FanPost

13 Prospect Lists, 1 Final Ranking

I recently published two similar articles to this one at Beyond the Boxscore.  After some discussion and thought, I have changed how I did the rankings.  Basically, I wanted a good method for handling various prospect lists to come up with an overall composite ranking.  I used the lists Joe Hamrahi at BaseballDailyDiget.com compiled and here is my methodology:

  • In total,13 rankings were used and I didn't use Dobber Rankings from the Baseball Daily Digest list as it contained some players that were actually rookies last season.
  • I averaged and counted the rankings from each list.  Some list were only top 20, while others were top 101.  
  • In any case that someone was not on a list, they were given a value using the following method:  I found the number half way between the number of people on the list and 114 (number of players that made 2 lists).  This value was given to all players that didn't make the list.  For example, for everyone that didn't make a list of 50 prospects, they were given a value of 82 for that list.
  • I ranked all the players by the averaged ranking.  I placed all players that only appear in one list in a honorable mention list.  I was looking for players that several people acknowledge as good.
  • For the team data I took the average rank (86) of the lowest ranked player, Junichi Tazawa, to make the baseline value.  I added 1 to his average rank (86+1) to give Junichi Tazawa some value.  Then I subtracted each prospects averaged ranking from 87 to give each player a point value.  The top ranked player, Jason Heyward got the most points while Junichi Tazawa got the least.  Finally I added up the totals to get the overall rankings.  

First in the organizational rankings and then the individual rankings:

Rank Team Number Points
1 Rays 7 261
2 Rangers 4 236
3 Giants 4 168
4 Braves 4 158
5 Indians 6 146
6 Orioles 4 145
7 Marlins 3 140
8 Nationals 3 139
9 Red Sox 7 131
10 Athletics 3 124
11 Blue Jays 4 121
12 Reds 4 119
13 Mariners 3 113
14 Twins 5 104
15 Mets 4 103
16 Rockies 3 102
17 Royals 6 101
18 Cubs 6 99
19 Yankees 3 97
20 Pirates 3 96
21 Brewers 3 96
22 Phillies 2 87
23 Tigers 3 76
24 Padres 4 72
25 Dodgers 3 52
26 White Sox 3 52
27 Astros 3 50
28 Diamondbacks 2 42
29 Angels 4 40
30 Cardinals 1 21

Player Rankings:

