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St. Louis Cardinals Top 20 PRE-SEASON Prospects in Review

St. Louis Cardinals Top 20 Pre-Season Prospects in Review

This list was originally published January 4th, 2009. This is a REVIEW of the PRE-SEASON list for 2009, not a revision of that list. This is a REVIEW of the old list. The first grade listed is the OLD GRADE.

Star-divide

1) Colby Rasmus, OF, Grade A-: Hitting .246/.304/.412 for the Cardinals. He's just scratching the surface and I think he's going to be excellent in the medium and long runs.

2) Brett Wallace, 3B, Grade A-: Traded to Oakland, hitting a combined .285/.360/.426 this year between Double-A  and Triple-A. Power production has been less than expected, but I still believe in his bat overall.

3) Chris Perez, RHP, Grade B+:  4.17 ERA with 44/20 K/BB in 37 major league innings. Traded to Indians. Could still be a closer if he can sharpen his command a bit more.

4) Daryl Jones, OF, Grade B: Hitting .283/.367/.376 for Double-A Springfield. Power has disappeared this year, reducing his stock somewhat though tools and youth still positives.

5) Jess Todd, RHP, Grade B-: 2.04 ERA with 66/13 K/BB in 53 innings, 40 hits in Triple-A. Traded to Indians. Nice relief combination with Perez.

6) Jon Jay, OF, Grade B-: Hitting .266/.329/.363 with 17 steals in Triple-A. BABIP is lower this year, and a lot of his value is tied up in batting average.

7) Jason Motte, RHP, Grade C+: 5.67 ERA with 34/18 K/BB in 40 innings in the major league pen. He is capable of better.

8) Bryan Anderson, C, Grade C+: Hitting .243/.293/.399 in Triple-A. I was worried about Sean Burroughs Disease and it looks like that could be happening here. Season ended early due to shoulder surgery.

9) Mitchell Boggs, RHP, Grade C+: 4.83 ERA with 58/32 K/BB in 76 innings in Triple-A, but 3.29 ERA with 25/16 K/BB in 27 major league innings. Good arm, but command remains wobbly and that ERA is better than the components, which won't last.

10) Jamie Garcia, LHP, Grade C+: Rehabbing from Tommy John.

11) Pete Kozma, SS, Grade C+: Hitting .215/.287/.286 for Springfield, struggling with Double-A transition. Lack of power is hampering him. Still young enough to improve.

12) David Freese, 3B,Grade C+: Hitting .290/.356/.439 in Triple-A, coming back from injury. Could still be a good player.

13) Adam Reifer, RHP, Grade C+: 5.03 ERA with 43/19 K/BB in 39 innings for Class A Palm Beach, 15 saves. Still has good K/IP ratio, but command hasn't been great and he's giving up a lot more hits this year.

14) Allen Craig, 3B, Grade C+: Hitting .309/.364/.513 in Triple-A. Continues to mash the ball.

15) Lance Lynn, RHP, Grade C+: 3.13 ERA with 83/35 K/BB in 104 innings in Double-A. Living up to expectations so far.

16) Niko Vasquez, SS, Grade C+: Ugh....197/.295/.250 for Quad Cities, .205/.297/.280 for Batavia in the NY-P. Totally failing to live up to expectations following strong '08 debut.

17) Clayton Mortensen, RHP, Grade C+: 4.11 ERA with 87/41 K/BB in 116 innings in Triple-A. Traded to Oakland. Still looks like inning-eater type.

18) Francisco Samuel, RHP, Grade C+: 5.83 ERA with 50/40 K/BB in 42 innings in Double-A, 32 hits, 22 saves. Strong K/IP and low hit rate demonstrate good stuff, but command has been poor.

19) Fernando Salas, RHP, Grade C+: 6.59 ERA with 9/6 K/BB in 14 innings after being promoted to Triple-A. Overall numbers at three levels are 4.85, 17/8 K/BB in 26 innings. Undistinguished performance after excellent numbers in Double-A last year.

20) Richard Castillo, RHP, Grade C+: 4.17 ERA with 82/59 K/BB in 119 innings, 131 hits in the Florida State League. Sleeper pick not really impressing at this point.

21) Deryk Hooker, RHP, Grade C+:  4.01 ERA with 36/14 K/BB in 43 innings, 34 hits in the New York-Penn League. Mediocre performance, still very young.

22) Roberto De La Cruz, 3B, Grade C+: Tools monster hitting .202/.250/.250 in the Gulf Coast League. Cost $1.1 million, and so far is failing to live up to reputation as a player with offensive polish. Very young of course at age 17.

23) Shane Peterson, OF, Grade C+: Traded to Oakland. Hitting combined .299/.365/.434 on the season between Palm Beach, Springfield, and Midland. Showing some speed with 12 swipes in 13 attempts but not a ton of power.

