Discussion Question: African American Pitchers
Where are the African American Pitchers?
Thursday afternoon, after writing up the Crystal Ball for Edwin Jackson, I was doing draft research, watching video of high school prospects DeAndre Smelter and Tyrell Jenkins. That got me thinking about African American pitchers. There aren't very many these days, just a tiny handful in the majors.
The situation isn't much better in the minors. Curious, I went through Baseball America's Top Ten prospect lists for each organization. That's 300 top prospects...and of that 300, only THREE are African American pitchers: Jay Jackson of the Cubs, Wynn Pelzer of the Padres, and Trevor Reckling of the Angels.
Jackson and Pelzer were both college pitchers drafted in the ninth round, Jackson out of Furman in 2008, Pelzer out of South Carolina in '07. Both Jackson and Pelzer grew up and played high school ball in South Carolina, then went to home-state college programs. Reckling was an eighth rounder drafted out of high school in Newark, New Jersey, in '07. None of these guys were super-hot prospects when drafted; all three were draft sleepers who have turned into strong prospects.
I looked a little deeper into the prospect lists, and picked out three additional names capable of moving up into Top 300 consideration: Nevin Griffith in the White Sox system, Jeremy Jeffress in the Brewers organization, and Keyvius Sampson with the Padres.
Unlike Jackson, Pelzer, and Reckling, all three of these guys were early-round picks. Griffith was a second rounder out of high school in Tampa, Florida in '07. Sampson was a fourth rounder last year, another Floridian out of Ocala. Jeffress was a first round pick in '06 out of high school in Virginia, but as you know his drug problems and poor control have hampered his career and keep him from top consideration right now. Griffith had Tommy John surgery in 2008 and is still figuring out his craft, while Sampson has barely begun his career but is highly-regarded by scouts. All three could be Top Ten prospects in their organizations next year if things go well in '10.
Some additional African American pitchers in the minors who are prospects include Dexter Carter of the Padres, Roy Merritt of the Mets, and Sam Freeman of the Cardinals (currently out with Tommy John surgery). None of them are likely to end up in a Top 10 list, but all of them could contribute at the major league level at some point.
This was a quick study and without question I'm missing others. But the point remains that there simply aren't very many African American pitching prospects in the minors right now, especially elite ones.
For years, people have pointed out the declining proportion of African Americans in major league baseball, and people have been looking for ways to revive interest in the sport in the black community. There has been some success with this: C.C. Sabathia, for example, participated in the RBI Program when he was a kid.
What else can be done to revive interest in baseball among African Americans? Surely there are more Bob Gibsons, Vida Blues, and C. C. Sabathias out there...what can be done to guide them away from other sports and onto the mound and diamond?
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David Price.
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by bestbostonsports on Apr 18, 2010 4:18 PM EDT reply actions
I agree--well thought out response krgcrecw
It’s also thoughtlessand ignorant remarks like what O Dawg said on why Sheffield and Jermaine Dye don’t have jobs yet. Racism, really? I know this isn’t the place to bring it up, and I am pretty sure somewhere on this blog someone already has brought it up…
but if the player plays well or is a good player, who the heck cares what race or cultural background they belong to?
by the way, here are some other black players: Milton Bradley (“Mr. Race”, himself), O-Dawg, Span, Hunter….
and to be honest, black-skinned latin players replaced black American players to some extent.
"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"
Thoughts
Hmmm, not sure how to say this without possibly offending blacks/whites/pitchers, but I have a theory as to why there are more (non-latin) black position players than pitchers.
In general, I would say that blacks are better athletes than whites, altho of course there are many exceptions. I am just saying in general. Exhibit A: Olympic 100 meters, 200 meters. Also in general, position players are better athletes than are pitchers (of course exceptions here too). Exhibit A: David Wells. I know I will get some responses from (ex)-pitchers, but the stereotype that “pitchers aren’t athletes” has some true roots.
It could be that blacks are more suited to play the field than the slow white guy whose only hope is to stand atop the hill and that is their best hope to “make it”…..I was reading somewhere last week that the possible reason for so many latin catchers is bc they are willing to do anything to “make it” bc they don’t have a Plan B like most American kids do. Hence, they’ll don the tools of ignorance and take a beating to increase their odds of sticking.
The Giants need to sign Harry Doyle.
