I pretty much agree with you.

I remember a few years back I had dreams of Quentin, Markakis, and Kubel being my dynasty fantasy baseball outfield for years to come.

Of the three, Markakis is the only one I think is the real deal.

I expect Quentin to really be like a 20 homerun, 80 rbi, .270 type guy for his career,

But I guess if Quentin does what he is doing now, next year, I would have to reconsider.

remember, that ballpark he plays in is a homerun haven. He should be a 25-30 homer guy consistently.

this is no fluke. he looked like a complete hitter throughout college and the minor and even had an impressive 30-50 game debut in the majors. take away last year’s injury-ravaged year and he’s been a stud. i don’t know if he’ll lead the league in homer and hit 40-plus every year but i think he’ll be a .300 hitter with 30 homers and 100 rbis for many years to come. and as an earlier poster pointed out, he is in a great hiting ball park, which will help keep his numbers up.

Everything else – his walks, strikeouts, even XBH rate – is in line with what he did in the minor leagues. If anything, his BABIP is a little low which means his batting average might go up next year. In the minors, though, he never seemed like more than a 25 home run hitter – now he might hit 40. If you compare this season to his 2005 season in AAA, he’s hitting an almost identical number of extrabase hits, with the only difference that about 12 doubles have become homers. Even assuming that never happens again, that is a fluke, then this numbers would dip to a .280/380/.500, still very very good.

If you look at his home/away splits, he has 19 homers at home while only 13 on the road. The 13 homers on the road looks about like what he used to do, so it’s possible that the bump is simply a function of his new park, which means he could continue on this pace if he isn’t traded. But I’m not certain if you even need to rely on that. Carlos Quentin is now 25 years old, and it isn’t exactly unprecedented for a 22 year old who hit a lot of doubles to become a 25 year old who hits a lot of home runs. To give one example, when Alex Rodriguez was 20, he hit 36 home runs and 54 doubles. When he was 25, he hit 52 homers and 34 doubles. Players develop. Carlos Quentin might very well just be an example of that

I think Quentin is very likely to have an OBP well over .380 many times in his career. Walking and getting hit both go up for quite a few years, and he had an OBP of .069 in the minors – just considering the HBP’s!