Top Prospects for 2010 Draft

by Matt Garrioch on Sep 25, 2009 10:04 PM EDT

I'm working on the 2nd version of my top 2000 list but taking a break to do a prospect list for the 2010 draft.

It's very preliminary but it's something to look at. I'm sure it will change a lot by next June but it's a place to start.

Here is the top 20:

1 Bryce Harper C Las Vegas HS
2 Drew Pomeranz LHP Ole Miss
3 Nick Castellanos 3B Archbishop McCarthy HS, FLA
4 Anthony Ranaudo P LSU
5 AJ Cole P Oviedo HS, Orlando
6 Jameson Tallion RHP The Woodlands (Texas) HS
7 Brandon Workman P Texas
8 Christian Colon SS Cal State Fullerton
9 Zack Cox 3B Arkansas
10 Austin Wilson OF Harvard-Westlake HS, CA

11 Stetson Allie P/3B St. Edward HS, Lakewood, Ohio
12 Matt Harvey P UNC
13 Chris Hernandez P Miami
14 Kevin Keyes OF Texas
15 Yasmani Grandal C Miami
16 Chris Sale LHP Florida Gulf Coast
17 Jedd Gyorko 3B West Virginia
18 Brian Ragira OF Martin HS, Arlington
19 Garin Cecchini SS Barbe HS, Lake Charles, La.
20 Bryce Brentz OF Middle Tennessee State

Head over to my blog to see the top 150. Feel free to comment or ask questions about specific players if you'd like. I'll do my best to answer them.

http://www.milbprospects.blogspot.com/

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Comments

Harper

Is it a guarantee the Nats take him No. 1?

by woobie on Sep 26, 2009 2:11 AM EDT reply actions

Nope.

A year ago Matt Harvey was considered the no-doubt #1 guy in this class before Harper moved ahead a year. Now Harvey’s probably not even a first-rounder. One season can change things a lot.

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by Andy Seiler on Sep 26, 2009 7:03 AM EDT up reply actions

I think Harvey will be a 1st rder

unless something goes wrong again this season.
He has far too much talent to slip too far.

http://milbprospects.blogspot.com/

by Matt Garrioch on Sep 26, 2009 6:44 PM EDT up reply actions

No.

He isn’t a clear cut #1. I think he has the talent to be a great catcher but I don’t agree with some people who are saying he is a once in a lifetime talent. I think they will more likely take someone a little cheaper and guaranteed to sign since the Storen pick has paid off very well so far. I don’t agree with that route, it is just a feeling.

http://milbprospects.blogspot.com/

by Matt Garrioch on Sep 26, 2009 6:42 PM EDT up reply actions

I wouldn't say...

Harvey’s not a first rounder, but his stock has fallen a lot. Also, why is Sonny Gray on your list? He is not elgible for the draft this year.

by joegonzo on Sep 26, 2009 11:17 AM EDT reply actions

I'd say Harvey's out now.

He’s way, way down. Probably second round taking out the Boras factor.

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by Andy Seiler on Sep 26, 2009 3:22 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions

Sorry...

Gray got on the wrong list.

http://milbprospects.blogspot.com/

by Matt Garrioch on Sep 26, 2009 6:44 PM EDT up reply actions

pomeranz is good but not the best pitcher availalbe and he’s not a top 5 talent. he’s more in the 15-20 range. taillon is eeasily the best pitching prospect in this draft

by iam2asian4u on Sep 26, 2009 12:20 PM EDT reply actions

Don't forget Ranaudo.

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by Andy Seiler on Sep 26, 2009 3:20 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions

Ranaudo or Matusz?

by byronlhsdrmr on Sep 26, 2009 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions

You mean their status on draft days?

I’d go with Matusz. Ranaudo’s a big kid, but most of his value is in durability with good, not great, stuff. If he were to add 2-3 MPH consistently on his fastball, then I’d definitely go with Ranaudo.

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by Andy Seiler on Sep 26, 2009 7:18 PM EDT up reply actions

Pomeranz

I think you could make a case for him being top 10, second is clearly too high. I also think Taillon is easily the top pitcher.

by byronlhsdrmr on Sep 26, 2009 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions

Actually,

I’ve seen a few places with him very high. Even a former mlb scout ranking him #1 ahead of Harper and Tallion.

http://milbprospects.blogspot.com/

by Matt Garrioch on Sep 26, 2009 6:48 PM EDT up reply actions

When did you hear this?

I was hearing much better stuff about him earlier in the spring than later. Not that he was bad or anything, just that more eyes saw him and that naturally shows more weaknesses. I have him anywhere from 5-12 because of the college lefty fetish that tons of teams have.

