Considering how in 2001, I was only 8 years old, I didn't really follow MiLB too much, so I can't recall what exactly people were saying about specific players. I have put the top-100 BaseballAmerica rankings from 2001 in positional order. I wanted to see which positions yielding the most positive results. I plan on doing this for a couple other seasons, let me know if you like them posted, or if I should keep them to myself. Also, let me know on any suggestions you have for my style or anything else. Should I keep it like this or should it be position-by-position posts?
RHP - 38: 8 successes, 7 mild success, 11 mild failures, 11 failures, 1 incomplete
SUCCESS 3. Josh Beckett, rhp, Marlins - asserted himself in 2002, since rookie season topped a 4.00 ERA only twice (2006 5.01 and 2008 4.03) and has established himself as one of the top starting pitchers in MLB
MILD SUCCESS 4. Jon Rauch, rhp, White Sox - bounced around from 2002 to 2005. Never becomes the top starter people had hoped, but has become a useful relief pitcher and a psuedo closer in 2008 for WAS.
MILD FAILURE 15. Chin-Hui Tsao, rhp, Rockies - bust, 8 career starts (unimpressive 8 too), and had various callups from COL and LAD, never did much though. Out of professional baseball.
MILD SUCCESS 19. Jerome Williams, rhp, Giants - terrific rookie season with SF in 2003, decent 2004, 2005 and beyond was rough due to mother's death. he gained weight and is just now starting to work himself back in shape with OAK. I'm pulling for him
FAILURE 26. Donnie Bridges, rhp, Expos - 2000 was his 1-hit wonder season, injuries slowed him down and never recovered. out of baseball by 2005
FAILURE 37. Ben Christensen, rhp, Cubs - bust, never makes it passed AA. out of baseball by 2003
SUCCESS 40. Jacob Peavy, rhp, Padres - rookie season 2002, really established himself in 2004 and doesn't look back, one of the best pitchers in the NL.
MILD FAILURE 44. Matt Ginter, rhp, White Sox - became a very good AAA pitcher, and a very bad MLB pitcher. still fighting it out with the Brewers.
FAILURE 45. Wes Anderson, rhp, Marlins - never makes it past A+, control issues are the biggest problem.
MILD FAILURE 49. Tim Redding, rhp, Astros - nothing special, became an adequate #5 starter on some teams.
FAILURE 51. Matt McClendon, rhp, Braves - never again had any success, out of baseball by 2004.
FAILURE 53. Wascar Serrano, rhp, Padres - very confused why he was a top-prospect. he was 33, however he never became much, and he is out of baseball by 2005
FAILURE 61. Dan Wright, rhp, White Sox - a decent 2002, never anything after that, out of baseball by 2006.
MILD FAILURE 63. Pat Strange, rhp, Mets - no major league success, out of baseball by 2004
FAILURE 65. Jovanny Cedeno, rhp, Rangers - never past A+ ball, out of baseball by 2003
MILD FAILURE 66. Adrian Hernandez, rhp, Yankees - no major league success, out of baseball by 2005
SUCCESS 68. Carlos Zambrano, rhp, Cubs - since 2001, never a season with a 4.00+ ERA, a terrific pitcher, borderline ace, terrific #2 depending on the situation
MILD FAILURE 69. Jesus Colome, rhp, Devil Rays - converted to the pen, but he has not been very good there either. still playing as a pretty mediocre reliever.
SUCCESS 71. Francisco Rodriguez, rhp, Angels - converted to the pen, 2003 rookie season, been a top-3 closer since.
FAILURE 78. Brad Baisley, rhp, Phillies - never made it past AA, out of baseball by 2004
FAILURE 83. Nick Neugebauer, rhp, Brewers - no MLB success, out of baseball by 2004
MILD SUCCESS 92. Jason Marquis, rhp, Braves - a solid innings eater back end starter, nothing spectacular, got a[n undeserved] all-star appearance this season.