Rank Name, Pos, Team Average Rank Lists
1 Jason Heyward, of, Braves 1.4 13
2 Stephen Strasburg, rhp, Nationals 1.9 13
3 Mike Stanton, of, Marlins 5.9 13
4 Jesus Montero, c, Yankees 6.5 13
5 Buster Posey, c, Giants 6.8 13
6 Brian Matusz, lhp, Orioles 7.5 13
7 Neftali Feliz, rhp, Rangers 8.7 13
8 Carlos Santana, c, Indians 8.9 13
9 Desmond Jennings, of, Rays 10.5 12
10 Dustin Ackley, of/1b/2b, Mariners 12.0 13
11 Justin Smoak, 1b, Rangers 12.8 13
12 Pedro Alvarez, 3b, Pirates 12.8 13
13 Madison Bumgarner, lhp, Giants 14.5 13
14 Domonic Brown, of, Phillies 15.7 13
15 Alcides Escobar, ss, Brewers 22.9 12
16 Martin Perez, lhp, Rangers 25.4 11
17 Jeremy Hellickson, rhp, Rays 26.5 11
18 Kyle Drabek, rhp, Blue Jays 27.7 11
19 Chris Carter, of/1b, Athletics 30.3 11
20 Wade Davis, rhp, Rays 33.6 10
21 Michael Taylor, of, Athletics 33.9 10
22 Casey Kelly, rhp, Red Sox 34.5 10
23 Logan Morrison, 1b, Marlins 34.8 11
24 Brett Wallace, 3b/1b, Blue Jays 35.3 10
25 Aaron Hicks, of, Twins 35.8 10
26 Starlin Castro, ss, Cubs 36.3 9
27 Ryan Westmoreland, of, Red Sox 36.9 10
28 Aroldis Chapman, lhp, Reds 38.5 9
29 Christian Friedrich, lhp, Rockies 45.5 7
30 Jarrod Parker, rhp, Diamondbacks 47.8 7
31 Mike Montgomery, lhp, Royals 50.9 8
32 Fernando Martinez, of, Mets 51.1 9
33 Derek Norris, c, Nationals 51.2 7
34 Josh Bell, 3b, Orioles 53.5 8
35 Dee Gordon, ss, Dodgers 53.8 7
36 Jennry Mejia, rhp, Mets 54.2 7
37 Jhoulys Chacin, rhp, Rockies 54.2 10
38 Lonnie Chisenhall, 3b, Indians 56.6 6
39 Yonder Alonso, 1b, Reds 58.3 7
40 Freddie Freeman, 1b, Braves 58.9 6
41 Jason Castro, c, Astros 59.3 7
42 Tyler Matzek, lhp, Rockies 59.4 6
43 Julio Teheran, rhp, Braves 59.7 7
44 Michael Saunders, of, Mariners 60.1 7
45 Austin Jackson, of, Tigers 60.4 7
46 Aaron Crow, rhp, Royals 60.6 7
47 Jaff Decker, of, Padres 60.6 7
48 Matt Moore, lhp, Rays 60.7 6
49 Tim Beckham, ss, Rays 61.2 7
50 Casey Crosby, lhp, Tigers 61.7 6
51 Josh Vitters, 3b, Cubs 61.8 6
52 Brett Lawrie, 2b, Brewers 62.4 7
53 Jacob Turner, rhp, Tigers 63.0 6
54 Donavan Tate, of, Padres 64.3 5
55 Todd Frazier, of/2b/3b, Reds 64.5 6
56 Dan Hudson, rhp, White Sox 64.8 6
57 Tanner Scheppers, rhp, Rangers 65.0 6
58 Shelby Miller, rhp, Cardinals 65.7 5
59 Wilson Ramos, c, Twins 66.5 6
60 Mike Leake, rhp, Reds 68.1 7
61 Zach Britton, lhp, Orioles 68.1 6
62 Ike Davis, 1b, Mets 68.1 6
63 Mike Trout, of, Angels 68.4 6
64 Mike Moustakas, 3b, Royals 68.5 7
65 Drew Storen, rhp, Nationals 69.0 8
66 Arodys Vizcaino, rhp, Braves 70.5 4
67 Simon Castro, rhp, Padres 71.1 5
68 Tyler Flowers, c, White Sox 71.2 6
69 Wilmer Flores, ss, Mets 71.3 5
70 Phillippe Aumont, rhp, Phillies 71.5 5
71 Grant Green, ss, Athletics 72.7 6
72 Kyle Gibson, rhp, Twins 73.3 5
73 Jared Mitchell, of, White Sox 73.5 5
74 Chris Withrow, rhp, Dodgers 73.7 5
