The Pablo Sandoval Award: NL West
In honor of the phenomenal rise of Pablo Sandoval through the Giants system, I am researching every team’s farm system for the player that most raised his stock within his respective organization. All of these players were exempt from Baseball America’s 2008 team Top 10s, and most were not ranked in John’s Top 20s. To qualify, a player must have over a year’s pro service as of the end of the 2008 season, so no one drafted or signed in 2008 will be considered.
This will be a six-part series, with one installment for each division. I’m going from the gut on these, so I’m sure there will be some discrepancies in opinion. Feel free to note any players that are more deserving. However, please crosscheck to be sure your choices are not on the above mentioned prospect lists. (Or, if a player is listed deep in the Sickles Top 20, make sure your choice is lower on the list.)
So, the first installment of the Pablo Sandoval Award will feature the National League West. Enjoy….
Arizona – Kyler Newby, RHP ~ With a farm system that has quickly diminished in depth due to acquisitions for big leaguers, the D-Backs will be depending on a lot median talent to fill out the system. Josh Whitesell is sure to be one of the several names to rise on the prospect chart. The Pablo Award however goes to right-hander Kyler Newby, who has emerged as one of the best pitching prospects in the system. Newby was sidelined for most of 2007 by an elbow injury, but was fairly dominant in the hitter-friendly California League this year. Featuring a devastating changeup to compliment a fastball/splitter combo, he totaled 16 saves in 67 innings of work for Visalia, striking out 86 while walking 30, and was more effective against lefties, holding them to a .165 batting average.
Colorado – Darin Holcomb, 3B ~ Recently being named the Sally League MVP, Holcomb has emerged as a legit late-blooming prospect, much like fellow Gonzaga alum Jason Bay. Holcomb has drawn comps to Garrett Atkins for his strike zone discipline. He struck out just 60 times against 65 walks this year in 509 at bats, and impressed with a .318 batting average. Based on his 5-foot-11 frame, he could be a candidate for a conversion to second base. However he may have enough power to remain at third or move to a corner outfield. He had 46 doubles this year at Ashville, so may have more of a power ceiling than his 14 homeruns would indicate.
Los Angeles – Matthew Wallach, C ~ Carlos Santana would have given even Pablo Sandoval some competition for the Pablo Award in the NL West until he was traded to Cleveland for Casey Blake. Otherwise, there isn’t a lot of surging talent in the Dodgers system. There is a lot of opportunity in the system at the catcher position though. While nepotism is certainly not the end-all for prospect scouting, Wallach is looking more and more like a chip off the block of his old man, Tim. Although he was repeating the rookie-class Pioneer League this season, he improved his slugging percentage by over .100 points, boosting it to .571 in 184 at bats. As a left-handed hitter, he hit went 21 for 60 against southpaws. Meanwhile he has demonstrated solid tools behind the plate and proved he can catch on a daily basis.
San Diego – Jackson Quezada, RHP ~ The Padres had a lot of notable contenders – including OF Luis Durango and 2B Eric Sogard – for the Pablo Award. Quezada rose to the top of chart though with 27 saves in the Midwest League. Coming off a decent 2007, the right-hander held opponents to a mere .180 batting average in 2008, while striking out 79 against 19 walks in 63.2 innings. He features a low-90s fastball, and has advanced sinking movement. It is possible the 22-year old, 170-pound Dominican will add velocity as he continues to grow into his 6-foot-4 frame.
San Francisco – Pablo Sandoval, C ~ The award is named after him because he has defied every scouting bureau in the world. He plays the toughest position in baseball. He is a switch hitter. He was in A-ball at the all-star break. Yet, Pablo Sandoval has came out of nowhere and has emerged as one of the premier hitting prospects in all of baseball. He combined to hit .350 between two levels of minor-league ball in the Cali and Eastern Leagues, and has kept on keeping on, hitting over .330 since being promoted to the big leagues. He best comps to Max Ramirez both sides of the ball, though he has more versatility on defense as he can play first and third in addition to catcher, which will be very useful in getting him at bats to keep his valuable bat fresh.
