FanPost

John's Farm System Rankings

John is now done with all of his rankings. I know he said he had a few changes to make still, so this could change ever so slightly, though I doubt it makes much of an impact overall.

I went through each system that John graded and took down the grade for both hitters and pitchers. Why did I do that? Well, hitters and pitchers have different values. The value's that I used were the ones first identified by Victor Wang in an article at The Hardball Times. The guys at Beyond The Box Score took that and made it into a monetary value. Here is what the average prospect was worth who fell in these ranges:

Top 10 hitting prospects $32.5M
Top 11-25 hitters $22.3
Top 26-50 hitters $20.8
Top 51-75 hitters $12.6
Top 76-100 hitters $11.1
Top 10 pitching prospects $13.5
Top 11-25 pitchers $14.2
Top 26-50 pitchers $14.2
Top 51-75 pitchers $10.8
Top 76-100 pitchers $8.7
Grade B pitchers (as graded by Sickels)
$6.5
Grade B hitters $4.9
Grade C pitchers 22 or younger $1.9
Grade C pitchers 23 or older $1.3
Grade C hitters 22 or younger $0.62
Grade C hitters 23 or older $0.45

 

Now I did have to make some adjustments. As we can see, Pitching prospects in the 11-50 range tend to be more valuable than those in the Top 10. To counteract that sense ideally, it shouldn't be that way, I made each pitching prospect in the Top 61 (B+ or better grade) worth 14.2M. Here is the value I gave each grade - split for pitchers and hitters:

 

Team A A- B+ B B- C+
H Value 32.5 22.3 20.8 12.6 4.9 0.88
P Value 14.2 14.2 14.2 9.8 6.5 2.6

 

For the C+ guys I had to change a little. I didn't go through the 268 players who were graded C+ to find the age. So what I did was take the average C grade (split the difference between the two grades). That made 1.6 for pitchers and 0.54 for hitters.I used the weighting for the B grade prospects to wind up with the C+ being worth the same for a C as the B+ was for the B grades. Now that we had the value for each type of prospect, I just ran the numbers for the different teams. One thing to note, I didn't include the grade C prospects because not all of the C prospects made each list, so the data was left out because it was incomplete. Here are the results(updated to include the grade changes John has posted as of 1:30 on Monday):

 

    Hitters Pitchers  
  Team A A- B+ B B- C+ A A- B+ B B- C+ Value
1 Indians 1 0 1 1 1 3 0 0 0 3 3 11 150.94
2 Athletics 0 1 2 1 5 1 0 0 0 0 2 10 140.88
3 Braves 1 0 1 0 1 3 0 0 0 4 2 8 133.84
4 Rays 1 0 0 0 2 4 0 2 1 1 3 6 133.32
5 Rangers 0 1 0 0 1 5 1 1 1 2 2 6 122.40
6 Cubs 0 0 2 2 2 3 0 0 0 2 1 6 120.94
7 Angels 0 0 2 0 3 3 0 0 0 2 4 6 120.14
8 Brewers 0 0 2 1 2 6 0 0 0 1 4 5 118.08
9 Red Sox 0 0 1 2 3 7 0 0 1 1 2 5 116.86
10 Giants 1 0 0 1 3 3 0 1 0 1 3 4 116.34
11 Padres 0 0 1 3 2 7 0 0 1 1 0 6 114.16
12 Royals 0 0 0 2 2 5 0 0 1 3 2 5 109.00
13 Mets 0 0 2 1 1 3 0 0 1 1 2 2 103.94
14 Reds 0 0 2 1 1 4 0 1 0 1 1 3 100.92
15 Pirates 1 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 8 100.64
16 Dodgers 0 0 1 0 2 3 0 0 1 3 2 4 100.24
17 Tigers 0 0 0 3 1 3 0 0 2 1 1 3 97.84
18 Orioles 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 6 93.38
19 Blue Jays 0 0 1 1 1 5 0 0 2 0 1 5 90.60
20 Yankees 1 0 0 1 1 6 0 0 0 0 3 4 85.18
21 Nationals 0 0 1 1 2 5 1 0 1 0 0 3 83.80
22 Rockies 0 0 0 0 2 5 0 0 3 0 3 2 81.50
23 Twins 0 0 1 1 1 5 0 0 0 0 3 7 80.40
24 Astros 0 0 1 1 0 3 0 0 1 0 3 4 80.14
25 Marlins 0 1 1 1 0 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 79.70
26 Mariners 0 1 0 1 4 5 0 0 0 0 1 3 73.20
27 Phillies 0 0 1 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 3 5 58.58
28 White Sox 0 0 0 2 1 6 0 0 1 0 0 3 57.38
29 Cardinals 0 0 0 0 3 4 0 0 0 1 3 1 50.12
30 Dbacks 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 0 0 2 1 44.50

Totals 6 4 23 30 54 127 3 5 18 32 60 142  
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