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Houston Astros Draft Review

Here's a look at the Astros draft.

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Houston Astros Draft Review
1) Delino DeShields, Jr, 2B, Georgia HS: Shot up draft boards in the last weeks. Rather raw for a major league bloodline player, but with outstanding speed and some power potential. Should be signable away from LSU at this spot in the draft.

1) Mike Foltynewicz, RHP, Illinois HS: Will have to be bought out of Texas, but should be doable in this spot. 91-96 MPH fastball and a fresh Midwest arm stand out, and his changeup is strong. Needs a better breaking ball, but should be teachable.

1S) Mike Kvasnicka, 3B, University of Minnesota: Called as a third baseman, but pre-draft teams saw him as a future catcher despite playing mostly outfield in college. Obviously has a strong arm. Bat is solid across the board, may take some time to settle in defensively.

2) Vincent Velasquez, RHP, California HS: Athletic, can hit 93, curveball has a great deal of potential, but he was very erratic this spring and many teams didn't rate him this highly. Cal State Fullerton recruit.

3) Austin Wates, 2B, Virginia Tech: Called at second base; many teams saw him as a future center fielder, though he played right field and first base in college. Very effective line drive hitter with good speed, good strike zone judgment, power may be average.

4) Bobby Doran, RHP, Texas Tech University: Already signed for $237,700. 90-94 MPH heater, strong curveball, decent changeup, pitched well in difficult environment at Texas Tech. I like him as a sleeper to watch closely.

5) Ben Heath, C, Penn State University: Lots of power in his bat, but probably won't hit for average and defense needs polish. Probably an overdraft to some extent, but catchers often go earlier than expected in the draft.

6) Adam Plutko, RHP, California HS: Velocity was average this spring but faster in the past. He's raw and many scouts think he could use three years of development at UCLA. Be interesting to see how much they push to sign him.

7) Roberto Pena, C, Puerto Rico HS: Very strong defensive catcher with good work ethic, son of former major league catcher Bert Pena. Questions about his bat kept him from going higher.

8) Jake Buchanan, RHP, North Carolina State University: 87-92 MPH fastball, very good changeup, decent breaking ball, good command. 6-0 size and stocky build turns off scouts, but he knows how to pitch.

9) Tommy Shirley, LHP, Xavier University: Tall 6-5 power lefty can hit 93 MPH with sink. His slider and changeup need a lot of work and he's still rather raw for a college guy, though he made a lot of progress this spring.

10) Evan Grills, LHP, Canada SS: High school lefty has a good curve and a fastball that hits the upper-80s and could get faster as he matures. He's projectable but will need development.

FOUR OTHERS OF NOTE: 12-Andrew Robinson, RHP, Georgia Tech; 15-Jamaine Cotton, RHP, Western Oklahoma State JC; 19-Jacoby Jones, SS, Mississippi HS; 25-Rodney Quintero, RHP, Chipola JC.

COMMENT: The Astros have gone against consensus in recent drafts and have had good results with it. DeShields and Folty were moving up draft boards rapidly, and while both might be slight overdrafts, neither were going to be around for subsequent picks and I don't think either are super-stretches. The Astros wanted them, so they picked them. I don't see anything wrong with that. Kvasnicka was slotted well, and college guys Wates and Doran went in appropriate rounds. Velasquez will need lots of time. Shirley is pretty raw for a college guy but intriguing from the left side. If they somehow sign Jacoby Jones away from LSU, this would be a terrific class. As it stands, it still looks pretty decent to me.

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Comments

Display:

folty

Has signed, $1.3 million signing bonus.

by mrkupe on Jun 12, 2010 2:17 PM EDT reply actions  

For the record

I hate the DDJ pick at #8 and I don’t like Kvasnicka at #33. There were much much better players available.

My first mistake was assuming you knew what I was talking about.

by Shamus on Jun 12, 2010 2:37 PM EDT reply actions  

I have doubts he plays at the MLB level and that is tragic with the #8 pick. I explained that before

My first mistake was assuming you knew what I was talking about.

by Shamus on Jun 12, 2010 3:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

You do know that only about 50% of all top ten draft picks ever play in the major leagues, right?

by OremLK on Jun 12, 2010 3:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

well

that makes his assertion all the more reasonable. but i personally don’t think any of us can really say Deshields is all that much worse than Josh Sale who a lot of people semi-expected, who went 17th overall not because of excessive salary demands.

by auclairkeithbc on Jun 12, 2010 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not due to injury

Not sure his skills or talent play

My first mistake was assuming you knew what I was talking about.

by Shamus on Jun 12, 2010 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

I like this draft alot actually...

