Community Projection: Jay Bruce
by John Sickels on Mar 4, 2009 3:23 PM EST
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PrintIt's time to start up the Community Projections again. We will concentrate on "not a rookie" type players, young guys with a year or so of major league experience. We will begin with Jay Bruce of Cincinnati.
For Jay Bruce, project the following numbers:
Games
At-bats
Hits
Batting average (make sure the math works)
Runs scored
Doubles
Triples
Homers
RBI
Walks
Strikeouts
Steals
Caught Stealing
Please do it in that order as it makes the spreadsheet data entry a lot easier for me.
One projection per person.
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Bruce
Games 155
At-bats 569
Hits 160
Batting average (make sure the math works) .281
Runs scored 70
Doubles 30
Triples 4
Homers 30
RBI 81
Walks 47
Strikeouts 125
Steals 6
Caught Stealing 3
Bruce
Games 150
At-bats 600
Hits 171
Batting average (make sure the math works) .285
Runs scored 71
Doubles 27
Triples 3
Homers 33
RBI 93
Walks 50
Strikeouts 140
Steals 6
Caught Stealing 4
Bruce
Games – 148
At-bats – 550
Hits – 155
Batting average (make sure the math works) – .281
Runs scored – 80
Doubles – 21
Triples – 2
Homers – 27
RBI – 95
Walks – 51
Strikeouts – 130
Steals – 7
Caught Stealing – 4
Games: 158
At Bats: 570
Hits: 163
Batting Average: .286
Runs: 82
Doubles: 29
Triples: 4
Homers: 25
RBIs: 87
Walks: 54
Strikeouts: 102
Steals: 11
CS: 6
Additional Information
.286/.349/.482 is what his slash line would work out to. I think this is a pretty safe prediction, he could break out and hit much higher or could slump and be a lot worse. I do think his strikezone judgement will improve this year though
Don't believe the lies Bill!!!! look at the sparkly ERA!!! Sparkly, Sparkly!!! - McCovey Chronicles
Bruce
Games: 151
At-bats: 603
Hits: 165
Batting average (make sure the math works): .274
Runs scored: 79
Doubles: 32
Triples: 3
Homers: 26
RBI: 87
Walks: 46
Strikeouts: 137
Steals: 7
Caught Stealing: 6
Remember: baseball guys... baseball...
These are fun and I think Bruce is gonna blow up
Games 157
At-bats 541
Hits 157
Batting average .291
Runs scored 103
Doubles 34
Triples 4
Homers 31
RBI 112
Walks 60
Strikeouts 132
Steals 12
Caught Stealing 5
slash line .291/.361/.540
you would
homer
"If you hit .440 with 20 bombs, you don't have to do s---. You don't have to bring a glove to practice, just hit and leave whenever you want. You can bring a 40 and smoke a cigarette and call me from the parking lot asking me what time the game is, and I'll tell you. You can even say 'F--- you, Steve!' Actually, don't say that, that wouldn't be very nice." -Steve Friend, Head Coach, Chabot College Gladiators Baseball
Bruce Projection
Games – 155
At-bats – 586
Hits – 168
Batting average (make sure the math works) – .286
Runs scored – 81
Doubles – 32
Triples – 4
Homers – 27
RBI – 91
Walks – 58
Strikeouts – 146
Steals – 8
Caught Stealing – 4
Jay Bruce
Games: 145
At-Bats: 551
Hits: 149
Batting Average: .270
Runs Scored: 77
Doubles: 38
Triples: 3
Home Runs: 32
RBI: 94
Walks: 36
Strikeouts: 151
Steals: 6
Caught Stealing: 2
My Amatuer Hour Projection
Games – 135
At-bats – 517
Hits – 137
Batting average (make sure the math works) – .265
Runs scored – 73
Doubles – 27
Triples – 4
Homers – 29
RBI – 81
Walks – 27
Strikeouts – 147
Steals – 6
Caught Stealing – 5
Bruce Bruce
Games 154
At-bats 579
Hits 168
Batting average .290
Runs scored 75
Doubles 30
Triples 4
Homers 32
RBI 91
Walks 54
Strikeouts 136
Steals 6
Caught Stealing 2
Bruce
Games 151
At-bats 577
Hits 157
Batting average .272
Runs scored 97
Doubles 26
Triples 5
Homers 26
RBI 78
My initial inclination seems to be optimistic on his stolen base numbers in comparison with the community, but everything else seems fairly close.