I think the issue is that pitchers take longer to develop and that blacks are disproportionately punished with regards to lack of development options. I think there are both blacks and whites who are athletic enough to play the outfield, but there are fewer channels to develop Black Craft and there is less interest in black youth in pursuing these channels given the status of basketball and football in the community.
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discussion
There are all kinds of potential minefields in a discussion like this, so everyone should be respectful please. So far, so good, but let’s keep it that way.
I’m thinking SPECIFICALLY about relative lack of pitchers. The current percentage of African American players in the majors is between 10 and 13 percent, which is about in line with their percentage in the general population. But the pitcher percentage seems much lower than that. It’s the pitchers that I’m thinking about.
ratios
I think its good that the percent of AA players in the majors is in line w relative population. On a side note, any data on percent of latin players vs. percent of latin population? (I realize some/many latins come here specifically to play, then return home)
Any thoughts on my pitcher theory or were you abiding by the “if you don’t have anything nice to say” rule?
Kung Fu Pandamania.
I think there’s an issue with the lack of personnel to develop pitchers in black communities as well. I think that there are more self taught hitters than self taught pitchers perhaps? The lack of Black pitchers in the minors also means there are probably fewer black pitchers who drop out of the minors and shift to coaching at the secondary and collegiate levels to mentor other black pitchers. What was the development path like for Sabathia and Price? Who were there coaches and why is their path easy or tough to replicate?
erskine has scored...now i can die in peace
It's an interesting question
First and foremost, I believe that this issue makes a lot more sense when framed as a socio-economic problem rather than a racial one. It’s not that there are too few black people playing baseball, it’s that there are too few inner-city poor people playing baseball, and inner-city poor people happen to be overwhelmingly African-American.
Poorer communities have less access to high-level coaching to help develop baseball “skills,” but can still develop athleticism to help them excel in sports that emphasize athleticism over skills (i.e. basketball). More than any other activity in the game, pitching requires a ton of coaching to perform at the highest level. There are guys who are simply natural hitters, and have very little strategy involved in their at-bats. Pitchers without a strategy are “throwers,” and don’t succeed at the Major League level You have to learn different pitches, learn how to set each pitch up, learn strategy to get through a lineup multiple times.
Essentially, I think poor inner-city kids get less/worse coaching, and pitching is the activity that requires the most coaching to perform at the highest level. I think the same argument can be applied to the oft-asked question of why there aren’t more black quarterbacks.
But the bottom line is that the issue must be addressed as a socio-economic problem to be properly resolved. Perhaps an MLB team could start a baseball academy in the inner-cities similar to those in Latin American countries to give talented kids access to the kind of high-level coaching it takes to succeed in MLB.
"Karma - there it was. The meaning of life, straight from Carson Daly's lips to my morphine-laced ears." -Earl Hickey
by BLee2525 on Apr 18, 2010 9:05 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
+1
yes, I think economics is a huge part of this. I would love to see a study of the soceo-economic origins of ML players.
by John Sickels on Apr 18, 2010 9:52 PM EDT up reply actions
It also makes sense from a simply
what talks more money equipment wise. One Basketball and one Football and you can play those sports. Both Baseball and Hockey require much more equipment.
"You think our war drill is something now. Next year is going to be fist fighting."- Tom Izzo
Go Spartans
Agreed
There are a few factors, the main one being economics. I do not mean to come off the wrong way here, but demographically there are not a lot of African American kids playing baseball. There are a few reasons, many have to do with basketball and football being more popular.
Baseball is more expensive and more equipment is needed. All you need for a basketball game is a ball and a hoop. There are more basketball hoops than baseball fields.
It is easier to get a basketball or football scholarship than a baseball scholarship. Few (if any) baseball scholarships are full rides. If a lower class, inner city kid wants to go to school for free there is a better chance of it happening in basketball or football.
I agree with the comment about less/poor coaching. How many times have you heard about a kid who never played baseball until HS or college making it? It happens in basketball and football far more often. Baseball is a far more fundamentally based game. The fundamentals have to be taught at an early age.
Also, most teams want to put their better athletes at SS or in CF, not on the mound.
Basketball has become more glamorous to the African American kids. They look up to Lebron, Wade, Kobe and Rose more than they do Hunter, Sabathia, Kemp and the Uptons.
