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BP Dodger Top 11

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=10024


 

Five-Star Prospects
1. Dee Gordon, SS
2. Chris Withrow, RHP
Four-Star Prospects
3. Ethan Martin, RHP
Three-Star Prospects
4. Aaron Miller, LHP
5. Scott Elbert, LHP
6. Trayvon Robinson, OF
7. Garrett Gould, RHP
8. Ivan DeJesus Jr., SS
9. Josh Lindblom, RHP
Two-Star Prospects
10. Kenley Jansen, RHP
11. Kyle Russell, OF

Four More:
12. Andrew Lambo, OF: He isn’t an athletic corner outfielder, and is instead a bat-only prospect who might not have enough bat.
13. Allen Webster, RHP: A highly projectable righty, Webster has the potential to rocket up this list after his 2010 full-season debut.
14. Pedro Baez, 3B: He needs to overcome an injury bug and plate discipline issues, but his tools remain outstanding.
15. Nathan Eovaldi, RHP: This Tommy John surgery survivor was kept on a short leash in 2009, but he was brilliant at times while showcasing one of the more live arms in the system.

 

 

1. Dee Gordon, SS
DOB: 4/22/88
Height/Weight: 5-11/150
Bats/Throws: L/R
Drafted/Signed: 4th round, 2008, Seminole CC (FL)
2009 Stats: .301/.362/.394 at Low-A (131 G)
Last Year’s Ranking: 7

Year in Review: A highly athletic shortstop, Gordon earned Midwest League co-MVP honors in a stunning full-season debut.
The Good: Gordon's tools are the best in the system by a mile, and among the best in the game, with one scout calling him, "A Jimmy Rollins starter kit." He has outstanding hand-eye coordination and a knack for contact; he has the potential to develop enough power for 10-15 home runs annually. He's a pure burner who led the league with 73 stolen bases, and he's a quick-twitch athlete with well above-average range and arm strength.
The Bad: Gordon is quite raw, and while that creates plenty of room for excitement, as he's been able to produce big numbers on sheer athleticism, there's also concern, as he's far less refined than most players his age. He needs to improve his plate discipline and work on becoming more consistent defensively, but both of those issues saw considerable improvement as the 2009 season wore on.
Ephemera: Dodgers farm director DeJon Watson was a roommate with Gordon's father, Tom, when both were minor-leaguers in the Royals system.
Perfect World Projection: He’s an All-Star shortstop.
Path to the Big Leagues: Gordon needs at least two more years in the minors, and there's still a chance he'll need to move to center field.
Timetable: Despite his performance, most see Gordon as a one-step-at-a-time player, so he'll likely spend most, if not all of 2010 at High-A Inland Empire.

 

Discuss...

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I like this list

I especially like the ranking of Scott Elbert. I’d probably more Allen Webster up a few spots while dropping Russell out, but that’s about it

by Jeff Reese on Feb 8, 2010 2:08 PM EST reply actions  

seriously

they have kyle russell over lambo..

by matthewmafa on Feb 8, 2010 2:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Other than shoulder vs. elbow

How is Withrow any different from Jason Knapp?

Someone want to make that case?

by alskor on Feb 8, 2010 2:19 PM EST reply actions  

Knapp has an absolute ceiling of #2

However, many are afraid he wont develop his secondary pitches and will be forced to go to the pen.

Also, he is known as more of a thrower than a pitcher.

Withrow has a mid 90s FB and a plus curveball. Withrow ended in AA, Knapp didnt.

I think that Withrow is the safer pick long term. If he develops a changeup(he has it, but will work on refining it in 2010), he is a #2 or #1. He has the frame to absorb innings. Similar to Chad Billingsley.

This link is from May of 09, a write up about Knapp:

http://www.baseball-intellect.com/scouting-knapp-worley-stutes/

I havent been able to find a more recent scouting on Knapp but I think the injuries and the lack of secondary pitches is a little scary

by lakersdodgersyankees4life on Feb 8, 2010 4:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Withrow

Withrow ended the season both healthy and in AA.

The Dodgers won't win a playoff series until the Cool-a-Coo returns.

by mckeeno on Feb 8, 2010 3:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Dee Gordon writeup

“…potential to develop enough power for 10-15 home runs annually. He’s a pure burner who led the league with 73 stolen bases, and he’s a quick-twitch athlete with well above-average range and arm strength.”

To me, that makes him sound more like Jose Reyes than Jimmy Rollins. Am I off base here?

by rmarx on Feb 8, 2010 3:29 PM EST reply actions  

John compared him to

Raffy Furcal in Furcal’s prime. Either way, he really cant go wrong with any of those 3.

I could see Reyes a little more, because I feel Rollins has more power than what Gordon will have

by lakersdodgersyankees4life on Feb 8, 2010 4:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, I like the Reyes comp more

I don’t know that Gordon will ever have Rollins’ power. Gordon is extremely fast, and could very easily steal 40+ bases per year if he learns how to get on base consistently (like Reyes).

by guru4u on Feb 8, 2010 4:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Just a thought, but...

Perhaps the Rollins comp is in part because it took Rollins until a later age to put it all together and Gordon is old for where his development is.

by aap212 on Feb 8, 2010 4:46 PM EST up reply actions  

less power than either

 I don’t know that I’m buying even the 10-15 HR projection. I don’t think he’ll have as much pop as Reyes, Rollins, or Furcal. Offensively, he might even be closer to Juan Pierre, though with just a bit more pop. But the speed and defensive value should still make him a pretty exciting player.

by acerimusdux on Feb 8, 2010 7:37 PM EST up reply actions  

But Pierre

Would be a legitimate all star if he were a plus defensive SS instead of a noodle armed left fielder.

by Sanctimonious Kid on Feb 8, 2010 9:13 PM EST up reply actions  

race

I think subconsciously people tend to compare players to their most comparable player within the same race.

by JJACK on Feb 8, 2010 4:06 PM EST reply actions  

5 Stars

Are there more 5 stars this year than the previous years? Seems like there used to be just 30 and there seems like 50+ this year (for all I know there was 50+ last year and 30 or so this year but it just seems like there is more this year).

by groundingout on Feb 8, 2010 7:34 PM EST reply actions  

5*

has always been top-50 for Goldstein. Personally I’d rather him adopt more of a tiered system, where 5-star is top 25, 4 is 25-50, 3 is 75-100, and 2 is off the top-100. In most seasons there’s a pretty huge difference between the top ~20-25 or so and everyone else.

by slamcactus on Feb 8, 2010 8:44 PM EST up reply actions  

KG said before he wants 50 5 star guys (they will be his top 50 in his rankings). Then he wants 50 4 star guys (50-100 rankings). I havent kept track of them or anything but I read that before over at BP.

by Pup Dog on Feb 8, 2010 7:50 PM EST reply actions  

I like it...

and I don’t like most of their lists too much.

by joegonzo on Feb 9, 2010 1:29 AM EST reply actions  

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