MOD Rangers 5/14/10
Greetings, Ranger fans. The MLB Mock Draft is less than a month away. The Ranger have 4 of the first 50 draft picks, so this is an important draft for the team (aren't they all?).
More after the jump:
Here are the Ranger's first round and supplemental first round picks:
1 (15) - Compensation for unsigned 2009 pick Matt Purke
1 (22) - Regular Selection
1S (45) - Compensation for Marlon Byrd
1S (50) - Compensation for Ivan Rodriguez
The Rangers also have picks in the second round (#72) and third round (#103).
In this initial post, we're looking for some thoughts on what type of player we might want at No. 15 & 22. My intentions are to update with a new MOB every 4-5 days or so. One more thing - if you can be available on draft day to cover in case I have to step away, or just to offer general advice & comment as the draft progresses, let it be known here.
I will return later with some initial thoughts on the Texas Rangers' 2010 draft.
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ownership situation is key
While I would love to go best available player for the first pick, given the use it or lose it nature of the pick because of the Purke misfire and the possible inability to exceed slot because of the ownership situation, I think it is unrealistic if signability isn’t made a major consideration for that pick. For that matter, any news on ownership between now and then seriously impacts what the entire draft has to look like for the Rangers.
Although we have a somewhat star crossed history with catchers as early draft picks, that certainly an organizational need that it would be nice to address early. Third base might be another need if we want to try to develop MY’s eventual replacement from within.
arm
it would seem the Rangers won’t let an underrated arm pass them by. if there’s a high-upside arm available i’m sure they would go that route.
Five to think about at 15 & 22.
Here are five players that catch my eye as we consider the picks at No. 15 and No. 22 overall. Obviously there are many more players worth considering here, but for whatever it’s worth, I think these five are interesting starting points.
As a general rule, to address a point Dalman raised, I don’t really think Major League teams draft to fill a current Major League need. With few exceptions, college players are almost always 2 years away and high school players 4-5 years away, so teams cannot really expect to address a current need through the draft. There are obvious exceptions – a team with three top shortstop prospects already in the system might look elsewhere unless another shortstop jumps off the board, but by and large, taking the best player available is the way to go. That, and no system has too much pitching.
Here are the first five:
1. Chris Sale, lhp, Florida Gulf Coast. Sale, who turned 21 in March, is a tall (6’6), lanky (175 lbs) southpaw with above-average command, a nice fastball that touches the mid-90’s and a plus slider and change-up. Sale is considered very signable and may not be around by No. 15. Sale was 9-0 with a 2.00 ERA this year for the Eagles – he had 128 strikeouts and just 12 walks in 90.0 innings pitched. Texas has to give Sale serious consideration at 15, if he falls this far.
2. Alex Wimmers, rhp, Ohio State. Wimmers, 21 last November, has had two big seasons at Ohip State, and like Sale, may not last to No. 15. Wimmers was 9-0 with a 1.61 ERA for the Buckeyes and had 78 strikeouts and 20 walks in 67 innings (Wimmers was 9-2, 3.27 in 2009). Wimmers has a good fastball and a plus curve. Wimmers does not have great command and walks have been an issue at times for him at OSU – not so much this year. The prevailing projection for Wimmers is in the middle first round — the 6’2 righty is rumored to be signable, so he may draw earlier interest. Note: Wimmers missed a start late in the OSU season with a tender hamstring, so this development bears watching.
3. Kyle Parker, of, Clemson. Parker, 20 last September, is one of the most interesting players in this year’s draft and projecting where he might fall is difficult. Parker was a standout at quarterback for the Tigers last fall, and he played spring football during this baseball season. Parker, the son of NFL wide receiver Carl Parker, left high school early to play baseball at Clemson in 2008 – he made Baseball America’s first team freshman All-American team and first-team All-ACC by hitting .303 with 14 home runs in what should have been his senior season in high school. This year, Parker has hit .384 with 17 home runs and 1.254 OPS and has played himself into first round consideration. Parker’s athleticism is extraordinary – his signability is a big question as he has continued with spring football at Clemson, and he may be a little overdrafted here. He has significant upside and deserves a look at 22.
4. Yordy Cabrera, ss, Lakeland FL (HS). Cabrera is a tall, powerfully built high school shortstop with a plus arm (he touches the mid-90’s with his fastball), plus speed and 20-25 HR power potential. Cabrera is old for high school – he turns 20 in October – and he has signed to play at the University of Miami, but he is considered signable in some circles. He has a shortstop’s arm, but range may be a factor, especially as he fills out, so third base or right field may be in his future. Cabrera has the talent to move up the ladder quickly, especially with a position move. Texas will likely have a chance for him at 15 … whether he drops to 22 is a big question.
5. Stefan Sabol, c, Aliso Viejo, CA (HS). Normally, I would avoid high school catching prospects like the plague, but I have seen enough reports comparing Oregon signee Stefan Sabol to long-time Houston star Craig Biggion to make an exception. There are some questions whether or not Sabol projects behind the plate as a pro, but there are no questions about his ability to transition to the outfield down the line if he does not advance at catcher. He has a 20 HR potential, good speed and baserunning instincts and good athleticism. Sabol is possibly overdrafted at 15, but worth a look at 22.
15 & 22
Sale would be an excellent pick at 15 if available, and Wimmers would be a good pick there as well. Signability is super-key there, so I doubt Parker or Cabrera would fit in at 15. I don’t know enough about Sabol to have a firm opinion of him, but it seems like there’s a chance he’d be there in the supplemental round. Given the risk with high school catchers, it might be better to wait on Sabol until 45 or 50.
As for some other names to look at for the 15th choice, I am totally falling in love with Michael Choice. He’s from UT-Arlington, and no fan would complain about a signable pick if he’s a local kid with power. If Sale is gone, it would be between Choice and Wimmers for me. Other to consider at 15 could be RHP Brandon Workman (as an overdraft), OF Bryce Brentz (if he’s willing to sign for around slot), and RHP Jesse Hahn.
For 21, I would also look at any of the guys from 15 who are still available, particularly Workman. Out of the high school pitchers, RHP Kevin Gausman and RHP Tyrell Jenkins are appealing. I agree on Cabrera as a possibility here, and I’m also high on OH Chevez Clarke. I would love to nab Austin Wilson if he falls, though they budget might nix that. LHP Sammy Solis looks good, and I doubt he’d be there for the supplemental picks, so he could be an option as well.
More on 15 & 22
I was going to work on another group of five to look at for 15 & 22 … naropean named two on that list (Choice and Solis). There are a lot of reasons to give Michael Choice a serious look at 15 – money is one. I wonder how much “local favorite” comes into play here with him. I note that Texas passed on Hunter Pence, another UTA star, in 2004 by taking three pitchers, Thomas Diamond from UNO and high schoolers Eric Hurley and K. C. Herren before Houston drafted Pence in the second round.
Sammy Solis a big (6’5", 225), fluid lefty – the knock on him would be that he has not shown the fastball to be a No. 1 or 2 starter (80 strikeouts in 76 innings in 2010), but he is as safe a bet you will find to make it as a 3-4 starter with this pick. He draws comparisons to former USD teammate and current Baltimore starter Brian Matusz, and I think compares well to Oakland’s Brett Anderson. Solis is a red-shirt sophomore; I don’t know how signable he will be.
I’ll take these two out of the mix and have 5 more up later.

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