SUCCESS 97. Adam Wainwright, rhp, Braves - rookie in 2006 as a reliever, turned back to starter in 2007 and is a very good front-rotation pitcher
VERY SAD 100. Matt White, rhp, Devil Rays - never made it past AAA, out of baseball by 2003.
LHP - 7: 1 success, 1 mild success, 2 mild failures, 3 failures
SUCCESS 7. C.C. Sabathia, lhp, Indians - instant ace in 2001, never looked back and is now the richest pitcher in MLB history (other than the other Matt White, who found 2 billion dollars worth of stone in his backyard, so I guess that makes him a little richer than C.C.)
FAILURE 8. Ryan Anderson, lhp, Mariners - never made it past AAA, out of baseball by 2005
MILD FAILURE 25. Chris George, lhp, Royals - very limited MLB success, playing for BOS AAA Pawtucket today
MILD SUCCESS 39. Bud Smith, lhp, Cardinals - terrific rookie season in 2001, threw a no-hitter, never did much else, out of baseball by 2007
FAILURE 50. Joe Torres, lhp, Angels - never made it past AA, still 26 in AA TEX Frisco, a reliever now.
FAILURE 57. Wilfredo Rodriguez, lhp, Astros - pitched 3 MLB innings, out of baseball by 2006
MILD FAILURE 58. Mike Bynum, lhp, Padres - limited big league success, out of baseball by 2005
C - 4: 1 success, 3 failures
FAILURE 21. J.R House, c, Pirates - AAAA player, now struggling with KC AAA Omaha
FAILURE 99. Joe Lawrence, c, Blue Jays - moved to 2B, one bad MLB season in 2002. 2000 was his best year, out of baseball by 2003.
1B - 7: 3 success, 3 mild failures, 1 incomplete
SUCCESS 10. Nick Johnson, 1b, Yankees - a good 1B, terrific discipline. not too much 1B power, but overall a good player
SUCCESS 11. Carlos Pena, 1b, Rangers - decent success 2003-2005. became a good player in 2007 to present. he provides incredible power.
MILD FAILURE 22. Hee Seop Choi, 1b, Cubs - bad contact skills, walked a lot, lots of power. out of baseball by 2006
MILD FAILURE 59. Jason Hart, 1b, Athletics - 15 MLB at-bats, out of baseball by 2006
MILD FAILURE 70. Eric Munson, 1b, Tigers - lots of power, converted to 3B, and converted to C, playing for OAK AAA Sacramento, never much big league success
VERY SAD 77. Dernell Stenson, 1b/of, Red Sox - R.I.P.
SUCCESS 89. Adrian Gonzalez, 1b, Marlins - AAAA until 2005, when he was traded to SD, and he has been only one of the best players in the MLB ever since.
2B - 3: 2 mild successes, 1 mild failure
MILD FAILURE 34. Jose Ortiz, 2b, Athletics - very limited MLB success, playing in Japan off and on since 2003
MILD SUCCESS 54. Marcus Giles, 2b, Braves - good player 2003-2005, bad player since, out of baseball now
MILD SUCCESS 93. Luis Rivas, 2b, Twins - not a great player, more defense than anything else. playing for CHC AAA Iowa and is nothing more than a defensive spot-starter.
3B - 10: 5 successes, 1 mild success, 4 mild failures
MILD SUCCESS 6. Sean Burroughs, 3b, Padres - a solid rookie 2002 season lead to nice 2003 and 2004 seasons. Afterwards, his production dropped and he was out of baseball by 2007
MILD FAILURE 14. Drew Henson, 3b, Reds - gained 9 MLB at bats, was out of baseball by 2003. Has had an equally unimpressive NFL career, but did manage to throw 1 TD (isn't that all you really need?).
SUCCESS 36. Joe Crede, 3b, White Sox - rookie season in 2002. decent contact and good power skills, bad discipline, injuries have also held him back, but is holding down the hot corner for the Twins after a 9-year career with CWS saw him hit 125 home-runs.
