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Around SBN: Explaining Jeremy Lin's Early, Surprising Success

Kris Medlen

BA had Medlen rated as Atlanta's 24th best prospect going into this season as a reliever with a chance to fast track himself to the majors, but after converting to a starter earlier this season he looks to have found his new calling.

Star-divide

As a 22-year old in AA, he was an unspectacular 1-3, 4.70 ERA in 30.2 IP with a 30:6 K:BB ratio.  Since starting, he's 5-5, 3.23 ERA in 83.2 IP with a 82:20 K:BB ratio.  His component ratios have for the most part improved across the board since his conversion - his K/IP rate is identical, his walk rate has increased very little, homer rate has decreased, and his batting average allowed has gone down by 50 points.

In his last game on the 22nd, he went 6 innings, gave up no runs on three hits, allowed one walk and fanned 10.  This conversion might delay his calling up to the bigs by a little, but I think he's definitely increased his stock as a prospect with this season.

http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?n=Kris%20Medlen&pos=P&sid=milb&t=p_pbp&pid=450665

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Agreed.

Though I am a little resistant to calling the conversion an improvement. It’s more likely, looking at these numbers, that he was a little unlucky in just 30 innings as a reliever this year.

by parish on Aug 25, 2008 4:58 PM EDT reply actions  

True

His relief stats were nearly identical to that of his starting stats, which suggested his relief ERA was not representative of his true performance, but anytime a reliever converts to a starter (which is the more difficult transition to make) and maintains or improves his component ratios, I’d call that a pretty successful transiition.

by Grudyfan on Aug 25, 2008 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

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