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2009 Amateur Draft Mock #5 Supplemental Round

Once again, delays do happen.  The power went out and I've moved, so bad things tend to happen during those times.  Here's my supplemental round mock for the week:

 

33. Seattle - Matt Davidson, 3B, Yucaipa HS (CA) - I have a feeling that Davidson will sneak back up into the first round for my next mock, as national press seems to have him right up there with Bobby Borchering in terms of draft stock.  He's honestly not up to that level in my opinion, but I'm trying to place guys in terms of perceived draft stock.  Previously: #35.
34. Colorado - Eric Arnett, RHP, Indiana - I'm thinking it's a choice between Arnett, Kyle Heckathorn, Drew Storen, and Ben Tootle here.  Arnett seems to have the leg up over the others, so he's the choice.  Previously: #31.
35. Arizona - Everett Williams, OF, McCallum HS (TX) - If you've ever had to develop something on a limited budget, but with a lot of expensive parts, you know how difficult it can be.  That's the Diamondbacks' draft predicament this year.  Williams is a solid prep pick with upside who should sign.  Previously: #45.
36. Los Angeles (NL) - Mychal Givens, RHP/SS, Plant HS (FL) - Givens fits the mold of Logan White's position player acquisitions, but his upside is generally on the mound.  He's got a blazing fastball, but his large lack of polish is what brings him below the elite prep prospects in this draft.  Previously: #36.
37. Toronto - Drew Storen, RHP, Stanford - I had Billy Bullock here last week, but if Storen's available, there's no way Bullock goes over him.  I'm pretty sure Storen's solidified his position as the top relief prospect in the draft, making this pretty much his floor in terms of draft position.  Previously: #33.
38. Chicago (AL) - Kyle Heckathorn, RHP, Kennesaw State - There's some whispers that Heckathorn's teammate Chad Jenkins has leapt over him, even into the first round.  However, I still believe in Heckathorn's stock.  For now.  Previously: #34.
39. Milwaukee - Brooks Raley, LHP, Texas A&M - Unless the Brewers want to be poor, they'll have to go with an affordable pick somewhere along the way.  Raley offers decent upside as an athletic lefty.  Previously: #42.
40. Los Angeles (AL) - Brian Goodwin, OF, Rocky Mount HS (NC) - I think the Angels end up with one of Brian Goodwin or Jake Marisnick, possibly both.  Goodwin's a UNC recruit, so I don't know about his signability.  Previously: #40.
41. Arizona - Ben Tootle, RHP, Jacksonville State - Tootle offers significant upside for a college pick, but is less refined than most others.  In addition, the stigma of being a possible reliever in the long-run tanks his stock.  Previously: #44.
42. Los Angeles (AL) - Kendal Volz, RHP, Baylor - The Angels will also have to go with college players more than normal, as they can't afford to sign all prep players.  If the Angels can get out of Volz what he did in his sophomore year at Baylor, then this would be a steal.  Previously: #41.
43. Cincinnati - Tony Sanchez, C, Boston College - This is also a draft floor pick to me.  Sanchez could go as high as the first round, but seems likely to slip somewhere into the supplemental first.  This is the farthest he'll fall.  Previously: #38.
44. Texas - Joe Kelly, RHP, UC Riverside - Texas has a history with relievers in the later rounds of the draft, but I don't think they'll pass up on a big arm like Kelly's.  His fastball is as good as anyone's, and he's batting Billy Bullock for second-best relief prospect.  Previously: #46.
45. Arizona - Billy Bullock, RHP, Florida - Here's the run on relievers.  Last year it was in the first round, but I think it's more of a supplemental first round run to me this year.  Bullock's snuck up on people, but he's a quality reliever who can move fast.  Previously: #37.
46. Minnesota - Jason Stoffel, RHP, Arizona - Get the idea by now?  Stoffel's fallen farther than I ever expected him to, but he's still got a good arm in there somewhere.  There's some concern about his usage, and I fully agree.  Previously: #43.
47. Milwaukee - Brad Boxberger, RHP, USC - Boxberger's been generally underrated in this class, as he offers a nice assortment of stuff with a decent fastball.  He's not in the top tier of college pitchers, but he's awfully close.  Previously: #52.
48. Los Angeles (AL) - David Holmberg, LHP, Port Charlotte HS (FL) - When looking for a prep pitcher with good upside, look no farther than Florida.  Holmberg's had a solid senior season, neither helping nor hurting his draft stock.  Previously: #56.
49. Pittsburgh - Austin Maddox, C, Eagle's View Academy (FL) - Even though the word of the street is that Maddox's stock is falling, I still think a team is suckered into taking him early.  He's always been in the equation as a top prep catcher in this class.  Previously: #49.