SUCCESS 42. Albert Pujols, 3b, Cardinals - Flat out, the best player in MLB. 3B, LF, 1B, he'll play it all and he'll hit. Minimal minuscule holes in his game. Worst OPS season in his 9-season career, .955, enough said.
SUCCESS 43. Aubrey Huff, 3b, Devil Rays - a very good corner infielder. Decent BB rates and Ks under 100 times as a full-time starter. Good power, good player overall.
SUCCESS 55. Michael Cuddyer, 3b, Twins - moved to OF and has become a good hitter, 2008 was an off-year, but has OPS .750+ every other year (except rookie 2002 .740 OPS)
MILD FAILURE 60. Tony Torcato, 3b, Giants - never enjoyed MLB success, out of baseball by 2006
SUCCESS 82. Xavier Nady, 3b, Padres - moved to OF. mediocre until 2006, with NYM and PIT. Good player 2007 and 2008 with PIT and NYY, hurt in 2009. Good hitter overall
MILD FAILURE 85. Lance Niekro, 3b, Giants - Awful discipline made him never enjoy MLB success. Trying to make it as a knuckleball pitcher with the GCL Braves.
MILD FAILURE 87. Tony Blanco, 3b, Red Sox - 1 bad MLB season, still playing, had a nice 2008 AA COL Tulsa season as a 26 year old.
SS - 12: 4 successes, 1 mild success, 6 mild failures, 1 failure
MILD FAILURE 16. Antonio Perez, ss, Mariners - never much MLB success, still playing with AAA ATL Gwinett
SUCCESS 27. Alfonso Soriano, ss, Yankees - converted to 2B and later LF. A great power/speed combo who Ks a lot.
MILD FAILURE 29. Wilson Betemit, ss, Braves - career backup corner infielder combo, playing with CWS now.
SUCCESS 31. Jimmy Rollins, ss, Phillies - one of the best leadoff hitters and SS in MLB. terrific speed and surprising power.
SUCCESS 32. Felipe Lopez, ss, Blue Jays - an average SS, with 1.5 terrific seasons (2005 with CIN and 2008 with STL)
MILD FAILURE 46. D'Angelo Jimenez, ss, Yankees - career backup infielder, not too much MLB success, with Mexican league now
MILD FAILURE 73. Luis Montanez, ss, Cubs - MiLB starter until 2008, nice 38 game appearance with BAL, 2009 provided 18 bad games with BAL, and back to the minors
FAILURE 90. David Espinosa, ss/2b, Reds - never did anything outstanding in the minors and no MLB experience, still playing with AA SEA West Tennessee.
SUCCESS 91. Miguel Cabrera, ss, Marlins - moved to 3B and 1B, one of the best pure hitters in MLB
MILD SUCCESS 94. Juan Uribe, ss, Rockies - powerful infielder, who does not walk. Rookie season in 2001 and strongest year in 2004 (CWS - 23 HR - .833 OPS). now a spot-starting UTIL infielder with SF (and destroyer of Jonathan Sanchez' perfect game, but oh well, no-hitters are good, and maybe Sanchez would have given up a hit without that error)
MILD FAILURE 95. Ramon Santiago, ss, Tigers - career backup infielder, not too much MLB success, with DET now
OF - 19: 8 successes, 3 mild success, 7 mild failures, 1 failure
SUCCESS 1. Josh Hamilton, of, Devil Rays - we all know his story, he's struggling this year, I sure hope his body holds up.
MILD SUCCESS 2. Corey Patterson, of, Cubs - speed, check. power, check. walks, where?. strikeouts, abundant. A very odd player and very toolsy, now struggling with WAS
SUCCESS 9. Ichiro Suzuki, of, Mariners - my favorite player growing up (see the 51?) massive contact skills, if he wants, he can hit it out, incredible defensive/arm player, doesn't walk an insane amount, but also doesn't K much. loads of speed and baserunning ability. model Japanese player
SUCCESS 12. Vernon Wells, of, Blue Jays - very strong outfielder through 2006. production has dropped since but he is still a valuable player, just vastly overpaid.
