He’s a big, black, left handed sinkerballer. 60% of his outs are via the groundball.

Should get the bump up to St. Lucie one of these days.

Like I said above, he throws up to around 94 with excellent sink. He also has a well developed slider. He’s already pretty well filled out, listed 220 lbs, he’s already a bit beefier than Saunders, so there’s a chance filling out more could be a problem, and odds are he won’t add a ton of velo as he ages. His command and groundballing ways are his big pluses right now, but of the three big SP prospects in that rotation (also Jeurys Familia and Kyle Allen), he’s the oldest, and he’s missing the fewest bats. He should have little trouble handling the FSL, where home runs already go to die, but his current HR/FB of 1.3% is going to increase dramatically in the upper levels. He’s never going to be HR prone persay, at least as long as he keeps getting guys to pound the ball into the ground, but that is going to be a hurdle he’ll have to cross eventually. His platoon ratios are nice and even this year though, which you always love to see, and makes him an interesting bullpen candidate if things don’t work out as a starter.

If I were making a list of top Mets prospects, Carson would fall somewhere in the 10-15 range. His “helium” potential in the short term is lowish, I don’t think a promotion and continued success in the FSL is really going to tell us anything new about him unless his strikeout rate spikes. But he’s on a solid development path, and should be an interesting guy to follow the next few years. His long term upside is solid, but he’s still a ways away, and shouldn’t be expected to cruise his way through the system without some eventual bumps in the road.