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Opening Day Random Thoughts

Detroit Tigers pitcher Rick Porcello works in the second inning of an exhibition baseball game  the Atlanta Braves, Saturday April 4, 2009, in Atlanta.  (AP Photo/John Bazemore)

More photos » John Bazemore - AP

10 months ago: Detroit Tigers pitcher Rick Porcello works in the second inning of an exhibition baseball game the Atlanta Braves, Saturday April 4, 2009, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/John Bazemore)

Opening Day Miscellaneous

ROY Predictions:

   AL Rookie of the Year: Matt Wieters (I think he'll be up to the majors quickly) edges out Travis Snider.

   NL Rookie of the Year: Cameron Maybin edges out Jordan Schafer and Jordan Zimmermann.

Opening Day Random Thoughts

**I think putting Rick Porcello in the Detroit rotation is batshit insane. In my opinion, even the best prospects need a good dose of Double-A. Most of them need Triple-A. Porcello is very talented, but he is NOT Dwight Gooden or Bob Feller. The wonderful spring training he had resulted in a 2.30 ERA, which is sharp, but also a 8/5 K/BB and 17 hits in 15.2 innings, hardly a dominant ratio set. Maybe it will work, but it is not a risk I would take if I was the Tigers braintrust.

**The decision to put Ryan Perry in the Tigers bullpen is a bit more defensible, but still risky. Perry has a terrific arm, but was considered fairly raw for a guy coming out of college. He could follow a Brandon Morrow path.

**Community member RedSoxFaithful has a great fanpost about Shairon Martis that you really should read. I agree with his analysis. My guess is that Martis will be surprisingly effective in the first half of the season and generate some ROY buzz, but that he'll hit a wall after getting past 100 innings pitched, struggling in the second half and finishing with average numbers overall.

**On the other hand, I really believe in Jordan Zimmermann, Martis' fellow rookie Washington Nationals starter. I think he may take an opposite path, perhaps struggling somewhat in April and May but (assuming they remain patient with him) turning things around in June and having a strong second half. I've liked Zimmermann since his college days. Rotowire subscribers can read my take on him here.

**As a Twins fan, I'm actually kind of sad about this being the last year for the Metrodome. I'm thinking I might try to get up there for one last game. It's been a long time.

**Kevin Slowey....stealth Cy Young candidate? If the Twins can score enough runs for him. . .

**Looking over some spring training stats, I notice J.J. Hardy hitting .403/.488/761. Yes, it's spring training. . .but note his 11 walks against 8 strikeouts in 67 at-bats. If he maintains strike zone judgment like that, he could have a monster season.

**Colby Rasmus hit .280/.368/.451 this spring, with four steals in four attempts, 12 walks, and 25 strikeouts in 82 at-bats. The strikeout rate is rather high and I think he's a .250 hitter in a full season right now, but if he maintains the walk rate, he'll produce enough power and speed to hold a job. Most people are writing off his '08 struggles to injuries, but there were whispers during the fall that he had a motivation problem last year. I don't know if that's true or not, but I doubt he would be in the majors right now if it was a real issue.

**Jason Motte, 1.46 ERA with a 18/1 K/BB in 12 innings this spring, earning the closer job in St. Louis. I don't think it's a fluke, and he's a stealth ROY candidate if his command holds up like that.

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Kevin Slowey

I couldn’t agree more- he’s definitely a dark horse, and he’s my AL Cy pick at this point. He’s going to be very good for a very long time…

by RedSoxFaithful on Apr 6, 2009 1:01 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Agreed on Porcello

Tigers could very easily mess up the only high-upside SP arm they have.

I am losing faith in Dombrowski’s ability to GM that team by the move.

"And you just don't get it, you keep it copacetic..."

by Blicks on Apr 6, 2009 1:06 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I am losing faith in Dombrowski’s ability to GM that team by the move.

Youre not alone… and THAT is why Porcello is in the majors right now.

by alskor on Apr 6, 2009 1:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bat guano insane, indeed...

I saw/heard Peter Gammons yammering about this last night, going on as if this were some brilliant idea. Hey Peter, when’s your next interview with A-Rod?

by royshowell on Apr 7, 2009 10:44 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

there were whispers during the fall that he had a motivation problem last year.

Those were the loudest whispers I’ve ever heard. There was some letdown by being tucked away in AAA rather than the majors. Injuries derailed the end of the season but some misappropriated anger detracted from the start.

by azruavatar on Apr 6, 2009 1:36 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

KLaw

mentioned some whispers about Rasmus makeup in an off season chat

by krgrecw on Apr 6, 2009 3:13 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

?

Positively or negatively?

