Clayton the great in 09?
by bodyiq on Jan 31, 2009 8:44 AM EST
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So what kind of reasonable numbers do we expect from this young stud in the making for the upcoming season?
Last year when he hit the bigs, he had his ups and downs (to be expected).
His strikeout rate was fine. My concern is that his WHIP was up (1.50) considerably from when in the minors (0.95?). What was this a product of?
Does he in fact have a rotation spot all locked up at this point?
He's got to be there right with the best of the second year starters, right?
Any insights or thoughts greatly appreciated.
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Whupp'd?
WHIP up from minors b/c pitching in the majors is much, much harder?
Monster second half
He’s probably going to keep his command problems through first half, but will get into a real groove in the second. 3.60 ERA to finish year. He’ll go crazy with Ks. 180 IP, 200 Ks.
+1
I expect a very good season out of this kid.
I see an ERA between 3.60-3.80 with clost to a K/IP and a WHIP between 1.30-1.40.
Very similar to Scott Kazmir’s first full season in the majors (2005).
Now raise your goblet of rock. It's a toast to those who rock!
Expect...
a much lower WHIP. I could see him going all the way down to 1.20 or something. He has incredible hit and miss stuff so he could have a lot of fantasy value with strikeouts, WHIP, and maybe a pretty good ERA.
Honestly
He has to trust his stuff more. He was throwing 100 pitches in 5 innings in most of his starts last year. He had the typical rookie struggle – wanting to throw that perfect pitch every single time. If he starts trusting his stuff and going after hitters more, he’ll be fine.
It’s all mental, and when it is mental, the “breakthrough” is extremely tough to predict.
+1
I can see a performance similar to 2006 Verlander, but with a rougher start.
by David Tokarz on Jan 31, 2009 5:32 PM EST up reply actions
WHIP
His walk rate was about the same as was expected, but he allowed a lot more hits than usual. His BABIP was .325 and he has the stuff to force a consistently low BABIP, so his “struggles” in 08 were probably a product of being unlucky rather that pitching bad. He should be a monster next year, especially in the K department.
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