The RBI program is working though. There are some great young African American players in Kemp, Heyward, the Uptons, etc.
by bl on Apr 19, 2010 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions
Again, I would debate this with regards to the DC area. I bet that DC will get more attention from MLB due to its low income population. PG County is a middle class black area where people do not choose baseball because of its lack of status amongst youth. Baseball gives fewer opportunities to show off the dunks and hits and touchdowns that allow adolescent males to impress the ladies. The ironic thing here is that PG does have the AA Bowie Baysox that produce outstanding Baltimore Orioles prospects like Matt Wieters and Brian Matusz and these guys register nothing in the black middle class community that surrounds the team. Bowie probably gets a larger percentage of its fans from Anne Arundel, Howard, and the Eastern Shore than it does the immediately local middle class African American community that surrounds it.
erskine has scored...now i can die in peace
Here's my guess.
I would speculate that some kind of positional “tracking” takes place throughout the baseball careers of African-American players. Conventional norms and unconscious (or perhaps conscious) bias lead to an increased tendency for coaches and managers to place young African-American players into what are seen as more “appropriate” positional tracks for African Americans. These tracks persist throughout a player’s career and make it more likely that particular players will stay at their given position. These tracks also perpetuate assumptions that certain tracks are more appropriate for certain groups of players (e.g., most African-American players are position players, therefore, because Johnny is African American, he should be a position player).
Conventional wisdom, as jrose points out, says that African-American players are innately better athletes. Whether or not this is true is a completely different topic, but it is certainly accepted as true without question by many people. The prevalance of African Americans in more athletic positions only serves to reinforce this view. By this belief, African-American players should be put into positions where their “natural athleticism” can make the most impact, like the outfield. This process of placement into tracks probably begins in the very lowest levels of youth baseball. Players are first sorted as they enter organized baseball. By the time players begin to be regarded as prospects, positions have become much more crystallized. If a player has been a position player for their entire career, major league organizations or colleges will certainly be more hesitant to attempt a conversion to pitching, regardless of the player’s raw talents. This adds up to a process whereby African-American players are less likely to be pitchers.
Perhaps there are two issues here then...
…some blacks are in predominantly black communities where there are few tracking issues but less pitching coaching able to develop that talent. Other blacks are in areas where pitching is a privilege that they have less access to. How many pitchers are coaches kids? I know that my cousin is the son of a linebacker who is being developed into a football quarterback because he knows how to develop quarterbacks and not baseball players. His younger son digs baseball and is trying to play baseball but he is not getting as high quality instruction in baseball because there aren’t as many blacks with minor league baseball experience coming back to work in these communities.
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id actually subscribe to this
Definitely a pretty likely possibility
Feliz says his greatest thrill was striking out Boston Red Sox DH David Ortiz, one of his heroes. Yet, when he called to tell his parents, his mother had a request: Strike out New York Yankees third baseman Alex Rodriguez, too.
"So when I did that," Feliz says, "I told my mom, 'There you go. There's your present. Don't ask me to strike anyone else out, OK?'
While I get tired of hearing about how there need to be more African-Americans in this sport or in this position or coaching, etc., I agree with John that MLB should not overlook sources of talent. I also agree with a lot of the points that have already been made. One point I would like to add is that, while I cannot speak for African-Americans, my guess is that they may see the athletic plays being made on Web Gems and be more inclined to be in the field rather than on the mound. Aaron Hicks might be an example of this, having potential as both a hitter and a pitcher (also a product of the Urban Youth Academy in Compton). This is not just an issue among African-Americans as there are many players who would rather be everyday players. Another related point is that once there is a dearth of “role models”, for lack of a better word, there may be less interest in playing the position.
A major factor is the bizarrely tight NCAA restrictions on athletic scholarships for baseball
If you can’t afford to pay your own way in college, and the school doesn’t have one of the very small number of scholarships available, you’re not going to college. If you play two sports, you’ll turn to the other one as your first choice. A few guys can do a two-way thing, like Jared Mitchell, but that has to be both much more difficult and much more exhausting. And if coaches are, on the whole, racially biased (not implausible), then they may be less willing to give one of their extremely small hoard of scholarships to a black player.
Less clear is why this would have a differential effect on black players causing them to become hitters rather than pitchers, but it may well be that pro teams can pick out the good hitting prospects even if they struggle in college, or before they enter college, whereas the good pitching prospects tend to get left behind when they aren’t in the spotlight.
Shawn Spencer: Ahoy there! Um, yes. Right! My name is Shawn Spencer! This is my first mate Hummingbird Saltalamacchia!
Burton Guster: Hello!
Shawn Spencer: We were turned around-- discombobulated! We... we just now realized we're in restricted waters.