24) P.J. Walters, RHP, Grade C+: 4.24 ERA with 91/29 K/BB in 91 innings in Triple-A, has a 9.56 ERA in the majors with a 14/9 K/BB in 16 innings, 21 hits, and a 1.62 GO/AO. Strikeout/ground ball combination is interesting.

Trades have reduced the talent depth in the system this year and the 2010 list will look a lot different than this one. Large mass of Grade C+ types producing mixed results, which is to be expected. Lynn looks like I underrated him a lot, while I overrated Jay and Reifer. I'm growing increasingly concerned about the bats of Kozma and Anderson.

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Since he didn’t make your initial top 20, where would Descalso fall in at now?

Struggling at AAA but is still only 22. He started off hot enough but has really hit the wall a bit since. He has maintained decent K and BB%s but the power is nearly nonexistent at the moment (which of course was a big concern for him). I imagine he begins the year in AAA again next year before getting a look at some sort of utility/backup role and possibly future 2B.

I would think he has to get at least a C+ based off of what he did in AA, possibly B- if he can maintain his peripherals and rebound a little before the year is over.

by jfish26101 on Aug 12, 2009 9:24 AM EDT reply actions  

blah

pretty disappointing year for cardinal prospects. i hope wagner mateo is the real deal and shelby miller gets signed.

i think daryl jones has been hampered by a quad injury most of the year and is currently on the DL. i am still fairly optimistic on DJ Tools.

roberto de la cruz has been showing some life the past 10 games or so.

jaime garcia looks good so far.

eduardo sanchez has probably leap frogged reifer, samuel and salas.

casey mulligan is trying to be jason motte part two.

by dmb60614 on Aug 12, 2009 10:56 AM EDT reply actions  

RydeRod

I would have to give mention to Ryde Rodriguez

by bkmhoxx on Aug 12, 2009 11:31 AM EDT reply actions  

De La Cruz is coming on lately

it’s just two weeks, but he’s hit .350/.372/.425.

As for Eduardo Sanchez, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him in the top 5, if not 3.

Sad state of things, the Cardinal farm system now. Of course if they win their division, then that is all that matters.

godfather of futureredbirds.net

by erik on Aug 12, 2009 12:20 PM EDT reply actions  

Henley

I know Tyler Henley got a C in the book. He’s had himself quite a breakout year.

by aCone419 on Aug 12, 2009 2:21 PM EDT reply actions  

Daryl Jones

Reminds me of Brandon Jones that plays for the Braves. They both showed huge potential but regressed in the power department.

by Jay212033 on Aug 12, 2009 4:57 PM EDT reply actions  

descalso, sanchez, trey hearne are names to throw in the mixer for next year.

henley, luna, maybe. it is depressing to see what trades/injuries/general ineffectiveness have done to the depth here.

on the other hand, the 2009 draft is very exciting. miller will shoot to the top once he’s officially signed. stock has had an amazing start. the low minors will be very interesting next year.

the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus

by tom s. on Aug 12, 2009 6:33 PM EDT reply actions  

Wagner Mateo, maybe?

I’m not sure after him and Miller.

Remember to retire Fin's number, Mark.

by jonthefon on Aug 13, 2009 2:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

great contribution

no way is it a bottom 3 system next year.

I predict a ranking of around 20th (assuming they sign Miller)

by dcfcblues on Aug 13, 2009 11:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

just cause the Cards took 3 of 4 from you...

with Manny back, doesn’t mean that their farm system sucks.

by stlfan on Aug 14, 2009 11:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

trying to make a joke

looked like you spent the most time on the dodgers’ site besides this one.

by stlfan on Aug 14, 2009 9:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

rank

i dont pay much attention to other teams so i am not sure exactly where they will rank. regardless, this still looks a lot better than the jimmy journell/john gall years. shelby miller, wagner mateo and de la cruz have some nice upside. i think jaime garcia will be a solid major league pitcher. lance lynn, tyler greene, david freese, allen craig, mitch boggs, blake hawksworth and joe mather (not technically a prospect anymore) could all be useful parts. they arent a top ranked system but thats not a bad collection of pieces considering rasmus graduated and wallace, perez, todd and mortensen were traded. if they dont re-sign holliday and/or derosa they should be able to reload with the compensation picks.

by dmb60614 on Aug 14, 2009 11:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

Lynn is really breaking out in a nice way.

I could see Garcia and maybe Lynn in the Opening Day rotation next year, barring trade.

"I generally avoid temptation unless I can't resist it" ~ Mae West

by Blicks on Aug 13, 2009 10:28 PM EDT reply actions  

What about Scott Gorgen?

His quick rise is reminding me a lot of jess todd I’m not sure how great he can be but I think he’s lead the organization in strikeouts.

And now a scene from seinfeld
ELAINE: [mind] Who does this guy think he is?
KEITH: [mind] I'm Keith Hernandez.

by CodyG on Aug 16, 2009 10:18 PM EDT reply actions  

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