals, 13 homers, 13 triples. 5-for-27 (.185) in eight major league games so far. Not much left to prove in the minors.

6) Fabio Martinez Mesa, RHP, Grade B-: 3.92 ERA, 141/76 K/BB in 103 innings for Cedar Rapids, 80 hits. Excellent K/IP and H/IP marks confirm quality stuff scouting reports, but has to get the walks down.

7) Tyler Skaggs, LHP, Grade B-:  3.61 ERA, 82/21 K/BB in 82 innings for Cedar Rapids, 78 hits. Traded to Arizona in the Dan Haren deal. A fine young southpaw prospect.

8) Jordan Walden, RHP, Grade B-:  3.26 ERA, 38/22 K/BB in 47 innings between Arkansas and Salt Lake, 46 hits. Doing OK after conversion to relief due to durability problems. Need to see the walks come down.

9) Jon Bachanov, RHP, Grade B-:  5.47 ERA with 23/14 K/BB, 1.94 GO/AO in 26 innings for Cedar Rapids, 31 hits. On the DL since late May with a sore elbow, not a good sign for a Tommy John survivor.

10) Chris Pettit, OF, Grade B-:  Out all year with shoulder injury.

11) Randal Grichuk, OF, Grade B-:  .244/.286/.489 in 34 games for Cedar Rapids, .327/.365/.714 in 12 games in the AZL for rehab of sprained thumb. Excellent power potential, bad plate discipline.

12) Trevor Bell, RHP, Grade C+:  3.00 ERA, 19/6 K/BB in 30 innings for Salt Lake, 6.03 ERA in 34 major league innings, 52 hits, 27/9 K/BB.  Still has a chance to be a useful pitcher eventually, but may get stuck as a Quadruple-A type.

13) Ryan Chaffee, RHP, Grade C+:   6.93 ERA, 56/36 K/BB in 74 innings for Rancho, 102 hits, 1.67 GO/AO. I thought he was a big breakthrough candidate but he's been awful. Still gets grounders, but strikeouts way down from last year.

14) Tyler Chatwood, RHP, Grade C+:  1.77 ERA, 70/36 K/BB in 81 innings for Rancho, 2.93 GO/AO. Has remained effective after promotion to Double-A, 3.27 ERA, 25/20 K/BB in 52 innings for Arkansas, 53 hits, 1.73 GO/AO. I don't like the deterioration in his strikeout rate at the higher level.

15) Jean Segura, 2B, Grade C+:  .307/.353/.443 with 40 steals for Cedar Rapids. No complaints here, stock is rising.

16) Alexia Amarista, 2B, Grade C+:   .310/.352/.429 with 22 steals in 110 games between Rancho (72 games), Arkansas (36 games) and Salt Lake (two games), production fairly steady between levels.

17) Michael Kohn, RHP, Grade C+:  2.15 ERA, 57/25 K/BB in 46 innings between Arkansas and Salt Lake, 11 saves, 28 hits. Three runs in 5.2 major league innings thus far, with 5/4 K/BB. Should be a useful relief arm.

18) Carlos Ramirez, C, Grade C+:   .228//341/.395 for Cedar Rapids, however this breaks down to .176/.308/.289 in the first half and .329/.410/.603 in the second half. Murders lefties (1.142 OPS). Good defense.

19) Tyler Kehrer, LHP, Grade C+:  5.08 ERA, 77/55 K/BB in 89 innings for Cedar Rapids, 85 hits. Decent strikeout rate and gets some ground balls, but too many walks are hurting him.

20) Will Smith, LHP, Grade C+:  Racking up frequent flier miles this year: six starts at Rancho, four at Arkansas, nine at Salt Lake, then three more for High-A Wilmington after trade to Royals. Results are not impressive: 5.36 ERA with 93/45 K/BB in 128 innings, 155 hits combined. Needs some stability next year.