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by Andy Seiler on Sep 26, 2009 7:21 PM EDT up reply actions

on a forum

thru perfect game. He posted toward the end of august.

http://milbprospects.blogspot.com/

by Matt Garrioch on Sep 27, 2009 1:22 AM EDT up reply actions

pomeranz

i have heard that pomeranz is a lot like his older brother as far as mentality and preparation, and that isn’t a good thing

by fewgoodcards on Sep 27, 2009 6:09 PM EDT up reply actions

The Rangers selected

Both Pomeranz and Renaudo out of high school but failed to sign them. Arghhhhh.

I like steak.

by Conjunction on Sep 26, 2009 2:19 PM EDT reply actions

also Keyes

by naropean on Sep 26, 2009 2:30 PM EDT up reply actions

And Andy Wilkins, Brian Dupra, John Gast, Mitch Mormann…….

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by Andy Seiler on Sep 26, 2009 3:19 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions

Can someone explain the appeal of Ranaudo to me?

Honest question, not being snarky. I watched him in the CWS and he had a high-80s fastball and little else; he couldn’t locate a breaking ball at all.

Was he just exhausted at the end of the season? He looked like a double-digit rounder to me, not top 5 overall.

Linda's in the cold ground, won't see her anymore
Somewhere out on the highway tonight, the drunken engines roar
It's just one of those things, one of those things
-- Al Stewart, "Accident on 3rd St."
In memory of Nick Adenhart and all victims of drunk driving

by PaulThomas on Sep 27, 2009 4:18 AM EDT reply actions

He is 6'6", 220..

so he has the body of a workhorse. He has a power sinker and has better contol than he showed in the CWS. He’s not a guy who is going to blow you away sitting 88-92, but he has good life and deception coming stright over the top. He also has a hard breaking CB that could be a plus big league offering. If he can have just an average change, he should be a solid MLB starter for a long time.

http://milbprospects.blogspot.com/

by Matt Garrioch on Sep 27, 2009 7:20 PM EDT up reply actions

pelfrey

Rather similar profiles, power sinker guys with big frames and questions on secondary stuff. Ranaudo beats him in strikeouts but walks significantly more guys.

by mrkupe on Sep 28, 2009 1:43 AM EDT up reply actions

He was worn out by the CWS

he was throwing in the low to mid 90’s at the start of the season

by nyy601 on Sep 28, 2009 1:37 AM EDT up reply actions

Taillon

is the best high school player so he should be higher and Brentz should be higher as well

mlbprospectreport.blogspot.com

by kstanz41 on Sep 28, 2009 10:08 AM EDT reply actions

What player should the Nats pick at #1 overall

If I was picking today. I would have to go with Bryce Brentz 1st overall.

Be real with yourself.

by Daggerrrrrr on Sep 28, 2009 2:49 PM EDT reply actions

gotta be Harper

Even if you don’t think he’s quite the legend-in-the-making that the hype pieces have him made out to be, he still fits the organizational profile far better than anybody else. The Nats love ultra-toolsy player and don’t really care about polish. Harper is so young that it’s hard to say exactly how refined his game is going to look against pro competition, but he’s got great tools.

I know he’s going to cost a lot of money, but as this year’s draft showed, it’s not like anybody at the top of the draft comes cheaply.

by mrkupe on Sep 28, 2009 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions

Collegiate corner outfielders don't go #1...

He doesn’t have a once-in-a-generation bat, so it won’t happen.

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by Andy Seiler on Sep 28, 2009 4:25 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions

My top 50

Here it is.

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by Andy Seiler on Sep 29, 2009 5:19 PM EDT reply actions

Harper is the #1 talent for sure but . . .

lots can happen between now and June. We have seen top talent slide due to signability, attitude, etc. The Nationals went after Strasburg and all the hype but Harper could have more. At least Strasburg backed it up on the field at the collegiate level. Harper is a high school junior – we’ll see.

The longer a guy is the obvious #1 the more reasons people find not to like him.

For the record, I do believe that Harper will the overall #1 even the Nats picking.

by daveyork on Sep 29, 2009 5:45 PM EDT reply actions

Okay the question is

With the #1 pick. Do the Nats draft the best pitcher available too pair with Strasburg or do they go with a high ceiling position player. I don’t know. A one,two pitching punch can take a team pretty far.

Be real with yourself.

by Daggerrrrrr on Sep 29, 2009 9:13 PM EDT reply actions

If they can afford it

they take Harper, no question about it

by nyy601 on Sep 29, 2009 10:09 PM EDT up reply actions

harper

would he be the biggest question mark as the number 1 pick ever?

by matthewmafa on Sep 29, 2009 11:32 PM EDT up reply actions

He certainly would not be the worst number 1 pick ever

And by worst I don’t mean the worst career, I mean the worst #1 choice at the time of the draft given all of the information available (see Matt Bush, Bryan Bullington). So I doubt he’d be classified as the “biggest question mark”, however you’d want to define that phrase.

by jibs on Sep 30, 2009 9:48 AM EDT up reply actions