Tillman v. Latos

Chris Tillman   21   RHP   6'5   195

Level  W-L   ERA        IP          H      K/BB      GO/AO    AVG

AAA     8-6    2.70     96.67     85      99/26     0.98       .232

ML Debut 4 2/3ip 7h 3er 3hr 1bb 2k    ND

Established minor league track record pitching at every level and for the most part succeeding at each. Low 90s FB topping out at 94. 11-5 curveball, tight with late break. A true strikeout pitch. Change is just usuable. Command seems to have improved from a statistical standpoint. Prototypical pitchers frame who profiles as a front of the rotation starter.

Mat Latos   21    RHP   6'5     225

Level  W-L   ERA        IP          H      K/BB      GO/AO    AVG

A/AA    8-1    1.37     72.33     42     73/12      0.91       .168

ML       2-1    2.70     16.67       9      13/4        0.64       .164

Limited minor league track record only recording 184.33 IP in career since being drafted in 2006 (D/F). Mid 90s FB topping out at 97 with hard downhill plane. It grades easily as a 70. Above average to plus hard slider. Promising straight change. Overall his stuff is nasty. Command has gotten alot better by cleaning up mechanics. Has a ceiling
of a true ace.

I have a HUGE mancrush on Tillman and coming into this year if asked I think most people would have taken him easily over Latos. 4 months later the choice is not so clear cut. FWIW Tillman came in on BAs mid-season top 25 (posted July 8th) at #8 with Latos somewhere in the next 25. Although if the list was redone today I'd have to say he probably would break into the top 25 someplace. Based on pure stuff, the fact he pitches in the N.L. and Petco Park I'd have to say Latos but muddling the issue is his questionable maturity. "Though Latos shows strong competive makeup when pitching, it's a different matter entirely between starts. He tends to reject structure, lacks commitment to improve and rubs teammates the wrong way with his flippant attitude" - Baseball America. Also to be noted Tillman has never had any injurys in his career to my knowledge and Latos has had shoulder and oblique issues.

So my question is who do you think has the better career or if you want to take it to a fantasy level who would you rather have? I'd also love to hear peoples thoughts on why.

P.S. If anyone has any new info on Latos maturity or lack of I'd like to hear it.