Brian Matusz Community Projection

Games 31
Games Started 31
Wins 11
Losses 9
Innings 175
Runs Allowed 81
Earned Runs Allowed 77
ERA 3.96
Walks allowed 63
Strikeouts 162
Hits allowed 165
Home runs allowed 17

Games 30
Games Started 30
Complete Games 1
Wins 12
Losses 7
Innings 165
Runs Allowed 72
Earned Runs Allowed 67
ERA (make sure math is right) 3.65
Walks allowed 60
Strikeouts 151
Hits allowed 156
Home runs allowed 16

Games- 25
Games Started- 25
Wins- 7
Losses- 9
Innings- 150
Runs Allowed- 86
Earned Runs Allowed- 78
ERA – 4.68
Walks allowed- 58
Strikeouts- 118
Hits allowed- 157
Home runs allowed-17

Games 26
Games Started 26
Wins 13
Losses 8
Innings 170.1
Runs Allowed 77
Earned Runs Allowed 60
ERA 3.75
Walks allowed 75
Strikeouts 166
Hits allowed 160
Home runs allowed 21

The Orioles have been very conscious of the 30 IP rule for their top pitching prospects, so I expect them to shut down Matusz (Tillman too) once they approach going beyond 30 IP of their 2009 inning total. I think Matusz starts out strong, has a few rough spots, learns to manage bad innings, and finishes the year with a strong string of starts. Overall I think he’s the kind of pitcher who shows the rare mix of consistent quality stuff and good control. The fact that he has 4 good pitches that he doesn’t necessarily lean on any particular pitch too much, gives him the ability to go to something else when something is not working.

Games 30
Games Started 30
Complete Games 2
Wins 13
Losses 8
Innings 180
Runs Allowed 86
Earned Runs Allowed 79
ERA (make sure math is right) 3.95
Walks allowed 57
Strikeouts 161
Hits allowed 165
Home runs allowed 23

I’m expecting him to hit the ground running, with his Park and youth contributing to higher HR numbers.