 

The usual disclaimer: writeups on draft status going into the draft were a mixture of BA and PG unless otherwise noted.  Go to their sites for draft coverage.  They're awesome.

What do you think?

Comment 18 comments  |  4 recs  | 

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James Jones

He had some buzz pre-season, but his pitching for LIU has been pretty much bleep. But he is hitting the leather off the ball – would a team draft him as a pticher and try to teach hm, or take him as a positional player and hope his general athleticism lets him play OF?

by ofsticksandbats on May 15, 2009 11:41 AM EDT reply actions  

Well...

Everything I’ve seen in terms of his draft stock only really discusses him as a pitching prospect. So I’d assume that’s where he’ll go. He’s a third rounder in my eyes.

by Andy Seiler on May 15, 2009 11:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

Hey

Can you email me?

andy at texasrangersanalyst dot com

Thanks.

by Andy Seiler on May 15, 2009 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Alex Wilson

what is the word on him. How far is he sliding?

Also, Tony Sanchez seems like a name I keep hearing at the end of round 1.

What is this, Horseville? Because I'm surrounded by naysayers.

by clark on May 15, 2009 11:52 AM EDT reply actions  

Wilson

He’s still a second rounder to me. He’s been moved to the bullpen, and I think that’s probably his permanent home as a pro. For a 22 year old, he’s far behind, with his transfer and TJ surgery. If a team is looking at someone who might be a reliever, they have to ask themselves if they prefer a different college reliever over him. For that reason, I think Drew Storen, Billy Bullock, Jason Stoffel, and Joe Kelly will go before Wilson does.

Personally, I’m not a fan. He’s the type of guy where it might take until age 26 to see if he’s actually any good.

by Andy Seiler on May 15, 2009 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'd be surprised if Maddox slips that far

Why is his stock falling so much?

Raley + Boxberger would be quite a coup for the Brew Crew.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on May 15, 2009 2:59 PM EDT reply actions  

Maddox

He was in BA’s draft tracker in a bad way this week. His stock is going down due to the fact that others have passed him.

At 6-foot-3, 225 pounds, Maddox is an ox with two big tools—raw power and arm strength. However, the game doesn’t come easy to him, he lacks fluidity, and the rest of the prep catchers in Florida have caught up to him or passed him on many boards. Florida is loaded with prep backstops. Want defense? Take Steve Baron. Need power? Try Michael Ohlman. Need a little of both? How about Mike Zunino, or J.R. Murphy? Maddox hasn’t had a great spring, and he’s not looking great by comparison to his competition.

Link.

by Andy Seiler on May 15, 2009 3:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

I really think kendal Volz is a steal there

Especially since thats like the Angels 4th draft pick

by SteveHoffmanSlowey on May 15, 2009 5:46 PM EDT reply actions  

Mychal Givens

Don’t most people think he’s a SS now? I read somewhere – don’t remember where – that he’s been unimpressive on the mound. Agree? As a SS, I don’t think he’s in the class of Mier.

by Paul5418 on May 16, 2009 4:30 PM EDT reply actions  

Givens

And if he’s a SS, is he going to hit? Seems like he’s just a great athlete who happens to play Baseball and not a Baseball player.

by Thinkblue on May 17, 2009 3:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

I thought I had read

His bat wasn’t really that great and since he was hitting 94-95 mph on the mound, and at the very worst would be a sidearming reliever, that teams felt they could mold him into a pitcher.

Relive Royals History at royalsretro.blogspot.com

by RoyalsRetro on May 19, 2009 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

what’s the scouting report on Arnett?

by JP_Frost on May 16, 2009 5:24 PM EDT reply actions  

Arnett

Big guy, 6’5 230 lbs. Mostly fastball/slider with an occasional splitter. Reports on the fastball are that it sits low-90’s and touches 96 not sure about the movement. Reports on the slider are that it has good shape and suggest it should be a swing and miss pitch coming in around 82-84.

by Paul5418 on May 17, 2009 5:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

5th 2nd round

Andy, did you do a mock 2nd round and not post?

by ofsticksandbats on May 19, 2009 5:21 PM EDT reply actions  

Yes.

I didn’t have time to post it. But you’ll be able to tell who was on it by my “previous” listing at the end of my writeups this week.

by Andy Seiler on May 19, 2009 6:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

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