Carlos Gonzalez
After seeing a post in the gameday thread about how well he did today and he's been doing, I decided to look further into his stats for the year. I know he was a top prospect at one point, but after struggling in the bigs last year on the Oakland, I haven't heard much from him since he was traded to Colorado and I think he had a mediocre camp and didn't make the Colorado roster.
Here are his numbers this year: .344 avg 32 R 53 H 45 RBI 11 2B 6 3B 6 HR 18 BB 26 K 5 SB 1.037 OPS
My question is, is it possible he's finally turned the corner here? From when he was a top rated prospect, what type of projections for the numbers he might someday put up did scouts have for him?
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A's carlos pena'd him
probably impatient and took a risk with holliday.
they put put hope in their lesser upside OFs cunningham/buck/sweeney and their next tier OFs brown/sulentic/doolittle/spencer/desme etc
i dont know whats the issue but they have a problem developing athletic, raw talents: traded cargon, traded robnett(who didnt progress as expected), released javier hererra recently, jermaine mitchell (stuck in his 2nd yr of high A stockton)…hopefully this pattern ends with rashun dixon (but he’s 17/18 so who knows)
Carlos
it’s very possible he’s turning a corner this year. There’s never much to dislike about Carlos tools-wise, but his approach at the plate has held him back. He’s got a quick line drive swing and good power potential, so if he can keep his BB:K in the range it is now, he’s primed for a breakout.
Oh...
and this is his age 23 season. His prospect star hasn’t faded too much yet.
One caveat...
is that he’s playing half his games in Colorado Springs, which makes Coors seem like a pitcher’s wet dream. He’s still hitting well on the road, but his home OPS is 245 points higher than his road OPS.
re:
It’s something to watch of course and that will defiantly inflate his stats. Though he has hit more hr’s away and still shows a very good line of .314/.394/.535/.932 away. Colorado Springs does seem to really inflate triples/doubles, guessing the OF is huge and well no humidor?. I’d be more wary of them if he wouldn’t hit at Coors though.
am impressed
with his walk rate. Haven’t been following, but maybe that’s a sign that things have changed for him. Granted, as noted, it is Colorado Springs, so let’s not read too much into the offensive numbers.
Re: Colorado Springs
thanks Slam and Toons for pointing this out about playing in Colorado Springs, didn’t realize it was like this.
Triples
A few people have noted the help that he’s getting from his home park in Colorado Springs, and they’re absolutely correct. It’s also true that Gonzalez has an unusually high BABIP this year that he will probably not sustain. Besides those two things, however, his isolated power and walk rate have dramatically increased and his strikeout rate has tumbled.
If you look closely at his power breakdown, however, it’s apparent that his homer rate is generally in line with his previous minor league stats. His doubles rate has spiked, but not enough to get his isolated power to the exceptionally high level that it is now. What has done that is his 5 triples in only 154 ABs, after getting 5 total over the past two years, and 975 ABs. I’m not sure if that’s sustainable or not, but though he does seem to have become substantially better, with all of the odd things happening (park, BABIP, triple-spike), I’d like to wait and see before saying just how much better he has gotten.
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