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American League Central Draft Impressions

American League Central Division Draft Impressions

Chicago: Jared Mitchell in the first round out of LSU was the toolsiest college guy  available this year. I like the speed, and the walks, and the power potential; I worry about the high strikeout rate, but will cut him some slack due to his football background. He's a legit first rounder certainly. Supplemental pick Josh Phegley out of Indiana has excellent college stats, but not everyone thinks he'll hit with wood, and his glove draws mixed reviews. Given the paucity of college hitters in this draft, he's OK in the supplemental round. Second round high school outfielder Trayce Thompson is extremely toolsy but very raw; he could be a star or he could flame out in A-ball. No way to know yet. Second round pick David Holmberg, high school lefty from Florida, has good breaking stuff but an average fastball; I really like his delivery and pitchability. Third round pick Bryan Morgado out of Tennessee didn't have a lot of college success, but can hit 96 MPH from the left side and could be an impressive reliever. Pitching was the emphasis in the subsequent rounds, a mixture of high school and college picks. Of particular interest is 8th round Monmouth RHP Ryan Buch, who was considered a second round talent but fell here, perhaps due to signability? An offensive sleeper is Purdue 1B Dan Black, drafted in the 14th round, who offers patience and power. Most of the rest of the draft was college-based.

Cleveland: Alex White at 15th overall could be a huge steal, if his performance in his last start for North Carolina is any indication. The stuff has always been there; it's just a matter of consistency and command, but you can bet that the Indians were thrilled he was still on the board. Jason Kipnis in the second round doesn't excite scouts, but his numbers for Arizona State are impeccable, and even if he turns out to be a "tweener," his skills should make him a solid contributor in some role. The whole draft was college-oriented for the Indians. Joe Gardner out of UC Santa Barbara has a plus sinker and could advance quickly in a relief role. Fourth round 3B Kyle Bellows out of San Jose State has a good glove and should be at least a solid hitter, perhaps a Casey Blake type. Fifth round RHP Austin Adams out of Faulkner is athletic and has a plus fastball, but coming from a smaller school he didn't get as much attention as some other guys. Sixth round 1B Ben Carlson out of Missouri State has power; 7th round OF Jordan Henry out of Old Miss has lots of speed. Basically the Indians drafted a bunch of very solid college players, with White having the highest ceiling. I personally would have mixed in a few additional high schoolers here and there, but on a performance basis I like a lot of their picks.

Detroit: The Tigers will have to spend money to sign Jacob Turner, but they aren't afraid to do that, and he fits well into the emphasis on power arms they've made lately. Second round pick Andy Oliver needs to relearn a breaking ball, but remember; he was rated right up there with Alex White among college arms pre-season, and to get both Turner and Oliver with the first two picks has to make the Tigers happy. Third round pick Wade Gaynor, 3B from Western Kentucky, has power and speed but needs to find a position and might end up in the outfield. Fourth round pick Edwin Gomez, out of Puerto Rico, is a toolsy shortstop long on projection but short on polish. Fifth round Texas lefty Austin Wood could be a good senior sign as a bullpen option, if his arm doesn't disintegrate after the 74,883 pitches he threw at the end of the season. Sixth round Michigan high school shortstop Dan Fields is strongly committed to college, but perhaps his home state team could sign him. Seventh round pick Jamie Johson, Oklahoma outfielder, has leadoff ability due to his speed and patience, but lacks power. This draft is a mixture of college performers, some with tools and some with good numbers, with a leavening of the occasional tools prep like Turner, Gomez, and Fields.

Kansas City: Aaron Crow at 12th overall is a nice pick. He has local connections, having gone to high school in Kansas and attending Mizzou, he throws hard, and should be ready for the majors quickly. Catcher Wil Myers in the third round is a coup; he has first round ability, and while he won't be cheap to sign, the Royals should have the money to make him happy since they don't have to pay a second round pick. College pitching was the theme after this. Clemson lefty Chris Dwyer in the fourth round is an unusual draft-eligible freshman. There could be signability issues there, and while he needs command refinements, his ceiling is quite high. Fifth round LSU ace Louis Coleman is an affordable senior selection who should  move through the farm system quickly. Sixth round New Mexico RHP Cole White pitched well in a tough environment, throws hard, and could be a good bullpen asset, as should seventh round Missouri State southpaw Budd Baumann, a strike-thrower with average stuff. College and high school picks dot the rest of the draft, but the big three at the top will make or break this group.

