very worthy research on risky pitchers for 09

by davidsabin on Feb 5, 2009 1:27 AM EST

http://razzball.com/20-risky-pitchers-for-2009/

Here is a link to Razzball's web site which has some very nice, possibly original, research on injury risk pitchers for 2009.

It should be worth your while as we wait to get the ball rolling on 2009.

Its interesting that the vast majority of guys on this list are flashy up and coming pitchers, most of the veterens on this list have had arm problems

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I read the article as well

A lot of the names made sense to put in the “bust” category, but the one that likely surprises a lot of people is Ricky Nolasco. 43% curves/sliders? That is the highest on the list!

I would not be surprised one bit to see every name in the top 5 come down with some sort of arm injury in 2009. Something tells me though that Cueto/Greinke and Santana will be ok.

by guru4u on Feb 5, 2009 9:39 AM EST reply actions

+1

Founder of the Johnny Giavotella fan club.

by doublestix on Feb 5, 2009 6:14 PM EST up reply actions

best line in the whole thing...

Manny Parra – Throws five pitches (Fastball, Curveball, Changeup, Split-Finger, and Slider) all for balls (4.07 BB/9 IP).

http://www.simdynasty.com/index.jsp?refer=mychiefs58

by huckleberry on Feb 5, 2009 1:03 PM EST reply actions

yep. I laughed out loud when i read that as well

by davidsabin on Feb 5, 2009 7:12 PM EST up reply actions

Interesting but..

it seems to be they found alot of young pitchers who throw a high amount of breaking balls who had a huge workload last year…of course they are more injury prone.

by jsmall404 on Feb 5, 2009 1:04 PM EST reply actions

It's an article aimed at fantasy owners to identify specific players with injury bust potential

It doesn’t have to be groundbreaking in order to be useful to the intended audience.

by jibs on Feb 5, 2009 2:57 PM EST up reply actions

It would be interesting to see if his predicted failure rate of 12/20 will come true. Would be interesting to combine this with info on these pitchers’ individual pitching mechanics. I think most people agree, some motions put less stress on your arm depending on what pitch is being thrown. Mechanics could explain why some pitchers could throw more sliders without there arm ligaments blowing up on them.

by tdot mariner fan on Feb 5, 2009 1:26 PM EST reply actions

I think a big miss

is that it doesn’t take prior injury history into account. Some people are just more or less brittle than others. The fact that he thought Ben Sheets was on the cusp but he didn’t list him, for example, is a joke.

Vogt early, Vogt often.

by Brickhaus on Feb 6, 2009 9:43 AM EST reply actions