Burton Guster: Just now! And we both have hepatitis!
+1
Though college programs are responsible for only a portion of the minor-league talent pool, your point remains an excellent one.
"Most overrated prospect in the minors." -- Bravesin07 on Madison Bumgarner
by criminal type on Apr 19, 2010 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions
This is certainly a major issue
Baseball’s longer development curve is certainly intimidating to those who lack resources.
erskine has scored...now i can die in peace
Here's a question:
At what age do pitching prospects become pitching specialists, generally speaking?
I mean, to be recruited or drafted as a pitcher, you have to be having success as one by your junior season in high school, I’m guessing. While hitters are drafted out of high school and college even if they haven’t played primarily baseball but have good tools, like Xavier Avery for example. But I can’t name too many players drafted as pitchers who didn’t have at least a breaking ball by their junior year of high school.
To be understood is to be a prostitute. ~ Fernando Pessoa
A self-fulfilling prophecy?
An example I can give is which isn’t spoken about much is historically Dominicans have generally had a substandard lot at Catcher (Tony Pena is the most notable, current crop includes Ronny Paulino and Miguel Olivo, not exactly the strong suit of their WBC team) It’s just generally not cool to play catcher in the D.R. and kids know at an early age it is the hardest way to sign a professional contract because very few have ever done it. Hopefully Gary Sanchez can turn the tide with his $3M bonus.
Puerto Ricans on the other hand have had about a dozen All-Star catchers in the last 25 years, it’s just more ingrained in their baseball upbringing to give catcher a chance.
Any minority group in any sport is going to have more players specialized in one position because the first players from that area started out there and it creates and the easiest way in which means they are underrepresented in another, same goes for Quebec hockey players who are more likely to be goaltenders, Mexicans and pitcher, Venezuelans and shortstop, Serbs/Croatians/Lithuanians as 6’10 small forwards who shoot 3’s, etc.
It becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy, when you have the likes of Bob Gibson, Vida Blue, Satchel Paige in the HOF as black pitchers and Mays, Aaron, Griffey, Bonds, and about another 40 HOF level outfielders etc which do you think a 12 year old kid in 2010 would gravitate to as his best chance to play high-level ball if equally gifted at both. Maybe if Jackie Robinson and Larry Doby had been pitchers it would’ve led to Dave Winfield and Tony Gwynn to be pitchers and would’ve led to Carl Crawford, B.J. Upton, and Desmond Jennings to be pitchers but it didn’t work out that way and that’s ok.
by two fishsticks on Apr 18, 2010 11:42 PM EDT reply actions
catchers
ask any scout and they will tell you the Puerto Rican at catcher theme did not happen by accident, but by design. Puerto Rico, as a US territory, teaches its kids a bi-lingual curriculum. With the influx of so many latin speaking players as well as the American players it is of great benefit to have a catcher than can communicate with his pitchers regardless of race. Domincans could take 2-3 years of schooling before they could comfortably communicate with English speaking pitchers and vice versa
Good point
Though that doesn’t explain why there are so many Venezuelan catchers:
Victor Martinez, Miguel Montero, Dioner Navarro, Ramon Hernandez, Jesus Flores, Yorvit Torrealba, Max Ramirez come to mind off the top of my head.
by two fishsticks on Apr 19, 2010 12:50 AM EDT up reply actions
Aaron Hicks
Would Aaron Hicks make an interesting case study for this topic? Wasn’t he considered an equally good prospect as both a pitcher and a position player? What made the Twins decide to take him as position player? Was it the organization or the player’s desire to play the field? Or both?
I look at the way Boston has handled Casey Kelly and wonder if this was ever a possibility with Hicks?
off the top of my head...
Jason Rice, Erick Threets, Joe Bateman, DJ Mitchell, Derrick Gordan, Davern Hansack, Duente Heath, Tyree Harris…
Others in the Bigs/Minors with MLB experience
Cory wade
Wesley Wright
Tyson Ross
James McDonald
Edwin Jackson
He is the opposite case from Aaron Hicks … a good HS hitter and pitcher who chose pitching.
I’ve interviewed Jackson twice and never thought to ask him about that. Mistake on me!
"Most overrated prospect in the minors." -- Bravesin07 on Madison Bumgarner
policy
I am very much a free speech guy and give posters a lot of lattitude, but there are two things that WILL get you banned around here: racism and homophobia.