21) Pat Corbin, LHP, Grade C+:  13-3, 3.54 with 122/31 K/BB in 130 innings between CR, Rancho, and Visalia after trade to Arizona. A very nice season.

The big breakout for Trout is the big news in the Angels system this year. Richards, Martinez-Mesa, Chatwood, and Corbin have also done well, Corbin of course has now been traded as part of the Haren deal. There are some stagnant players and some who have slipped (Reckling, Chaffee)....it's a better season than some organizations have had, and worse than some others.

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Walden

Doing more than okay . . .I believe he is the hardest thrower in the Texas League this year,
with multiple reports that he has thrown over 100 MPH.

by mrkupe on Aug 13, 2010 12:38 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

I'm curious

What the reports say about his fastball’s movement, as you’d think with his kind of velocity he’d generate more Ks than he has.

by Franchise887 on Aug 13, 2010 12:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

if it helps

I should see Arkansas play in another week or two, so maybe I’ll get to see him pitch and I can tell you myself. :)

by mrkupe on Aug 13, 2010 1:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Reckling

I think his 2009 success in Double-A was deceptive. He posted a walk rate of 13% and a good, but not dominant, strikeout rate of 18.4%. There was a lot to like, but at his age, with those rates, it was questionable to start him in Triple-A. I wouldn’t say a guy who walked 13% of the batters he faced in 135 innings showed he could handle that level.

by blackoutyears on Aug 13, 2010 12:50 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Lot of guys with control issues

Just a coincidence or a genuine problem with the org?

Also, I’ve seen Amarista play quite a bit this year, and, tiny or not, the kid can flat-out hit. Excellent bat control.

"The A's have to be setting some record this year for simultaneously maximizing team quality and player anonymity. I guess that’s sort of their thing though." - Luke in MN

by hero66 on Aug 13, 2010 1:18 PM EDT reply actions  

I think

Amarista and Segura have both met expectations. Nice players.

Good question on the control issues. Chatwood’s walks have actually gone down since hitting Double-A (though not a ton, and SSS) but John’s right that the almost 50% dip in strikeout rate is bizarre. Like Reckling in 2009 it’s a flag that tempers the otherwise good results.

by blackoutyears on Aug 13, 2010 1:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

control issues

think it has a lot to do with drafting/signing big upside arms. Draft for stuff and hope to develop/refine command as they progress

by SoCalSoxFan on Aug 13, 2010 4:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

TotalZone

loves Amarista’s defense too. +20 runs last year and already +9 this year.

by Ja4ed on Aug 13, 2010 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ja4ed

Where did you get the updated TotalZone numbers?

by rghan on Aug 16, 2010 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

I know what Trout has done is simply amazing

And Im not trying to rip the kid, but is anyone worried that it is only A ball? Ive seen posters have him as high as #1, but isnt it usually the consensus that they have to at least PLAY in AA before being #1?

by lakersdodgersyankees4life on Aug 14, 2010 4:29 PM EDT reply actions  

only if you believe the idea that a prospect needs to "prove" himself

The way major league teams are moving their prospects these days, they clearly don’t quite feel that way.

Well, that or they’re trying to save money by having kids making the minimum salary fill out their rosters.

Anyways. Would it suddenly be different if somebody had Trout at No. 2? Or No. 3? There’s really nothing more to be read into it than “this guy happens to be the best we’ve got this year”.

by mrkupe on Aug 14, 2010 6:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, that or they’re trying to save money by having kids making the minimum salary fill out their rosters.

I feel this is why teams have started to rely on kids more.

And I was talking about being in the top 4 of rankings. I always have thought that a guy needs to prove himself in AA. Think of someone like Trayvon Robinson in A ball for the Dodgers last year. He had a breakout year with all 5 tools, but was written off until he did it in AA, which he has done fairly well.

I guess I feel that there are most likely 4 other guys in the minors who has done more than Trout in higher levels…

by lakersdodgersyankees4life on Aug 15, 2010 3:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

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