Minor League Ball: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
Around SBN: Doug Flutie's Hail Mary, And Why College Sports Matter

Houston Astros Top 20 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review

Houston Astros' Bud Norris pitches in the first inning against the St. Louis Cardinals in a baseball game, Sunday, Aug. 2, 2009 in St. Louis. Norris was starting his first game as a major league pitcher. (AP Photo/Tom Gannam)

More photos » by Tom Gannam - AP

Houston Astros' Bud Norris pitches in the first inning against the St. Louis Cardinals in a baseball game, Sunday, Aug. 2, 2009 in St. Louis. Norris was starting his first game as a major league pitcher. (AP Photo/Tom Gannam)

Houston Astros Top 20 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review

This list was originally published December 30, 2008. This is a REVIEW of the PRE-SEASON list for 2009, not a revision of that list. This is a REVIEW of the old list. I'm not doing new grades or lists until I start working on the 2010 book.

Star-divide

1) Jason Castro, C, Grade B: Hitting .300/.365/.396 since being promoted to the Texas League. Controlling the strike zone well, glove will play, power development is still uncertain.

2) Brian Bogusevic, OF, Grade B: Hitting .273/.347/.369 with 19 steals in 22 attempts for Triple-A Round Rock. Speed and athleticism are impressive, power development is questionable.

3) Bud Norris, RHP, Grade B-: 2.63 ERA with 112/53 K/BB in 120 innings for Round Rock, is 3-2, 5.86 with a 27/15 K/BB in 28 major league innings, five starts. Still has control problems but has shown flashes of overcoming them.

4) Jordan Lyles, RHP, Grade B-: 3.23 ERA with 155/38 K/BB in 134 innings for Class A Lexington, 123 hits. A very successful season and still just 18 years old.

5) Ross Seaton, RHP, Grade B-: 3.31 ERA With 83/36 K/BB in 131 innings for Lexington, 133 hits. Like Lyles, he's had a good year though his components are less impressive.

6) Felipe Paulino, RHP, Grade C+: 6.82 ERA with 56/22 K/BB in 63 major league innings, 87 hits. Has shown decent control but has been too hittable. Will get more chances.

7) Drew Sutton, 2B, Grade C+: Traded to Cincinnati, hit .262/.382/.453 in Triple-A, is hitting .163 in 24 major league games. I think he can be a good bench player with more adjustment time.

8) Chris Johnson, 3B, Grade C+: Hitting .274/.313/.468 in 93 games for Round Rock, with 19 walks and 82 strikeouts in 340 at-bats. Some scouts still see him as a possible breakout guy but the numbers have never been super impressive.

9) Sam Gervacio, RHP, Grade C+: 4.82 ERA with 58/21 K/BB in 52 innings for Round Rock, 43 hits. Has looked good in brief major league action, can be a nice relief arm I think.

10) Chia-Jen-Lo, RHP, Grade C+: 3.00 ERA with 29/17 K/BB in 30 innings for Double-A Corpus Christi, 24 hits. Decent performance, needs better command, heading to the Arizona Fall League.

11) Collin DeLome, OF, Grade C: Hitting .259/.328/.475 with 15 steals in 22 attempts, 34 walks, 124 strikeouts for Round Rock. Has power and speed tools, but contact is a big problem.

12) Sergio Perez, RHP, Grade C: 4.52 ERA with 64/54 K/BB in 131 innings for Corpus Christi, 154 hits. K/IP and hit rate are very unattractive. I think he would be better in the pen.

13) Polin Trinidad, LHP, Grade C: 2.91 ERA with 53/10 K/BB in 83 innings in Double-A, 4.63 ERA with 40/19 K/BB in 68 innings in Triple-A. He throws strikes but doesn't dominate.

14) T.J. Steele, OF, Grade C: Hitting .345/.385/.562 in 50 games for Class A Lancaster, nine walks and 40 strikeouts in 194 at-bats. Plate discipline is unimpressive but he has some power.

15) J.B. Shuck, OF, Grade C: Hitting .317/.392/.414 with 18 steals in 26 attempts for Lancaster, 59 walks, 50 strikeouts in 514 at-bats. I love the walks/low strikeout combination, but we need to see if he can hit outside of this environment.

16) Jay Austin, OF, Grade C: Hitting .261/.317/.355 with 23 steals in 36 attempts for Lexington. Toolsy, fast, raw.

17) Federico Hernandez, C, Grade C: Hitting .233/.270/.339 for Lexington. Good defensive reputation, but not going to hit much.

18) Leandro Cespedes, RHP, Grade C: 4.86 ERA with 99/47 K/BB in 113 innings for Lancaster, 133 hits. OK numbers given context, but Double-A will be a challenge.

19) Phil Disher, 1B, Grade C: Hit .156/.264/.266 in 39 games for Lexington, on the disabled list since late May.

20) Tim Torres, SS, Grade C: I thought he could be a sleeper, but he got released. Signed with the Marlins, hitting .267/.348/.371 for Class A Jupiter. Too old at 25 to be hitting like that at this level.

The Astros entered the season with a very weak system, still feeling the fallout from poor drafts, but the more impressive 2008 draft is paying dividends. The '09 class took some high ceiling high school risks and we'll have to see how they pan out, but they got a winner by going against consensus with Lyles in '08. Ownership at least looks like they are willing to spend a bit of money again developing the system after being too penurious earlier in the decade..