Keep this discussion focused, folks.
a different view point
I have seen a different view point written by Jason Whitlock a black columnist on Fox Sports, and he says baseball is a father and son sport and basketball is a babymama sport, which is why he feels there are less blacks playing baseball. I don’t believe this totally accounts for it, but it could have something to do with it.
Not a big Whitlock fan and don't like this argument
Football is the sport that is sucking a lot of air out of the room as youth football becomes a larger and larger focus. Football can’t be cheap either with the need for equipment and field space as well. Yet it is smoking baseball out of the room. I think part of the issue is that “babymama” would say “My boy ain’t playing football. He’ll get injured!” Football is conquering that argument and more blacks are playing football because that is seen as the way out or the way to economic success and college scholarships.
erskine has scored...now i can die in peace
As an African American male, who is about to turn 40. I grew up in the bay area,
and my next door neighbor was Mike Young, former ROY runner up, for the Orioles, in the early 80’s, and we played baseball all the time, because it was easy to pick up a tennis ball, s bat,and there were plenty of fields around, and California, had more money, to keep up maintenance. The times were also different, the African American, community, was more tight knit, you had the same group of friends for many years, and we could ride our bikes, for a couple of miles, to a park, and our parents didn’t worry as much, because we had all grew up together, and we had a future MLB player, who would also escort us from time to time, who also, knew all our parents, and our parents knew his family. Now, you see kids, by themselves, shooting hoops in front of the house or the backyard, because, there are not many kids in the neighborhood, who can go to a park, because with the violence of today, you would have to be with an adult, to make sure you are safe. This is just one of the many differences, I have noticed over the years, but I hope it changes, because I like having my son, see someone, that looks like him, and from where he is from, in the Major Leagues.
by theblackpearl on Apr 19, 2010 1:12 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
In the early 80s means that you are dealing with a prebasketball era. When basketball had its heydey in the 80s it sucked a lot of talent out of the room. Likewise football is sucking a lot of its talent out of the room.
If baseball is going to win, it has to link baseball participation to improved disciplinary behavior and test score outcomes to secondary schools because those are the metrics that secondary schools respect. Otherwise, it becomes parent motivation to support the sport. The popularity of football and basketball will trump baseball if that’s the deciding factor.
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The RBI program is fine doesn't explain PG County outside DC
I think that baseball suffers so much in status compared to football now that upper middle class kids outside of DC choose football and basketball over baseball. I think in the past, baseball was kind of the side sport for some kids who played football and basketball during the spring. Some of these kids fell in love with the sport or developed superior talent and chose baseball.
Now basketball is more of a full year deal. Kids who are serious about basketball must play AAU ball (which ain’t cheap for those who make an economic argument) and don’t play baseball. With increased specialization you have to choose between baseball and basketball earlier in the game.
With football it’s very much a status issue and a physical tools issue. I worked with a kid in the DC Metro area (upper middle class kid) who was a decent football prospect and a strong baseball prospect. Let’s just say the girls he was interested in loved the football player more than the baseball player and when he ended up choosing college he choose to go to a Historically Black College to play football and baseball rather than focus on baseball. I also think there are some kids who dig football who don’t see baseball as something that will help their offseason training as much as track.
If you want to increase the presence of black players, it has to be in the same way that baseball succeeds in many communities around the country. Minor league teams need to be present in the black community and establish relationships and training and development at very young ages. In the inner city, the minor league teams aren’t there. The major league teams are there. Out of the inner city, there aren’t as many minor league teams. But the Bowie Baysox are located may be 10-15 miles outside of DC in an upper middle class black community in the middle of a public school system that offers almost zero support for baseball.
If you want to start with the disparity in baseball, focus on why Prince George’s County, a hotbed for basketball and football and a middle class/upper middle class black community offers zero baseball prospects. Ironically, one of the few local baseball prospects from the DC area, Justin Maxwell for the Washington Nationals came up in Olney, MD from Montgomery County an area with far fewer African Americans.
Likewise, Washington’s main African-American ballplayer is a toolsy outfielder (speed) who started out playing hockey and used baseball as a fallback when it didn’t work out. Elijah Dukes played both baseball and football I believe. I think for the pitchers, that’s a type of player that starts pitching at a far younger age, has more baseball bloodlines, and needs to be reached earlier on in the development than the phyiscally toolsy position players who tend to crossover to baseball.