TheSouthWing.com - A Magazine of essays, prose and poems

by OldProspects on Apr 6, 2009 3:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

negative

he also said he would be a walmart worker if it wasn’t for baseball, doesn’t sound like he’s the smartest person out there either.

by Bravesin07 on Apr 6, 2009 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wow

TheSouthWing.com - A Magazine of essays, prose and poems

by OldProspects on Apr 6, 2009 11:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Man

Its a disparaging remark to make about the good people that work at Wal Mart( including my grandmother), but I have seen plenty of interviews with Colby and heard many on the radio, and he can come off as a little dull, but not dim. He speaks at a very low decible level, and with quite the Alabama draw. He isn’t the most energetic player, and seems to rely on his athletism a little too much. Which could lead to complacency in the major leagues, but I think he is properly motivated to make sure that doesn’t become a problem. This isn’t a sociopath like Elijah Dukes for christs sake.

By the way I have a question for Keith….

I’m a douschebag. How do I get to be an ESPN contributor?

by CoolCat23 on Apr 7, 2009 2:55 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Porcello

Concur with you on this; I think the move was a function of his major league contract, plus a touch of desperation following last year’s implosion by the pitching staff.

by RotoJeff on Apr 6, 2009 5:19 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

re: Porcello

Yeah, what a dumb move by Dombrowski.

Hey John, you really like Jordan Schafer that much….wow.

"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"

by feslenraster on Apr 6, 2009 5:58 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Schafer has had Sizemore comps put on him in the past

So much for Jason Motte, blew a save already and got hammered. I just traded a ton to get him on my fantasy team.

by Bravesin07 on Apr 6, 2009 7:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

But the bright side is...

… some of us can get him cheaper. Which is of no use to you as you just gave up a ton to get him.

by Forza Hudd on Apr 6, 2009 7:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Verlander getting lit up already

Is it me or is he becoming the RH version of Steve Avery. Avery was awesome to start his career and then faded away fast.

by Bravesin07 on Apr 6, 2009 7:39 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

It was one inning.

Can we wait before condemning him to a life of suck?

by demondeaconsbaseball on Apr 6, 2009 8:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

LOL

I’ve missed Braves knee-jerk over reactions this off season…

by slurve on Apr 6, 2009 8:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah but verlander has been hammered all spring and was terrible last year

they put too many innings on his arm in 2006 and 2007 and his changeup is gone. I’m worried a bit about lincecum this year because of the useage.

by Bravesin07 on Apr 6, 2009 8:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think it’s mostly mental with Verlander. I’m not a Tigers fan, but this was my observation based on last night’s game. Seems there’s no calm or poise to his game.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Farnsworth: Start the ship, Leela. Let's just steal the damn radar dish and get back to our own time.
Fry: But- But won't that change history?
Farnsworth: Oh, a lesson in not changing history from Mr. I'm-My-Own-Grandpa! Let's get the hell out of here already! Screw history!

Farnsworth: You mustn't interfere with the past! Don't do anything that affects anything. Unless it turns out you were supposed to do it. In which case, for the love of God don't not do it!
Fry: Got it.
Farnsworth: If for example you were to kill your grandfather, you'd cease to exist.
Fry: (gasps) But existing is basically all I do.

by parrot11 on Apr 7, 2009 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Watching a good portion of the game yesterday

His fastball and change both looked straight as an arrow. It looked like the pitches were coming from a batting cage pitching machine. Velocity, but straight as can be. What the hell happened to him?

by alskor on Apr 7, 2009 12:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

In the early innings

he was throwing hard, around 97+ up to 100mph several times, but it had no movemnet. Lind hit one cleanly to RF of a pitch that was 100 according to the data. Only after the 3rd inning did he slow it down to around 94 and found some movement.

by tdot mariner fan on Apr 7, 2009 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

re: Motte

rest easy bravesin07…it’s only one game.

"Fantasy, reality, science Fiction. Which is which? Who can tell?"

by feslenraster on Apr 6, 2009 7:59 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Travis Snider

LMAO @ people who STILL dont realize how incredible this kid is.

No, he’s not going to be a DH.
No, he’s not fat and slow.
No, he’s not going to hit .230.

by metafour on Apr 6, 2009 8:34 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Actually he is kind of fat, and I wouldnt call him fast... and he will likely end up at DH

but the kid can rake. He is pretty incredible. I dont know anyone who said he would hit .230.

by alskor on Apr 6, 2009 10:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Snider is awesome, drafted him in the 25th round on my fantasy league draft

the guy always looks intense and was like that the night i saw him in syracuse, quite a focus kid for 21 years old.

by Bravesin07 on Apr 6, 2009 8:38 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hardy

did an off-season work out regimen with Corey Hart with the idea of building endurance for a long season. I think he is about 10 or 15 lbs heavier. Another factor could be that he probably won’t hit in front of the pitcher. He also might not hit in the 2 hole where he flourished.

by Lovejoy on Apr 7, 2009 10:51 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

indoor baseball

nothing is more predictable than someone declaring on a game thread that they hate indoor baseball. Personally, I really dislike snow games or rain storm games. Indoor baseball has a character all its own and exciting defense or baserunning happen a lot. I wonder how the nature of the new stadium will affect the Twins. Are they a team “built” for a dome?

by Lovejoy on Apr 7, 2009 10:56 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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