Josh Vitters is the most fascinating story in the minors for me this year. In a normal year, a teenager showing any kind of pop in the Midwest League is enough to put him on the radar and peg him for a huge breakout the following year. Recently, we've seen guys like Carlos Santana, Brandon Wood and Adam Jones enjoy huge seasons following very modest returns in the MWL. We've also seen good but not great power numbers put a good deal of prospects on the top-100 radar for projectability alone.
A lot of top-25 talents have come through the MWL in the past few years, including Moustakas, Travis Snider, Jay Bruce, Cameron Maybin, Justin Upton, and Colby Rasmus, all of whom were teenagers when they were in the league. Vitters' current .ISO of .250 is better than every single player just named.
Obviously, there's a very good chance Vitters doesn't end the season with a .250 ISO. Also obviously, Vitters never, ever takes a walk, which is a problem none of the above-mentioned players had in their tour of the league. He also has a contact rate far superior to what most of the players in the above group did when they were in the MWL. Given his results, he hasn't needed to work on patience, and his coaches have said they don't want to stress the importance of taking walks for a guy who can maintain light-tower power while still making plus contact.
Given all of that, where do you guys think he ranks? I'm asking about a general impression of the tier he's in rather than a specific comparison between Vitters and other prospects.