Minnesota: Kyle Gibson at 22nd overall is either a huge steal (if he's healthy) or a huge risk (if his arm falls off). He's exactly the kind of pitcher the Twins like: he might not throw 98 MPH, but he throws strikes with three above average pitches and is highly intelligent. Supplemental pick Matt Bashore out of Indiana didn't get as much pre-draft press as he deserves, but he is a four-pitch lefty who throws strikes and has clean mechanics. Second round fireballer Billy Bullock out of Florida could be the closer of the future for the Twins if his command holds up. Third round Jacksonville State RHP Ben Tootle has first round stuff, but command issues this spring knocked his stock back. I love his arm. Fourth round Minnesota 2B Derek McCallum is a home-state talent, perhaps overdrafted by a round or two, but an understandable choice not to let the local guy get away. He can hit and has improved his defensive ability a lot this year. I'm less impressed with West Virginia catcher Tobias Streich in the fifth round; there were college catchers I liked better out there in this spot (Carlos Ramirez for example). This draft was more college-oriented than the standard Twins stereotype. Some guys of interest are Southern Miss infielder James Dozier, drafted in the eight round, a solid college player who projects as a fine utility guy, and Florida prep speedster Ronnie Richardson, drafted in the 11th round, who might not be signable but has some upside. 19th round Texarkana CC RHP Josh Stilson throws very hard.

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Billy Bullock 13 year old

I work with a guy who coached Billy Bullock’s little league team when he was 13. He told me a story of how his team was playing in the championship and it was the last inning with two out, his team had a three run lead. He was then forced to bring in Bullock who was the worst player by far. Billy went on to hit the first batter, the second batter hit a single and then the final guy hit a three run homer. While the guy who hit the homer was rounding second base Billy runs out to give the guy a highfive. The guy I work with asked him why did he do that because he was upset. Billy said it was a good hit and he was his friend. Furious the coach told him you have no friends when your on the mound. Funny story probably won’t mean anything to anyone but I had a good laugh when he told the story.

by jasonbravo on Jun 11, 2009 4:01 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I think the Tribe’s draft takes a huge hit if they go through with converting White to a reliever. As an Indians fan I was stoked they drafted him, but equally dissapointed that they don’t give him much of a chance to start.

by JP_Frost on Jun 11, 2009 4:11 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Agreed.

You don’t draft relievers with the 15th overall pick. Unfortunately the Indians have been very very clear. White will be a reliever.
I’m adamantly opposed to the entire reliever heavy draft. It looks like the Indians took a Jermey Sowers approach to the entire draft. Drafting safe, cheap, low ceiling players who aren’t likely to be busts but aren’t likely to be anything more than a “eh” solid player.

by world dictator on Jun 11, 2009 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

Their draft strategy for years and you can see the results in the team. Nobody on that team scares anyone. And no pitcher blows anyone away (Although Cliff Lee is a stud). They take no risks and draft poorly, I know shapiro doesnt run the draft but he needs to be held accountable because he oversees whoever does. Shapiro gets a free pass from a lot of people especially in the media and he is a very mediocre gm too afraid to take a shot. So cleveland will be stuck battling for 81 wins every year as long as this guy is running things

by FishHead on Jun 11, 2009 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Draft strategy and strength of farm system are not the same thing. The Indians have drafted poorly but over the years they have had a good to great farm system bolstered by their international signings and their ability to rob other GM’s in trades. (Carlos Santana for Casey Blake? Yes please)

while they’re playing poorly this year, they still have one of the best offensive teams in baseball. I’m not sure where you’re getting the idea that no one in the Indians lineup scares anyone lead by Impact All Star’s Grady Sizemore, Victor Martinez with a lot of very good young offensive talent in Adrubal Cabrera, Shin Choo Shoo, Jhonny Perlata, etc.

No the Indians main problem on the ML level is that they historically under perform during the first half of the season and then are lights out after the All start break

by world dictator on Jun 11, 2009 5:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agree on the lineup

what doesn’t scare anybody is their rotation after Lee. What has happened to Carmona, and the rest of the rotation is a bunch of soft tossers.

by smoooooth on Jun 11, 2009 6:52 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Carmona

Despite what Tribe fans tried to sell, he was always a one pitch guy who got by on luck, the skill of his defense, and his ability to throw strikes. His 2007 was a massive, massive fluke, but there wasn’t a reason why he couldn’t have settled in as a mid-rotation guy with the possibility of a little more when he was lucky . . .or at least there wasn’t until Carmona stopped throwing strikes.