0 recs  |  Comment 17 comments |

Story-email Email Printer Print

More from Minor League Ball

Hit and Run, July 28, 2009

Jul 2009 by John Sickels - 13 comments

Futures Game Summation

Jul 2009 by John Sickels - 84 comments

Comments

Display:

Mier

still rookie ball, but he is my favorite Astros prospect now.

by wobatus on Aug 29, 2009 12:21 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Lyles is a top 25 prospect

but Mier is really impressive thus far, so I’d say he’s a good #2 prospect in this system

by daveh33 on Aug 29, 2009 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

Brett Anderson is the Truth. Brett Anderson is divine presence. Brett Anderson is eternal life. Brett Anderson is within you. Brett Anderson is here. Brett Anderson is Now.

by Frederick0220 on Aug 29, 2009 2:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lyles

I might rank him ahead. I might rank Castro ahead too, as he is more advanced level wise. We’ll know more about Mier later, but for right now he is my favorite.

by wobatus on Aug 29, 2009 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Castro > Lyles

The people at BA have Castro over Lyles and I would agree especially because of position scarcity and performing at a higher level.

by rjg6891 on Aug 29, 2009 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

is that a recent ranking?

i’ll take ace starter potential over league average C any day

by daveh33 on Aug 29, 2009 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Same

Castro really has not impressed this year.

He ripped ass in the Cal League, but failed to hit for any power in AA.

All Lyles has done is drop a 27.9 K rate and a 6.8 BB rate, while pitching in the Sally League at a tender 18 years-old the entire damn season.

Hallelujah Hollaback

Brett Anderson is the Truth. Brett Anderson is divine presence. Brett Anderson is eternal life. Brett Anderson is within you. Brett Anderson is here. Brett Anderson is Now.

by Frederick0220 on Aug 29, 2009 10:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think Castro has set himself up for a lot of success.

AA has hit more talented prospects harder and I think he hits some more homers next year.

by Daniel Berlyn on Aug 30, 2009 12:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This review...

Is naturally going to be a lot less interesting than next year’s top 20. There are a decent amount of young players from the past 2 drafts that could slot in the top 20. I’d be curious to read what John thinks about Mier, Bushue, Gaston, Villar, Keuchel, Duncan, and maybe Pelligrini also.

by auclairkeithbc on Aug 29, 2009 12:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

he's mentioned some of them in previous posts

If you want links I’ll give you links, but:

- Intrigued by Gaston but wants to see him at higher levels
- Likes Bushue as a possible sleeper
- Did not have very much confidence at all in Mier’s bat . . .but I’m guessing that John like everybody else has been impressed by his rookie ball showing.

by mrkupe on Aug 29, 2009 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

mier

Mier has been much better than expected in the Appy League. . .if he keeps hitting well he’ll rank very high this time next year.

by John Sickels on Aug 29, 2009 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Koby Clemens

Is this guy a breakout or are we thinking it’s a Cal League mirage? Putting up those numbers as a catcher is pretty impressive and he seems to be getting better as the season wears on.

by rwperu34 on Aug 29, 2009 2:12 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

improved system

The system is improved from last year but there is no upper level hitting except Bogusevic and Castro. I’m also skeptical about the Lancaster hitters until they hit AA. But the talent for this years draft looks good especially Mier.

by rjg6891 on Aug 29, 2009 4:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

some deserved

There should be some skepticism of hitters that play at Lancaster (as well as some slack for pitchers). On the same token, left-handed hitters (and right-handed hitters who don’t pull the ball) who see a big drop in power at Corpus Christi can attribute that to tougher competition and tough winds. If you hit the ball down the left-field line, it’s not a tough park to hit out of, but the winds coming from the bay make it hard to hit it out from CF to the RF line. That is part of the reason that Castro’s power numbers have gone down. I expect a dip in power numbers out of Gaston, though he should still put up decent numbers since he is more content to let it fly (ie not a gap hitter with pop like Castro).

by astrosfan76 on Aug 30, 2009 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bogusevic

He is still inexperienced in terms of hitting at AAA. At least the MLB outfield is settled, mainly by default (Lee’s contract). This would give him more time to try and develop the power. If not, he should be a useful 4th outfielder.

by rjg6891 on Aug 29, 2009 4:34 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Sorry to ask this here

but… what games can you watch on MiLB TV? can you only watch AAA games?

Hey guys, I have an Orioles blog so check it out. I write about news and the Oriole's farm teams and prospects.

www.snaorioles.com

by ravensfan3 on Aug 30, 2009 1:18 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

They have games across all levels

Lexington is playing tomorrow on MiLB.TV, and Lyles should be pitching.

Brett Anderson is the Truth. Brett Anderson is divine presence. Brett Anderson is eternal life. Brett Anderson is within you. Brett Anderson is here. Brett Anderson is Now.

by Frederick0220 on Aug 30, 2009 1:41 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Minor League Ball: Where the Future of Baseball is Discussed
Start posting on Minor League Ball »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Small
Arizona Fall League 2009 Video Posted

Recent FanPosts

Small
Last year's rookies top community prospects for future performance #13
413niegoftl__sl500_aa280__small
UPDATED - Open Thread: Best of the Unprotected; Top Rule V Prospects
Small
BP DET Top 15
Small
BA Pirates Top 10
Small
Last year's rookies, #12 runoff
Small
Great block at plate by A.J. Jimenez
Small
BA MIL Top 10
Small
Last year's rookies, top community prospects for future performance #12
Small
Last year's rookies, top community prospects for future performance #11

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >


Managers

Carew_small John Sickels


Site Meter