MILD FAILURE 18. Alex Escobar, of, Mets - in short MLB time, has been a useful backup. out of baseball in 2008
MILD FAILURE 23. Joe Borchard, of, White Sox - huge power numbers never translated to MLB success, spent 2009 between SF AAA Fresno and ATL AAA Gwinett
MILD SUCCESS 24. Austin Kearns, of, Reds - power didn't translate to MLB, discipline did, and he has been a fringe 3rd outfielder
SUCCESS 33. Adam Dunn, of, Reds - huge power, huge walks, huge Ks, huge guy. been a good player with bad defense for some time now. has mastered the 40 HR 100 RBI 100 BB 150 K season now
SUCCESS 35. Brad Wilkerson, of, Expos - 2002 rookie season, very useful player through 2004 peak (32 HR) after his career has gone steadily down. now he is with BOS AAA Pawtucket
SUCCESS 38. Jack Cust, of/1b, Diamondbacks - adam dunn light after 2007, with fewer home-runs and more Ks. proof that AAAA players can shed the label
MILD FAILURE 48. Dee Brown, of, Royals - good minor league player, bad MLB player, now with LA AAA Albuquerque
MILD SUCCESS 56. Kevin Mench, of, Rangers - Shrek had good 2004, 2005, and 2006 campaigns with TEX, but after his trade to MIL, his career. biggest hat size in MLB
FAILURE 64. Brian Cole, of, Mets - never played after 2000
SUCCESS 72. Carl Crawford, of, Devil Rays - the face of the Rays for years has been a good speedster for the young team.
MILD FAILURE 75. Abraham Nunez, of, Marlins - not much MLB success in his 136 career games. out of baseball by 2008
SUCCESS 81. Ryan Ludwick, of, Athletics - coming out party in 2008 with 37 HR and .966 OPS. before had bounced around, never fully hitting stride
MILD FAILURE 86. Chin-Feng Chen, of, Dodgers - 19 MLB games, out of baseball by 2005
MILD FAILURE 98. Chris Snelling, of, Mariners - 93 MLB games, struggling with PIT AAA Indianapolis
Overall - 100: 30 successes, 15 mild successes, 34 mild failures, 19 failures, 2 incomplete
Well, at least for me, this has been a lot of fun, and eye-opening in most regards. Obviously, high end prospects had a much higher success to failure rate. The success:mild success:mild failure:failure system I used is extremely basic. A success entailed a proven big-league player, with some years of stardom or near stardom. A mild success entailed a proven big-league player, without the stardom, however many players were fringe (example: Marcus Giles). A mild failure was basically if they made it to MLB at all, but had no success (example: Keith Reed). A failure entailed not making it to MLB at all. a 30% success rate seems pretty solid for BaseballAmerica, but the 20 full failures and 34 mild failures demonstrates a high level of failure 45:54. Right-handed pitchers are the most likely to fail (full) at 31.5% while third-base, shortstop, and first-base all did not produce a full-failure. Third-base had the highest success rate with 50% (full) 60% (full + mild) while outfield produced a 57.8% success (full+mild) rate. Out of the 19 outfielders, all but one reached MLB, and all 3 2B reached MLB, each with varying results.
REASONS FOR BAD CONCLUSIONS
There are many reasons why this test provides limited results.
*The success/mild success/mild failure/failure system is the most basic system created and too many fringe players were available
*Outfield was ranked in one category instead of corner and center or left, center, and right
*For statistical purposes, only basic stats were used
*I was 8 at the time of this list and so I do not know what experts were saying about them individually
*Some player values could have varied based not on offensive stats, but defense, but I could not recall each player's defensive worth
*I did not look up injury issues for most prospects, so some of the busts may be due to injuries
*Other things that I did not list.
*All stats courtesy of thebaseballcube.com
*Rankings courtesy of Baseball America