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Sleepers/Breakout Candidates for 2009, NL Central

Potential Sleepers/Breakouts, NL CENTRAL

Sam Freeman, LHP, St. Louis Cardinals
    Freeman was a 32nd round pick last year, from the University of Kansas. He was, um, "less than successful" in college, posting a 8.53 ERA with a 20/20 K/BB in 32 innings last year, allowing 45 hits. He was much better as a pro, posting a 3.42 ERA with a 38/13 K/BB in 26 innings between the Appalachian and Florida State Leagues, thanks to a mechanical tweak that greatly improved his command. Freeman, an excellent athlete who was an outfielder in junior college, can hit 94 MPH and has a promising breaking ball. If he maintains his command, he could end up being a very useful asset.

Matt Hague, 3B, Pittsburgh Pirates
    Hague was a ninth round pick last year from Oklahoma State. He hit .321/.384/.470 in his pro debut, 57 games in the Sally League, showing decent plate discipline and a low strikeout rate with a 20/28 BB/K in 215 at-bats. Two questions; how much power at higher levels does he show? And will his defense be good enough at third base? He has a strong arm but limited range may move him to first base, which would increase the pressure on his bat. There's been talk of him in right field as well. I find the bat intriguing, but we'll have to see where it fits.

Chris Hicks, RHP, Houston Astros
    Gotta look deep for sleepers in the Houston system, but here is an interesting one. Drafted in the 18th round last year out of Georgia Tech, Hicks pitched poorly in college but was more effective in limited action as a pro, posting a 13/3 K/BB in eight innings for Tri-City in the New York-Penn League, allowing three hits and three runs. Much better than the 8.67 ERA with 23/14 K/BB he put up in 27 college innings. He can hit 95 MPH, has a nasty curveball and slider, and is athletic and projectable. If he continues to improve his command, Hicks could take a big step forward this year.

Cody Scarpetta, RHP, Milwaukee Brewers
    An 11th round pick in 2007 out of high school in Illinois, Scarpetta came to my attention because I like to track the cold-weather Midwest high school pitchers, on the theory that they are overlooked/underdrafted. A finger injury hurt his stock and has slowed him down, but when healthy he shows a 90-94 MPH sinker and a good curveball. He's pitched just 36 pro innings, but with a 2.23 ERA and a 58/16 K/BB. I think Scarpetta is a major sleeper going forward.

Juan Carlos Sulbaran, RHP, Cincinnati Reds
     Sulbaran was drafted in the 30th round last year out of high school in Florida, but could have gone much higher were it not for a University of Florida scholarship. He signed for $500,000 and hasn't pitched yet, but the scouting reports look intriguing to me: 90-94 MPH fastball, curveball, changeup, reportedly has sharp command and a good feel for pitching. If the scouting reports of above average stuff with control are accurate, how can he not be a sleeper and  breakthrough candidate?   

Logan Watkins, 2B, Chicago Cubs
   I really love RHP Jay Jackson, but I've mentioned him before and figured someone more obscure would be more interesting for you. One option is Logan Watkins, drafted in the 21st round last year out of high school in Goddard, Kansas. Watkins would have gone much higher than the 21st round but teams were scared off by a Wichita State scholarship. The Cubs signed him for $500,000, then he hit .325/.462/.363 in rookie ball. A terrific athlete, Watkins is a left-handed hitter with excellent strike zone judgment, but lacks power right now. It's also unclear where he fits with the glove. . .there has been talk about him as both a center fielder and shortstop. We need more information here, but Watkins certainly bears close watching going forward.

0 recs  |  Comment 7 comments |

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His name is Einertson,

Mitch Einertson. Mitch, drafted in 2004, in the 4th(?) round (maybe 5th). Tied an Appalachin League record, hitting 24 homer runs that summer. Since then Einertson has had trouble staying healthy, and has plate discipline issues. However, he is still only 22 (23 in April), and I expect him to put it together this season. Hitting .300/.350/.475+ over AA/AAA and a major league appearance in September.

by byronlhsdrmr on Mar 12, 2009 9:18 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Scarpetta

What kind of ceiling does he have?

by rdf8585 on Mar 13, 2009 9:45 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Sulbaran

Doug has a video up on his site of Sulbaran striking out Ivan Rodriguez on 3 pitches with runners on 1st and 3rd in the Netherlands/Puerto Rico game from a couple of days ago. Pudge never had a chance on those curveballs.

"How big IS your magic wand?"

by Slyde on Mar 13, 2009 10:20 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I hope Freeman

ends up showing something in the Cards system. I know Cardinal’s mgmt is high on him as someone who could be a valuable late round pick. Their system could really use some lefthanded pitching.

by Toddius on Mar 13, 2009 10:24 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Deryk Hooker

Power right hander that has been striking guys out at fantastic rates, should always be considered over a college pitcher that underwhelmed for most of his time at Kansas.

Hooker is 19 years old and can only get better.

by CoolCat23 on Mar 13, 2009 10:18 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Some Cub sleepers/under the radar

Jeff Believeau

In terms of breakout, that’s one Cub I’d look towards, as his nasty two pitch combo could move him up the lower levels fairly quick. Now, I think, as he reaches the higher levels, he’ll either become a LOOGY, or he’ll have to adjust.

Casey Coleman

I think he’s under the radar a bit, and it wouldn’t surprise me if Casey moves up the ladder rather quickly and was in AA by the end of the year. He’s got a nice three pitch arsenal to work from.

Robert Hernandez

The fast/change is still a quality combo. Still awfully young and could emerge. Should
start in Daytona.

Jake Opitz/Josh Harrison/Dwayne Kemp

Three under the radar 2nd basemen … all three with some, albeit different, offensive abilities. I don’t expect all three to emerge, as there’s not enough AB’s for all of them, but out of those three, I think one could emerge.

Brandon Guyer

More of a breakout candidate, but he did put together a rather under the radar season in the MWL. Has all the tools to really excel, if he can gain a measure of consistency.

by toonsterwu on Mar 14, 2009 3:27 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Cubs Sleepers

A few other names to toss onto the pile…

RHP Larry Suarez (bonus baby who should put it together at some point)
RHP Alessandro Maestri (relief prospect with a good fastball/slider combo)
SS Darwin Barney (like his defense, think his bat should be passable in the majors)
SS Nate Samson (he’ll stick at SS, just a matter of developing some power)
OF Nelson Perez (eye-popping power and no plate discipline; should get over-hyped and flame out in High A at the rate things are going)

by Outshined_One on Mar 17, 2009 1:20 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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