Sure, you need positional pieces, but there just isn’t enough high impact arms in the system. Just a question of college or HS. Matzek and Turner are nice, but if it’s me, I’d lean towards going Crow there (assuming he’s available, and barring a surprise, he should be). I like Scheppers as well, but I like Crow’s stuff a bit better.

I agree with toonster on the impact arms. I actually voted for Turner this time, but I would go with the arm that the scouts like best, be it Turner, White, Scheppers, or Crow.

in Donovan Tate. Jeff Moorad is looking for a high profile pick, and I don’t think there is any one player that more exemplifies it than Tate. Standing 6’3 and already 200 lbs., he should mature into a 15-20 HR type guy who has excellent tools to go along with fantastic bloodlines, and will anchor the OF in the cavern where balls go to die.

Green is a guy who before this season I would’ve bet would be the pick here, but when you combine his lack of progress, one has to wonder if his sophomore season was his peak.

One other guy I think Moorad & Fson may pop here, and it may indicate how much leverage Fuson has lost with the new ownership group coming in, is what they target in terms of pitching. A preference for polished college arms who may not have the best raw stuff may indicate Fuson is on the way out. In that case, I could see a guy like Scheppers, with his easy arm action throwing mid-to-high 90s heat, be a guy that Moorad would target.

But my instinct says we should draft Tate, and stick to that.

That was made in another post that I want to mention here is not really who(prognosticators) likes whom, but what you would do with the selection as GM of the Padres. For what it is worth, I think Tate is the BPA, and if I was the GM, I would definitely pull the trigger on him….

Ackley, Ackley at 3 if he idsn’t by some miracle taken by SEA, but with his 19th HR this season, he has erased all doubts about his power….but I guess that is another discussion, because I can’t see how Ackley isn’t the pick for SEA

And I understand your take on the Tate dilemma. Personal preference is what makes this a great site, and why I continually search for input that is original and not just regurgitated from the prognosticators….

This, however, is a pleasant dilemma to have.

Seems like an easy pick if he somehow slipped. He’d match the BPA with a position of need (CF or 2B) and the polished college bat that the Padres love.

This link argues fairly convincingly against a high school pitcher, even one as talented and Mid-Western as Turner seems to be.
The author indicates that 3% of high school pitchers drafted in the first round became “stars” while under control of the team that drafted them and pnly 8% became “regulars” within that time frame. Interesting…

Guys I would consider:
@3
1. Ackley – Gotta hope for the athlete with the special bat
2. Crow – + sinker, + slider, +command, get him in and teach him a change!
3. Tate – We DO need athletes. I would love to see him fall to us in the 2nd and show we’re committed to the draft! Questions about the bat → high bust potential (same can be said about all the pitchers).
4. Turner – Best HS righty, BIG arm. BIG curve.
5. Matzek – Could be a beast, a little scared by inconsistent command (Mark Phillips anyone?)
6. Gibson – I love fastball command. Gibson’s got it and 2 + offspeed pitches.

@52:
1. Matt Hobgood – Hope his arm gets out of the first
2. Jason Kipnis – Draft him again
3. Mike Minor – Don’t like @ 3, would fit @ 52 (doubt he makes it though after regaining the curve in the SEC tourney).
4. Brad Boxberger – 3 potential plus pitches
5. Angelo Songco – A SD bat
6. Zach von Rosenberg – A HS righty w/ advanced command. I LIKE!
7. JR Murphy – C, Good hitter, Good athlete, likely to stay behind the plate and hit.

@82
1. Kyle Seager – In the Logan Forsythe mold. Could be Bill Mueller.
2. Marc Krauss – Good hitting corner OF, did great on the Cape – which we tend to pay attention to.
3. Chris Dominguez – Another Cape hitter, Big Power, improving pitch recognition.
4. Matt Bashore – Good college lefty, has hit 95.
5. Michael Heller – Projectable HS righty, has hit 97 (inconsistent secondary stuff)
6. Andrew Doyle – Pitchability college righty (doesn’t sound exciting but has 3 average pitches and command) Future 3.

Some other guys i like for later in the draft: Jonathan Singleton, big HS 1b power bat. Mark Fleury, college C w/ some power and plate discipline, Ryan Jackson if we believe he can hit (otherwise we’ve already got him and his name is beamer weems), Kent Matthes (big power bat)