How much is he worth to you...?
by JD Sussman on Feb 21, 2010 6:42 PM EST
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In my fantasy league where we have various auctions and drafts. For Cuban defector and Red's pitcher Aroldis Chapman 14 teams will bid for his services. The highest bid wins. If you bid 3 million, you'd get him for 3 million dollars for the duration of his 5 year deal.
Your salary cap is 160 million dollars but you need to commit that money to your team. But, assume your team has enough space to sign Chapman (say 40 million in cap space). The team is a playoff contender and you could choose to bid on ANY of 2009 FA class instead.
Considering the risk & reward for this season and the future, how much would you bid on Chapman? If you don't think he is worth a bid, why?
I'm in a fantasy league with a bunch of guys who read this site so I won't say my bid until after the 1st (I do know what it is already though). My team is light on pitching and has a ton (14!) of arbitration eligible players next season, so I'm not sure if I'll bid.
I'm really posting this because Chapman has so many varying opinions on him. It should provide for interesting economic/fantasy discussion.
FWIW my 2010 pitchers are: Ubaldo, Nolasco, Garza, Slowey, Tillman, Zimermann (injured), Niemann and Rzep and Bonderman as wild cards.
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Not much
He’s not worth much to me personally. If you have money and a roster spot that you don’t have a need for go for it, but if it was me I would look elsewhere.
His ‘upside’ is extremely overblown IMO, he throws hard that is what everyone is in love with, people tend to ignore his big flaws because he hits high 90’s, people equate velocity and age with upside and it just isn’t true in this case. It doesn’t matter how hard he throws, if he can’t command the strike zone ALOT better than he currently does he will get crushed at the MLB level. And his secondary stuff isn’t great either at this point. Sure he can improve but is he ever going to improve enough control wise to where his stuff will even matter? Right now he is a harder throwing Oliver Perez, if that’s the guy you want to take a chance on that’s all you.
I'd definitely bid
I’m not really sure how much, but I’d probably be willing to go up to at least $6M per year. At that price, even if he doesn’t develop from what he is now, he won’t be vastly overpaid as a late inning reliever.
+1
What are other reliever’s salaries in your league?
by Jordan Tuwiner on Feb 21, 2010 9:08 PM EST up reply actions
Like raven said
depends on your other salaries, but you seem to have a fairly good pitching staff as is. I wouldn’t really bet on him myself.
"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"
Question
So the salary is the same regardless of whether he’s in the minors or majors? Or does it kick it once he’s at the MLB level?
It appears there is a good chance Chapman doesn’t come up until June 2011. That would seem to impact the decision some if you’re paying major league prices for a player in the minors for 1.5 seasons.
Seems like 5 million is a decent offer for him since I’m guessing you have 25 man rosters and 10 MILB spots at lower salaries so the average salary is 6 million.
by two fishsticks on Feb 21, 2010 10:15 PM EST reply actions
You have to pay him 100% for the first year if the bid is above 3 mil
Then only 15% every year after while he is in the minors. Good question.
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