John is now done with all of his rankings. I know he said he had a few changes to make still, so this could change ever so slightly, though I doubt it makes much of an impact overall.
I went through each system that John graded and took down the grade for both hitters and pitchers. Why did I do that? Well, hitters and pitchers have different values. The value's that I used were the ones first identified by Victor Wang in an article at The Hardball Times. The guys at Beyond The Box Score took that and made it into a monetary value. Here is what the average prospect was worth who fell in these ranges:
Top 10 hitting prospects | $32.5M |
Top 11-25 hitters | $22.3 |
Top 26-50 hitters | $20.8 |
Top 51-75 hitters | $12.6 |
Top 76-100 hitters | $11.1 |
Top 10 pitching prospects | $13.5 |
Top 11-25 pitchers | $14.2 |
Top 26-50 pitchers | $14.2 |
Top 51-75 pitchers | $10.8 |
Top 76-100 pitchers | $8.7 |
Grade B pitchers (as graded by Sickels) |
$6.5 |
Grade B hitters | $4.9 |
Grade C pitchers 22 or younger | $1.9 |
Grade C pitchers 23 or older | $1.3 |
Grade C hitters 22 or younger | $0.62 |
Grade C hitters 23 or older | $0.45 |
Now I did have to make some adjustments. As we can see, Pitching prospects in the 11-50 range tend to be more valuable than those in the Top 10. To counteract that sense ideally, it shouldn't be that way, I made each pitching prospect in the Top 61 (B+ or better grade) worth 14.2M. Here is the value I gave each grade - split for pitchers and hitters:
Team | A | A- | B+ | B | B- | C+ | |
H | Value | 32.5 | 22.3 | 20.8 | 12.6 | 4.9 | 0.88 |
P | Value | 14.2 | 14.2 | 14.2 | 9.8 | 6.5 | 2.6 |
For the C+ guys I had to change a little. I didn't go through the 268 players who were graded C+ to find the age. So what I did was take the average C grade (split the difference between the two grades). That made 1.6 for pitchers and 0.54 for hitters.I used the weighting for the B grade prospects to wind up with the C+ being worth the same for a C as the B+ was for the B grades. Now that we had the value for each type of prospect, I just ran the numbers for the different teams. One thing to note, I didn't include the grade C prospects because not all of the C prospects made each list, so the data was left out because it was incomplete. Here are the results(updated to include the grade changes John has posted as of 1:30 on Monday):
Hitters | Pitchers | |||||||||||||
Team | A | A- | B+ | B | B- | C+ | A | A- | B+ | B | B- | C+ | Value | |
1 | Indians | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 150.94 |
2 | Athletics | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 140.88 |
3 | Braves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 133.84 |
4 | Rays | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 133.32 |
5 | Rangers | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 122.40 |
6 | Cubs | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 120.94 |
7 | Angels | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 120.14 |
8 | Brewers | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 118.08 |
9 | Red Sox | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 116.86 |
10 | Giants | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 116.34 |
11 | Padres | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 114.16 |
12 | Royals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 109.00 |
13 | Mets | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 103.94 |
14 | Reds | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 100.92 |
15 | Pirates | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 100.64 |
16 | Dodgers | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 100.24 |
17 | Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 97.84 |
18 | Orioles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 93.38 |
19 | Blue Jays | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 90.60 |
20 | Yankees | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 85.18 |
21 | Nationals | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 83.80 |
22 | Rockies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 81.50 |
23 | Twins | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 80.40 |
24 | Astros | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 80.14 |
25 | Marlins | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 79.70 |
26 | Mariners | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 73.20 |
27 | Phillies | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 58.58 |
28 | White Sox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 57.38 |
29 | Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 50.12 |
30 | Dbacks | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 44.50 |
Totals | 6 | 4 | 23 | 30 | 54 | 127 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 60 | 142 |