75 Jake Arrieta, rhp, Orioles 74.3 6
76 Ben Revere, OF, Twins 74.5 4
77 Hector Rondon , P , CLE 74.8 4
78 Jose Tabata, OF, Pirates 74.9 5
79 Hank Conger, c, Angels 75.4 5
80 Jiovanni Mier, ss, Astros 75.5 5
81 Reid Brignac, ss, Rays 75.7 4
82 Carlos Triunfel , SS , SEA 76.4 3
83 Jordan Lyles, rhp, Astros 76.4 4
84 Zack Wheeler, rhp, Giants 77.0 4
85 Nick Hagadone, lhp, Indians 77.0 5
86 Tony Sanchez, c, Pirates 77.3 6
87 Wil Myers, C, Royals 77.7 4
88 Lars Anderson, 1b, Red Sox 77.8 4
89 Eric Hosmer , 1B , KC 78.1 3
90 Brett Jackson, of, Cubs 78.1 5
91 Zach Stewart , P , TOR 78.3 4
92 Manny Banuelos , P , NYY 78.4 3
93 Josh Reddick, of, Red Sox 79.1 3
94 Alex White, rhp, Indians 79.1 3
95 Austin Romine, c, Yankees 79.3 3
96 James Darnell, 3b, Padres 79.7 3
97 Mat Gamel, 3b, Brewers 79.7 4
98 Jason Knapp, rhp, Indians 79.8 3
99 Matt Dominguez , 3B , FLA 79.8 2
100 Alex Colome, rhp, Rays 80.0 2
101 Hak Ju Lee , SS , CHC 80.0 2
102 Jose Iglesias , SS , BOS 80.5 4
103 Miguel Sano, ss/3b, Twins 80.7 3
104 Trevor Reckling, LHP, Angels 80.7 4
105 Jay Jackson, rhp, Cubs 81.7 3
106 Ethan Martin, RHP, Dodgers 82.0 3
107 Thomas Neal, of, Giants 82.0 3
108 Ryan Kalish, OF, Red Sox 83.0 3
109 Peter Bourjos, of, Angels 83.8 3
110 Bobby Borchering , 3B , ARZ 84.1 2
111 Andrew Cashner, rhp, Cubs 84.9 2
112 Noel Arguelles, lhp, Royals 85.3 2
113 Travis d'Arnaud, c, Blue Jays 85.4 2
114 Junichi Tazawa , P , BOS 86.0 2
HM Mike Minor 83.1 1
HM Anthony Gose 83.3 1
HM Andy Oliver 83.4 1
HM Tyson Gillies 83.6 1
HM Anthony Rizzo 83.8 1
HM Scott Sizemore 84.1 1
HM Ruben Tejada , SS , NYM 84.2 1
HM Daryl Jones 84.3 1
HM Chris Marrero 84.6 1
HM Michael Inoa, RHP, Athletics 84.8 1
HM Matt Sweeney 85.0 1
HM David Bromberg 85.2 1
HM Nick Weglarz , OF , CLE 85.2 1
HM Daniel Duffy , P , KC 85.2 1
HM Michael Brantley 85.2 1
HM Juan Francisco 85.4 1
HM Jonathan Galvez , SS , SD 85.4 1
HM Zach McAllister 85.6 1
HM Andrew Mambo , OF , LAD 85.6 1
HM Daniel Schlereth 85.8 1
HM Chad James, lhp, Marlins 85.8 1
HM Edinson Rincon , 3B , SD 85.9 1
HM Craig Kimbrel 86.0 1
HM Zeke Spruill 86.2 1
HM Adam Moore, c, Mariners 86.2 1
HM Wilin Rosario 86.2 1
HM Brandon Allen 86.3 1
HM Randall Delgado 86.3 1
HM Jhan Marinez 86.4 1
HM Max Stassi , C , OAK 86.5 1
HM Chris Heisey 86.5 1
HM Jordan Walden, RHP, Angels 86.6 1
HM A.J. Pollock 86.8 1
HM Tim Melville, RHP, Royals 86.9 1
HM Jon Niese , P , NYM 86.9 1
HM Alex Liddi 86.9 1
HM Gabriel Noriega, SS, Mariners 87.0 1
HM Grant Desme 87.0 1
HM Fabio Martinez, RHP, Angels 87.0 1
HM Eric Arnett 87.1 1
HM Jurickson Profar 87.2 1
HM Julio Morban , OF , SEA 87.2 1
HM Jamie Garcia 87.4 1
HM Michael Bowden , P , BOS 87.5 1
HM Brent Morel 87.5 1
HM Danny Espinosa, SS, Nationals 87.5 1
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