Walks 52
Strikeouts 150
Steals 16
Caught Stealing 9
Bruuuuuce!!
152 Games
609 At bats
178 Hits
.291 Avg.
87 Runs scored
32 Doubles
6 Triples
29 Homers
104 R.B.I.‘S
62 Walks
95 K’s
17 S.B.
6 C.S.
bruce
Games: 144
At-bats: 497
Hits: 131
Batting average: .263
Runs scored: 77
Doubles: 21
Triples: 4
Homers: 27
RBI: 84
Walks: 49
Strikeouts: 103
Steals: 9
Caught Stealing: 5
BRUCE - 307/359/544
Games 151
At-bats 557
Hits 171
Batting average 307
Runs scored 101
Doubles 37
Triples 4
Homers 29
RBI 117
Walks 45
Strikeouts 131
Steals 11
Caught Stealing 5
I realize this is bullish, but I’m expecting Bruce to play very well this season, and particularly in the second half once he’s adjusted.
Bruce
Games 132
At-bats 515
Hits 145
Batting average .281
Runs scored 85
Doubles 25
Triples 1
Homers 29
RBI 80
Walks 40
Strikeouts 125
Steals 7
Caught Stealing 5
churchofbaseball.com
Projections
Games 150
At-bats 550
Hits 158
Batting average .287
Runs scored 95
Doubles 35
Triples 2
Homers 30
RBI 95
Walks 60
Strikeouts 115
Steals 8
Caught Stealing 9
--Pablo Zevallos of yankeesfuture.wordpress.com
shameless homerism
Games 147
At-bats 543
Hits 164
Batting average (make sure the math works) .302
Runs scored 86
Doubles 32
Triples 4
Homers 37
RBI 98
Walks 49
Strikeouts 120
Steals 10
Caught Stealing (havoc) 7
My millions are unconventional!
by Charlie Scrabbles on Mar 6, 2009 1:28 AM EST reply actions
I'll give it a shot
Games 143
At-bats 525
Hits 135
Batting average .257
Runs 73
Doubles 26
Triples 4
Homers 22
RBI 78
Walks 37
Strikeouts 154
Steals 17
Caught Stealing 8
Rate numbers work out to something like .257/.306/.446.
Jay Bruce
Games 149
At-bats 567
Hits 149
Batting average .262
Runs 81
Doubles 29
Triples 2
Homers 28
RBI 88
Walks 55
Strikeouts 171
Steals 8
Caught Stealing 8
Not a bad sophomore year
Games 148
At-bats 545
Hits 149
Batting average .273
Runs scored
Doubles 31
Triples 1
Homers 26
RBI 94
Walks 46
Strikeouts 141
Steals 7
Caught Stealing 4
runs scored
forgot about that… 82 runs scored
Jay Bruce Projection
Games 154
At-bats 580
Hits 160
Batting average .276
Runs 90
Doubles 27
Triples 3
Homers 28
RBI 88
Walks 50
Strikeouts 144
Steals 10
Caught Stealing 6
"Daryl (Morey, the Rockets general manager) and I were talking this morning. We both discussed how great Tracy is in the playoffs. There's very few people who have the ability to step up their games in the playoffs and he does. So we're not looking to run away from Tracy." - Houston Rockets Owner, Leslie Alexander
muhahahaha WTF?!?!
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