Be very interested in thoughts on these and other matters.
erskine has scored...now i can die in peace
If you want to really increase the number of black players....
create an incentive for teams to build Domincan style academies in the US.
The obvious reason MLB teams don’t build academies is becuase of the draft. Teams figure why train/teach players on your own dime only to see them get drafted by another organization?
Here’s my solution: players that are fulltime at a team’s academy are “protected” for a set ammount of rounds in the draft. The number of rounds a player is protected is dependent on how long that player has been attending the academy.
For example: Johny Washington has been going to the Kansas City Royals Academy located in rural Alabama since he was 13 years old. Because of this he is protected from other teams in the draft until the 25th round. That is the Royals have until the 25th round to draft Johny after which he can be drafted by any team.
Now, example B is Jamal Johnson. Jamal has only been attending the Royals Academy for 1 year. The Royals can still protect him, but only for something line 1 or 2 rounds. This would keep teams from trying to float ringers in such as a Aaron Hicks. If the player has been at the academy for less than a calendar year he cannot be protected at all.
I think it would obviously have to be ironed out, but would certainly create an incentive for MLB clubs to invest with these kids
Why are we talking about pitchers in isolation?
I see a lot more African American ball players in the game, but they are almost all position players. I don’t know the cause or significance of this, but if we just discuss pitchers we are overlooking the influx of young African American positional players.
Uptons, J.Heyward, A. McCutchen, D. Fowler, M.Stanton, D.Jennings, A.Hicks, D.Brown, M Taylor, T.Beckham, C. Carter
We are talking about it BECAUSE of that disparity
We’re just wondering why that is. It’s a valid question worth asking — where did they go? Is there a reason for it? Don Newcombe was one of the first African Americans in the major leagues, as was Joe Black. Bob Gibson is a Hall of Famer. Lee Smith may well be someday. Satchel Paige is a seminal figure in the sport’s colorful history, and Vida Blue and Dwight Gooden were dominant forces before being undone by their own demons.
Now, outside of Sabathia, there’s almost no one of star quality. If you don’t ask why that is, or at least wonder, then I feel sorry for you.
Missed my point
We are talking about pitchers but then the conversation has been to where are the black ballplayers? The more interesting question is not where are the black ballplayers, but why are they mostly hitters (OF?) and not pitchers. This seems to be the more nuanced and informed question. Especially since it seems like there are going to be more superstar players, who are also black, in the coming years.
Maybe it’s coaching, models, racism — I don’t know. I just think we shouldn’t talk about the decline in black pitchers without simultaneously thinking about the wealth of young black positional players
technically speaking...
there is no significant increase in African American talent than there was a decade ago.
The BA Top 100 from 2000 had 13 black players, this year’s had 14. There were more in the top five back then with Corey Patterson #3 and Vernon Wells #4. Its easy to laugh at some of the names now; Gookie Dawkins, Choo Freeman, Kenny Kelly, George Lombard, but the same will probably be said in 2020 about this year’s crop of players.
Is it any different if you go to top 30?
I don’t know that there is really an increase in African American talent but I do see a lot of top flight young guys coming up. I think Justin Upton and Jason Heyward are pretty close to being special already and then there is another large group of top 30 prospects to go with the rookies like McCutchen.
It’s interesting that they are all hitters. Time will tell on the young guys but I hope they are better than Gookie.
2000 vs 2010
2010 in top 30 (6) Heyward, Jennings, Brown, Hicks, Carter, Taylor
2000 in top 30 (4) Corey Patterson, Vernon Wells, Dee Brown, Gookie Dawkins
Heyward looks like a sure thing, but then again, so did Patterson up until about 2005. Jennings looks like a safe bet to be at least a league ave CFer just based off his defense, speed and plate discipline, even if his power never develops. Brown and Hicks are not sure things by any stretch. Carter and Taylor have already proven themselves at higher levels, but then again so did Dee Brown (who just smashed in AA).
2000 v 2010
2010 in top 30 (6) Heyward, Jennings, Brown, Hicks, Carter, Taylor
2000 in top 30 (4) Corey Patterson, Vernon Wells, Dee Brown, Gookie Dawkins
Heyward looks like a sure thing, but then again, so did Patterson up until about 2005. Jennings looks like a safe bet to be at least a league ave CFer just based off his defense, speed and plate discipline, even if his power never develops. Brown and Hicks are not sure things by any stretch. Carter and Taylor have already proven themselves at higher levels, but then again so did Dee Brown (who just smashed in AA).

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