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Pablito
Pablo Sandoval did indeed make a meteoric rise through the Giants’ minor leagues this season, but he did it only from the left side of the plate.
Pablo hit 471, 326 and (so far) 387 OPS points higher from the left side than right at San Jose, Connecticut and SF, respectively. Pablo looked good getting two hits from the right side last night — but it raised his right-handed OPS only to .594.
Pablo has shown the ability to perhaps be an above-average first baseman defensively, throws runners out and blocks the plate well as a catcher and has a cannon as a third basemen.
But in order to be a true everyday player, I think he’s going to have to significantly improve his right-handed hitting.
by sharksrog on
Sep 17, 2008 12:27 AM EDT
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But in order to be a true everyday player, I think he’s going to have to significantly improve his right-handed hitting.
If it were the other way around, I’d agree. But a player can hit .225 against lefties and still get MVP votes. Howard might be an extreme example because of his power, but there are a ton of examples of players who hit righties far better than they hit lefties, yet were never labeled platoon players. Ryan Klesko is a great example.
If you limit the discussion just to switch-hitters, Lance Berkman has improved his OBP numbers over the years, but he’ll never be as good from the right side as he is from the left. And he used to be quite sub-par, actually.
Long post short: If Sandoval is going to have platoon splits, at least he’s doing it the right way.
by Grant on
Sep 17, 2008 8:49 PM EDT
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Ya
I have really enjoyed watching Sandoval in the minors, as well as watching his stint with the Giants this season. The kid can hit, and he’s a nice offensive player to go along with the strong future pitching staff the Giants will have. I’m an A’s fan, but i’m a baseball fan more then anything and have 2 of the A’s minor league affiliates within an hour, along with the Giants San Jose club and both of the big clubs. I get to see a lot of baseball every year, and dont mind going to watch San Jose from time to time. San Francisco has some good talent coming through the pipeline, Sandoval included.
by JPShark on
Sep 17, 2008 8:56 PM EDT
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I agree and disagree
I think not hitting against either lefty or righty pitchers is a problem for a player who wants to play every day. I agree that it is better not to hit southpaws (because of the fewer at bats) than righties.
But either way, if a player bats only .225, he would help his team more as a platoon player — assuming someone can platoon with him who hits significantly better than .225. OPS would be a better measure, but I think you get my point.
Ryan Howard can get by with a .225 because he draws a lot of walks and hits with a lot of power. Pablo Sandoval isn’t likely to do either as nearly as well as Ryan. Despite only a .229 career average against southpaws, Ryan’s OPS against them is .779. That’s not great, but it’s better than I think we can expect from Pablo unless he makes some significant adjustments.
VERY small sample, but while Pablo’s .222 career average against lefties is close to Ryan’s, his .534 OPS against southpaws doesn’t come close.
If one takes all Pablo’s stats from all three levels this season, Pablo’s OPS against right-handers is around 350 points higher than against southpaws. If Pablo had a career OPS of .800 I would be elated. The way this year has gone, if he were an everyday player that would break down to something like ..850 against righties and .650 against southpaws.
For my team, he’s got to have better than a .650 OPS to start against southpaws.
by sharksrog on
Sep 20, 2008 3:20 AM EDT
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Normally, you take a catcher like that and just platoon him
since there are a zillion backups out there with decent D and the ability to hit lefties at semi-respectable levels.
Posey makes that more complicated though.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Sep 20, 2008 3:42 AM EDT
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Especially considering
How many catchers play 162 games anyway?
www.loftylantern.com
by OldProspects on
Sep 20, 2008 8:35 PM EDT
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But in order to be a true everyday player, I think he’s going to have to significantly improve his right-handed hitting.
Here’s something I’ve never understood: Why are extreme splits bad? If a player hit .300, why does it matter if he does it by hitting .350 against RHP and .250 against LHP, or by hitting .300 against both RHP and LHP?
