2010 Mock Draft: Supplemental Round
by John Sickels on May 4, 2010 9:00 PM EDT
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PrintHere is the supplemental round. As yesterday, this is meant to stimulate discussion. With a month to go before the draft, an actual prediction is pointless.
33) Houston Astros: Aaron Sanchez, RHP, Barstow High School, California
Excellent athlete and very projectable, could easily go higher than this. Would provide some high school leavening for college picks in the first round.
34) Toronto Blue Jays: Todd Cunningham, OF, Jacksonville State University
Has decent tools but should be affordable, important for the Jays with multiple picks following last year.
35) Atlanta Braves: Cam Bedrosian, RHP, East Coweta HS, Senoia, Georgia
Home state and home team connection for a live-armed pitcher, a perfect fit for the Braves.
36) Boston Red Sox: DeAndre Smelter, RHP, Tatnall Academy, Macon, Georgia
The Red Sox have the money to buy him away from Georgia Tech, and his athleticism and arm strength are very impressive.
37) Los Angeles Angels: Reggie Golden, OF, Wetumpka High School, Alabama
The Angels went with a toolsy outfielder in Mike Trout last year, and while Golden's lack of height should keep him out of the first round, he definitely fits into their development philosophy.
38) Toronto Blue Jays: Micah Gibbs, C, Louisiana State University
He won't need a lot of time in the minors, provides defense with a decent bat, and will be attractive to a team with multiple picks and a budget.
39) Boston Red Sox: James Paxton, LHP, Grand Prairie
Hard to know how he ranks until we get to see him pitch when the independent leagues start up, but I can see the Red Sox being attracted to the marvelous K/IP and K/BB marks he posted in college as much as his lively arm from the left side.
40) Los Angeles Angels: Taijuan Walker, RHP, Yucaipa High School, California
Excellent athlete with projectability, and should be signable.
41) Toronto Blue Jays: Addison Reed, RHP, San Diego State University
He's polished, affordable, throws hard, and won't take long to reach a major league bullpen.
42) Tampa Bay Rays: Stetson Allie, RHP, St. Edward High School, Olmstead Falls, Ohio
I would love to see what the Rays pitching development program could do with an arm like this one.
43) Seattle Mariners: Hunter Morris, 1B, Auburn
The best impact bat left on the board at this point.
44) Detroit Tigers: Asher Wojchiechowski, RHP, The Citadel
He's big, throws hard, and has shown consistent improvement. Fits the Tigers pattern.
45) Texas Rangers: Jedd Gyorko, 3B, West Virginia University
Assuming that the Rangers will go for affordable college picks, Gyorko offers a good mixture of performance and value at this point in the draft. I have them going with pitchers with the first two picks, so a hitter makes sense to provide balance.
46) St. Louis Cardinals: Barret Loux, RHP, Texas A&M
Has an injury history but his performance this year has been excellent.
47) Colorado Rockies: Rob Rasmussen, LHP, UCLA
The Rockies usually prefer college picks early, so Rasmussen balances out the choice of high school pick Gausman in the first round. Rasmussen, despite his short stature at 5-10, has a live arm and a great curveball.
48) Detroit Tigers: Adam Plutko, RHP, Glendora High School, Upland, California
Projectable righthander who is somewhat raw, but would pair well with the more polished Wojchiechowski.
49) Texas Rangers: Austin Wates, OF, Virginia Tech
Like Gyorko, Wates seems a logical pick for the Rangers considering their number of picks and their financial situation. He's toolsy and flashes enough skills to slot here.
50) St Louis Cardinals: Tony Wolters, SS, Rancho Buena Vista High School, Vista, California
Excellent makeup, a bit undersized but polished, but would certainly attract me if I were the Cardinals.
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Blue Jays
have a reported $16m draft and international free agent budget this year. Signability should only be a concern on the picks carried forward from last year.
$16M?
I’ll believe it when I see it.
And in any case, if that’s the entire budget for both the draft and international free agents . . .it wouldn’t be shocking to see them go cheap-but-effective in the draft so that they can save money for expensive IFAs.
It's High
and i’m skeptical as well but how many organizations have the balls to release a specific number like and then not spend close to it? Seems like if a team wanted to lull the fan base they might just say they were planning to spend “big”
The new regime has continually stated that they will draft the best players available. Alex Anthopolous has seen Karsten Whitson in person twice BTW. I’d expect at least 2 high school kids within the first 4-5 picks.
Anthopoulos has probably seen 15-20 players at one point or another this season, so don’t read too much into that.
Whitson is the only mention that I’ve specifically seen in which he has sen him twice. Doesn’t surprise me at all; Whitson to Toronto would be an absolute no brainer if he’s available (which he probably wont be).
The point is that I’ve seen Toronto linked to several prep arms. I’d bet $100 that Toronto wont select 4 college players with their 4 first round picks; let alone 3 “safe, signable” guys in the supplemental round. Love John Sickels, but he’s a bit confused as to which direction Toronto is going.
Gibbs at #38? Why exactly does Toronto need a fast-moving, questionable upside catcher? I cant think of another organization that has as much depth at that position than Toronto does.
because you know which direction they're taking?
Admit it, you don’t know. The path I mentioned earlier (relatively safer picks in the draft that are low cost combined with large bonuses for high upside IFAs) seems entirely possible at this point.
The Blue Jays didn’t assemble to biggest scouting staff in the league to draft “safer, low cost” players. That scouting staff is out scouting kids in America, not kids in Cuba or the Dominican.