When a pitcher can’t throw it in the zone without it getting hit and he can’t get anybody to chase out of the zone . . .well, you get what Carmona is right now. But he is awfully young still and I don’t see a reason why he can’t be a servicable pitcher.

by mrkupe on Jun 11, 2009 8:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

his control loss

is what has me amazed. When he was on, his sinker was very fine pitch, but wow, wheels just fell off. Carmona and Wang are good examples of that type of pitcher, when the ball isn’t down, they are in trouble.

by smoooooth on Jun 12, 2009 9:38 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yep

As a White fan, I’m disappointed that they decided to make this move right away . . .this is a team that needs impact pitching in the worst way, they got lucky enough to get White, and they’re going to blow it. Not that he can’t or won’t be a quality reliever . . .I’d fully expect him to be. It’s just that I find it hard to believe that the Indians didn’t see a single starting pitcher left in the draft that they thought could contribute more than a reliever.

Still, a very Indians-esque draft . . .they are one of the easiest teams to predict. Anybody tying them to Shelby Miller clearly has never looked at one of their drafts in the last decade.

I do like the Kipnis pick but worry that they’ll botch that one by messing around with his position.

by mrkupe on Jun 11, 2009 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

It’s just that I find it hard to believe that the Indians didn’t see a single starting pitcher left in the draft that they thought could contribute more than a reliever.

Bingo.

by world dictator on Jun 11, 2009 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Won't Kipnis be way more valuable at 2b?

He seems like a 4th OF if he stays out there, possibly a starter at 2B as long as his defense is passable.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jun 11, 2009 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Perhaps

I disagree with the 4th OF assessment . . .I think he certainly has the ability to be a starting OF. He has a solid bat and is dependable defensively. His production is tremendous and his tools across the board are solid although admittedly not more than that.

If somebody could make him a fringe-average defender at 2B I have few doubts that he’d hit enough to be a starter and maybe a boffo one for fantasy purposes. But OF to middle infield is not an easy conversion to make and there’s a good chance that such a move will stall the development of his bat. The Indians tried this same move a few years ago with a similar player, former 1st rounder Trevor Crowe, with utterly disasterous results. Crowe was probably even a better candidate for the transition than Kipnis, as Crowe had better wheels and less pop than Kipnis. Maybe you can make the argument that Kipnis is a more heady player and thus will grasp the position better, but to me this is just taking an unnecessary risk.

by mrkupe on Jun 11, 2009 8:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually John

I like the Toby Streich pick in the 5th round (6 player drafted)

His numbers are very unimpressive, but He has a little bit more room to fill out and get better than many of those other guys that were available at the catcher position, You’re probably right about Carlos Ramirez being a better choice, but that doesn’t mean so for me anyways, I dislike the pick because of where it was at but if you’re talking catcher than I Like it, Streich IMO is immediately the Twins 3rd or 4th strongest catching prospect. (Ramos, Soto, Rams? ) [Jair Fernandez has been disapointing, Jeff Lanning hasn’t been quite as good as I thought.]

Don’t forget about the 10th round pick OF Michael Dean from LSU (Jr.) the lefty has slightly above average power and could be a good solid corner outfield prospect for the Twins
a la Evan Bigley from the same round a year ago.

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 11, 2009 5:49 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Its too bad CF and SS

Ronnie Richardson
and Clarence Davis

probably won’t sign, especially Davis since he has already signed a national letter of intent to play for a college in California…

Both guys are small but very athletic and pack a punch….
I really like Richardson as a future lead-off hitter type of prospect almost like a Joey Gathright and Davis has the potential to become the Twins top SS prospect within a few seasons….

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on Jun 11, 2009 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Twins took a lot of guys I liked

Gibson, Bashore, McCallum, Dean

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jun 11, 2009 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Streich and Ramirez

Tobias Streich will definitely stick behind the plate. Isn’t there some question as to whether Carlos Ramirez can remain a catcher long term?

by SBcaptain2 on Jun 11, 2009 9:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

ramirez

He has a “bad body” according to scouts. But he is actually a very good defensive catcher. And he can hit. So even though he doesn’t look good in uniform, I think he can play.

by John Sickels on Jun 12, 2009 7:18 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Really liked the Royals draft

I have never liked a Royals draft til last year, and I like this one even better. Crow and Myers are great gets, Dwyer is a nice fourth round pick, and they went with some pretty polished college arms the rest of the draft that could move quickly. Good stuff JJ Piccollo.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on Jun 11, 2009 5:54 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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