..so allow me to present Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain as two sweet, sweet bottles of warming hooch.
by Cookyman on
Sep 19, 2008 12:43 PM EDT
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Because
Platoon splits aren’t necessarily horrible as long as the player is REALLY good from his good side. Then he can be an effective part of a platoon.
But if he is weak against one particular hand of pitching, he probably shouldn’t be an everyday player, since another player can probably produce more against the first player’s weak hand of pitching.
by sharksrog on
Sep 20, 2008 3:22 AM EDT
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A's
i’ll go with vin mazzaro
he was part of that HS pick frenzy A’s went with in 2005, that was sort of disappointing going into 08. but unlike a italiano/lansford who has battled injuries. mazzaro was healthy, but with bad results. 5+ era in cal league. he was kind of off the radar, a C type prospect below the top 20 overall. but i believe it was in BP/BA mentioning mazzaro with his power sinker would do better in upper levels with an improved defense behind him.
well it happened, but i dont think anyone expected a sub 2 era in AA Texas League as a 21 yr old. his end of yr AAA stint was a mixed bag, but some starts he was being blooped alot, iffy control, etc. but apparently was hitting 95mph at times so the stuff is there. we’ll see how he adjusts but he’s back on the radar. also there was even mention of A’s offering mazzaro + other prospects for jason bay at deadline. so who knows, his breakout season may have improved his trade value. hmm…maybe for a garrett atkins?
by Asfan4ever723 on
Sep 17, 2008 2:29 PM EDT
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Mazzaro
has definitely put himself into discussion with a lot of the better pitching prospects out there this season, but my vote would go to Aaron Cunningham. He’s was probably considered the 5th or 6th best prospect the A’s got in the Haren deal at the time even with his strong numbers, but he has had his best season this year and watched his stock rise significantly I think. He started the season still only 21 years old at AA (turned 22 at the end of April) and hit .317/.386/.507 in 87 games. Got promoted to AAA and went off hitting .382/.461/.645 in 20 games. Now with the A’s he’s sitting on a line of .320/.382/.480 in 13 games. I realize its a small sample size above AA, but for a 22 year old who has been considered a future “4th OF’r” by some in the past, you cant help but be impressed.
by JPShark on
Sep 17, 2008 9:05 PM EDT
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The thing about Cunningham is that he's been good before
His performance has always run ahead of his recognition, but he was really good last season too. Mazzaro, not so much.
Hunting up my comments about Aaron Cunningham from before this season started, I ran across one of my all-time best rants.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Sep 18, 2008 2:07 AM EDT
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Haha that was amazing
Eveland rocks! Eveland rocks! Somewhere Drew Carey just smiled.
by miggyk2 on
Sep 18, 2008 8:42 PM EDT
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Bleah
Don’t break your arm patting yourself on the back. As usual, your Callis hatred has completely blinded you to what he actually wrote. Why don’t you listen to your sig? It’s his opinion, it’s nothing personal. Grow up.
I reject your reality and substitute my own.
by WayneCampbell08 on
Sep 19, 2008 2:20 AM EDT
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Without revisiting the whole topic,
“what he actually wrote” is precisely what I was going off on there. What do you think I was doing? The paragraph is right in the thread.
As for it “being personal,” I didn’t say he was a bad person (or for that matter that he thought I was a bad person), I said his opinion was idiotic. Which it was. Criticizing someone’s opinion is not a personal attack.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Sep 19, 2008 1:50 PM EDT
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I like this part of Callis' chat as well
Bo (Honlulu, HI): Future closer: Santiago Casilla or Joey Devine?
Jim Callis: (2:49 PM ET ) Neither.
And he also answers another question with, “I’m not a huge Devine fan.”
Obviously everyone swings and misses from time to time.
by DrunkIrish on
Sep 19, 2008 10:25 PM EDT
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How good has HE been this year?
Man. It’s a shame he got hurt. He has the best FIP of any pitcher in baseball with 40 IP.
I guess he’s the classic change of scenery guy— just needed to get away from Bobby Cox somehow.
Your 2008 Athletics: It's Nothing Personal.
by PaulThomas on
Sep 20, 2008 3:53 AM EDT
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