The first 5 picks were all really good and so were the Plutko, Pena, and Jacoby Jones’ picks. If they sign all of these guys the draft could be a good B+ for me. Deshields went a little high, but I love his swing and I think he could be an eventual all star.

ETHAN MARTIN!!!!

by joegonzo on Jun 12, 2010 3:47 PM EDT reply actions  

It's growing on me.

I think I’d grade it a solid B right now, I might even go so far as A- if they somehow manage to sign Jones.

by OremLK on Jun 12, 2010 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

I liked this draft

They did a good job, nice mix of college and HS prospects. I love the Folty pick and, though I think it was at least a round too early, the Velazquez pick. Velazquez shows a great feel for pitching already, even though he has very few innings on the mound under his belt.

That being said, I also hated the DeShields pick. With the #8 pick in the draft you’re getting a guy that at best is going to be an above-average singles-/doubles-hitting CF, or possibly 2B. You need to get much more upside, or way more certainty of outcome, from a guy you’re going to end up paying around $4M to. Hell, I don’t think that he was even one of the top 3 HS prospects in the Atlanta area – much less the 3rd best HS prospect in the nation (behind only Taillon and Machado). IMO, if he wasn’t named DeShields, I doubt that he would have even been rated in the top 50 prospects this year. If the Astros just had to take the son of a former player from the Atlanta area at #8, then Cam Bedrosian would have been a better pick. I think that the Astros fell in love with his speed and his name, and panicked with all the smoke-screens that other teams were putting out about DeShields.

If they wanted a CF and/or 2B at that spot they should have gone Choice or Vitek – both guys with at least as high an upside as DeShields, but whose downside risk is way lower than DeShields. And there were so many good HS pitchers available there – Whitson, Covey, Jenkins, Tago, Cowart, Cole, and Bedrosian to name a few. Not to mention other high-value/high-upside guys like Grandal, J. Sale, and C. Sale.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

by Fla-Giant on Jun 12, 2010 7:00 PM EDT reply actions  

I would have preferred Josh Sale, but DeShields is a decent choice. It seems as though he has a chance to hit for average power with plus defense, plus speed, and high OBP. If all of that happens, that’s all-star quality production at second base.

If his floor is another Michael Bourn, well, I’m okay with that. But he has the potential to be better.

by OremLK on Jun 12, 2010 11:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

He most likely still would have been there when they picked at #19. Then they wouldn’t be faced with overpaying him, and they could have picked somebody more appropriate at #8.

"There ain’t much to being a ballplayer, if you’re a ballplayer." - Honus Wagner

by Fla-Giant on Jun 12, 2010 11:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

He was a late riser in the last few weeks of the draft. Andy Seilers over at MLB Bonus Baby has a lot of inside sources and he seemed very, very confident that DeShields would have been gone at No. 19. If the Astros really wanted him, they need to take him number 8.

I still think Josh Sale is the better prospect, but DeShields wasn’t much of an overdraft.

by OremLK on Jun 12, 2010 11:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

yeah

whether or not he was a bad pick is arguable, but he was fairly unlikely to be around at 19. it is funny, but i bet if he was on earlier draft boards at 12 or 17, people would have a higher opinion of him now.

by auclairkeithbc on Jun 13, 2010 11:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree. Except for the good draft

My first mistake was assuming you knew what I was talking about.

by Shamus on Jun 14, 2010 1:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

Wates

I think was called as a RF

by astrosfanforever on Jun 12, 2010 7:01 PM EDT reply actions  

He used to play the infield

I’m trying to remember what position. I want to say shortstop, but I’m not sure. I remember reading a report that he got the yips and that’s why he was moved to the outfield and first base. I can’t find the article now though so I don’t have a source, sorry.

by OremLK on Jun 13, 2010 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

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