I dont know what they’re going to do, but they have repeatedly said they will draft high-upside. HIGH UPSIDE, not “SAFE”. They have done nothing to suggest that they wont follow through with this. I’m not saying they’re going to draft the biggest bonus-demand faller with every pick; but 4 relatively marginal upside picks in the first/supplemental first (yes, I’m sticking Colon in that group; I’m not a huge fan)? I’ll believe it when I see it.
you might be confused by what "high upside" means
High upside doesn’t necessarily mean that they’re drafting prep players. Many college players have quite considerable upside, and beauty is in the eye of the beholder. If the Blue Jays believe that Alex Wimmers has a decent shot at being a frontline starter then guess what, he’s “high upside”!
There are lots of people who think that Colon has the ability to be an above-average player, and there are lots of people who think that the gap for Colon between what he is and what he could be is much smaller than that gap for other players. Your own opinion of the players doesn’t matter here.
I could see a prep player or two, but I’m guessing they might reach slightly for such a player who can fit into a budget.
I'm not confused about anything.
Where exactly did I say that high upside had to be a prep player?
On what planet are Todd Cunningham and Micah Gibbs “high upside” players?
The Blue Jays will target safer, signable players with the comp picks they received for failing to sign Paxton, Eliopolous, and Barrett last year. I expect them to use the remaining high picks (comp picks for Scutaro, Barajas, etc) on BPA high-upside players.
The $16 million tag isn’t real. It didn’t even originate from the Toronto camp, and I’ve confirmed that. They’re going to spend a lot, that’s for sure, but that’s only because slot money for their picks alone will take them north of $7 million in bonuses.
Now, if the $16 million is somewhat real, it’s likely because that’s the entire amateur scouting budget, including scout salaries, etc.
Just wondering
Hey Andy, when was that debunked? I don’t remember you posting about it.
I didn’t post about it. No need to. And it’s not debunked that they’ll spend $16 million on amateur scouting this year, it’s debunked that that’s how much they’ll spend on bonuses itself. And what I confirmed was that they didn’t originate the $16 million figure. Someone outside the organization did.
Wow, that's a lot of money just in slot bonuses
Makes me think they might take a chance on one guy but not go hog wild.
Ceterum censeo, Ron Washington esse delendam
jays
My thinking was that Colon would be expensive to sign and that they’d have to go budgety on the other early picks to avoid a repeat of last year’s debacle.
Gibbs is relatively low upside and maybe he’s not the best pick, but I like Reed a lot and Cunningham has some tools.
by John Sickels on May 5, 2010 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions
Yeah
I could see Cunningham but I just don’t the vibe from this organization that guys like Gibbs and Reed will be on their radar unless they think they can successfully convert Reed into a starting pitcher.
could be
You could be right. I have been drugged up on percocet since Saturday and am still pretty sick, lol. But it’s a mock draft, and it DID stimulate discussion, which was the goal :)
by John Sickels on May 5, 2010 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions
No Worries!
I’m only going on the vibe i’m getting from the new management, who knows if they actually follow through with the plan. Really like the first round mock but next time make it so Ranaudo falls to the Jays;)
Regarding the jays
I really don’t think that they are taking the route that you have them taking in this mock.
Cardinals
I’d certainly be happy with Nick Castellanos, Barret Loux and Tony Wolters in the 1st round. I’d enjoy following Wolters and Castellanos climb the organizational ladder together on the left side of the infield.
I'm no expert but...
no way do I see the Jays’ cheaping out on those two picks in the thirties (laying aside how insane they would have to be to prefer a catcher who would come quickly given the depth of catching prospects in their system)
But even more than that – even if they were thinking budget, how could they possibly pass TWICE on Paxton? The man has ZERO leverage to extract a high dollar deal, they thought enough of him to draft him last year, and they admit they misplayed their hand when negotiating which no doubt they would like to redeem.
if Paxton is still on the board when they pick the second/third times, my guess is he’s a lock for one of those picks.
Yes.
Though I’m sure it would go through Boras, since Paxton is now officially allowed to have an agent. The team would have ask for his permission to re-draft him, he’d sign off on it, and that’d be it. I don’t know why he’d sign it, but he might just to give himself some options.
Braves
While Bedrosian seems like a solid pick, if you look at what the Braves drafted last year and what we’re lacking, you can see that we NEED Middle Infielders (I wold say 3B, but Salcedo will be up in 2-3 years playing 3B).
People that the Braves would probably target instead of Bedrosian:
1. LeVon Washington
2. Marcus Littlewood
We DEFINITELY need some Middle Infield Help
by apoxonbothyourhouses on May 5, 2010 8:12 AM EDT reply actions
I would love to see what the Rays pitching development program could do with an arm like this one.
So would I, John, so would I.
No mention of Stefan Sabol?
I am having a hard time, even with a strong commitment to Oregon, that a last half of the first round choice wouldn’t pry him from it. The constant over-drafting of catchers in the amateur draft, one would think, makes him an rather easy selection by a handful of teams. Sub 2.0 pop times, excellent athleticism, and an aptitude that adds another element to his portfolio of skills makes me think the Angels, or Rays could try and sign him away from the Oregon commitment.
Braves
I agree that the Braves need position players, but it will be hard with this draf. Therefore, I think (and hope) that if the draft unfolded the Braves would take Asher Wojchiechowski instead of Bedrock II. They just might because they seem to be happy with Matt Crim who they drafted out of the Citadel last year.
Otherwise, Littlewood yes—but save us from LeVon Washington….
by Stephen in the UAE on May 5, 2010 3:15 PM EDT reply actions
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