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Baltimore Orioles Draft Review

Beginning the AL East with the Baltimore Orioles.

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Baltimore Orioles Draft Review
1) Manny Machado, SS, Florida HS: Will hit for average, should develop good power, likely to remain at shortstop down the line, and relatively polished for a high school player. The best position player in the class not named Harper.

3) Dan Klein, RHP, UCLA: Successful college closer with excellent control, stuff is a tick above average but not spectacular. Won't need long in the minors.

4) Trent Mummey, OF, Auburn University: All tools are average or slightly above, has some chance to be a starting player but probably projects best as a fourth outfielder.

5) Connor Narron, SS, North Carolina HS: Jerry Narron's son, draws oddly mixed reviews for a bloodline player. Has power, will probably move off shortstop, doesn't have a lot of speed. Was considered a good bet to attend North Carolina but going this high might change that.

6) Dixon Anderson, RHP, UC-Berkeley: Big guy at 6-5, can hit 95 MPH, but secondary stuff is below average and college performance record is inconsistent. Could turn out to be very good, or he could stall out in A-ball.

7) Matt Bywater, LHP, Pepperdine: Average velocity in upper-80s, but has a strong curveball and changeup, throws strikes, knows how to pitch, put up excellent college numbers. Could advance quickly, classic Jamie Moyer comparisons as finesse lefty.

8) Wynston Sawyer, C, California HS: Possibly an underrated prospect, has good physical tools but still ironing out his defense and his swing. Was expected to go to college at UC Riverside, but that might change now.

9) Parker Bridwell, RHP, Texas HS: Very athletic, upper-80s fastball with more velocity possible, raw. College commitment to Texas Tech, which isn't the easiest place to pitch; he may do better if he goes pro.

10) Clay Schrader, RHP, San Jacinto Junior College: 93 MPH, good breaking stuff, closer mentality, could advance more quickly than most JC level players.

FOUR OTHERS OF NOTE: 11-Alex Gonzalez, RHP, Florida HS; 14-Michael Mosby, 3B, Wabash Valley CC; 18-Sebastian Vader, RHP, California HS; 27-Austin Urban, RHP, Pennsylvania HS;

COMMENT: I love the Machado pick, but the rest of the draft strikes me as...I'm not sure what the word is. I originally wrote "uninspired," but that's too strong. This isn't a BAD draft. Klein is a good third rounder and could get beyond role player status, but I don't see Mummey as more than a reserve at this point. I like Bywater's pitchability, but Anderson strikes me as the kind of college arm that will perhaps never live up to its potential. Narron, Sawyer, and Bridwell all have signability issues. All could develop into fine players, but it will take a lot of time. Schrader has some heat and I like him. There are some additional signability fliers in the later rounds; if they could pull in one of those guys it would help. There is just something about this draft that I can't put my finger on...it's good, I like several picks, but there's just something missing.

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I think mainly what happened is that Machado is drawing the air out of the Orioles drafting budget. Also, Jordan has shown a tendency to draft moderate overslots. That was something that made the Ohlman and Coffey signings last year interesting . . . he typically does not do that. I expect that you’ll see a few guys in the teens and a couple in the 20s go for about 150-250k. In the backend end of the ten, maybe 400k overslots.

by crawdaddy on Jun 14, 2010 8:05 AM EDT reply actions  

the team is too bad

And the franchise outlook is decreasing to fast for this team to continue to be so draft budget focused. Machado shouldn’t be significantly effecting the rest of the draft, no excuse for that. Good thing we signed Garrett Atkins for 4.5 million!!! Tejada for 6 million!!

MacPhail needs to go.

by cowboy4eva on Jun 14, 2010 7:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Its the splash factor for me

A team that has been this bad for this long, and has a farm system as barren as Baltimore’s (seriously, after Britton, Bell and Machado do you see another potention top 150 prospect next season?) you expect to see more high upside guys or early overslot guys.

by ADLC on Jun 14, 2010 11:21 AM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, it appears to be quite a let-down, considering how well they’ve drafted in the past several years.

John, I agree with you that Mummey is most likely to be only a 4th OF at best, but to say that all his “tools are average or slightly above” is just wrong. Mummey’s D in CF is at least plus, if not plus plus.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

by Fla-Giant on Jun 14, 2010 1:11 PM EDT reply actions  

What's missing is the #2 pick

The O’s really need to maximize their drafts right now to fill their pipeline with talent. The Gonzalez signing is haunting them.

I’m with you, I don’t get this draft. No corner infielders, few OFs, they’re really serious about growing the arms but you can’t buy that many bats.

Matt Wieters has a sustainably high BABIP

by CoachOfEarl on Jun 14, 2010 2:10 PM EDT reply actions  

I never liked giving up the 2nd rd pick..

To me, it’s exactly at that round or first supplemental rd where a team finds some very good value. Usually you can find some dropped 1st rd talent there, usually for signibility issues, which is a problem for small market teams but hasn’t been a prohibitive factor with Baltimore.

If we could “stick” in a high upside pitcher in the 2nd rd slot, I think this drag feels a lot different. Secondly if we picked there, I don’t think we pick Klein.

by basemonkey on Jun 14, 2010 10:37 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Correction

“Draft” not “drag.” ha

by basemonkey on Jun 14, 2010 10:38 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

In a perfect world...

What kind of player does Machado look like he might be? All of the “Arod” comparisons to me seem to have more to do with being a HS pick out of FL of DR descent, but not necessarily based on ability.

by basemonkey on Jun 14, 2010 10:44 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Nomar?

Not fast but athletic enough to play at SS. Line drive swing with above avg power. In the ideal I wouldn’t mind if Machado were more patient at the plate and durable than Nomar, but in the real world it would obviously be a coup if he has Nomar’s career.

by Dingbat Charlie on Jun 15, 2010 10:22 AM EDT reply actions  

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