Austin Jackson
Hello everyone, I just wanted to get the general consensus on Austin Jackson here. I think it's been a surprise to a lot of people how he's adjusted to professional pitching after a subpar start at Low A. I think most expected Austin to struggle a bit jumping to the Eastern League from High A in which he did very well, but he's just continued to hit. Coming into tonights action here are his stats.
.297/.376/.456/.832
26 Doubles, 5 Triples, 9 Homeruns
51:74 BB:K
15:5 SB/CS
He went 1-4, 2B, K tonight.
Following prospects is certainly not something that is my forte, but those are pretty outstanding numbers for any 21 year old in AA correct? Especially when you consider the 21 year old in question is "toolsy". It seems like he's coming into his own as a baseball player and leaving the dreaded "athlete" label behind him.
Is the hype being directed at him warranted?
Thank guys!
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16 comments
Comments
Action Jackson!!!!
I am a big believer in Jackson. He has the ability to change a game with his bat, glove, legs, or arm. He definitely deserves all the hype and will become a fan favorite in NY sooner rather then later.
"When a true genius appears in the world, you may know him by this sign, that the dunces are all in confederacy against him."
-Jonathan Swift
by King Billy Royal on Jul 23, 2008 10:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Jackson
I think he’s a very good prospect but he’s DEFINITELY over hyped. That being said, he seems to be maturing well.
by Lunkwill Fook on Jul 24, 2008 10:28 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Jackson
I dunno. He’s posting good but not great numbers at AA. He’s young but not EXTREMELY young for the league. He looks like a very good prospect to me. But it seems a stretch to put him in the top 10 category.
by Lunkwill Fook on Jul 24, 2008 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is it possible to overhype guys posting numbers like that with plus defense in CF at AA at age 21?
by 17843 on Jul 24, 2008 1:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Huge fan, but...
jesus he’s skinny. Not that this should limit anyone’s expectations, and more than a few guys are skinny and still perform (see: Upton, BJ), but until I saw him live for the first time last week at the AA All Star Game, I had no idea he was a toothpick. With 9 HR’s and 26 Doubles in the Eastern League, there’s some obvious pop in his bat. The BB:K rate is what excites me the most right now, given his age and relative “rawness”. Big fan.
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by ProspectTube.com on Jul 24, 2008 1:48 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Response
Yeah, he deserves a lot of hype. Very good athlete who has always shown a good eye at the plate with a track record of steady improvement. Finding 2 out of those 3 traits in a young player makes for a pretty good prospect – finding all 3 to go along with good defense in CF makes for an outstanding prospect.
by mrkupe on Jul 24, 2008 2:00 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Top 40 or Top 30
Toolsy, young, could hit the majors next year. I’m a bit skeptical about if he’ll hit his ceiling or not. I believe that he’ll be a .290/.360/.460 type player over his entire career, and he’ll have the gift of longevity to up his career numbers
My little crystal ball: .292/.359/.462, 289 HR, 387 SB, 2013 K, 3 Gold Gloves
At age 26, he’ll have some ridiculous .321/.409/.576 season with 33 HR and 41 SB.
by METSMETSMETS on Jul 24, 2008 2:04 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Response
If he’s that type of player, he’s top 10, no lower than top 15
by mrkupe on Jul 24, 2008 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I dunno
The only reason he would be Top 30 or 40 instead of Top 10 is that he’s around 2 years away from being truly serviceable to the Yankees.
by METSMETSMETS on Jul 24, 2008 2:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Response
How far away he is not nearly as important as his level of performance after getting to the majors. Yes there is something to be said about how much performance you have to project out of him from what he is at present, but a Gold Glove-winning CF with 300 HR/400 SB is a hell of a player . . .if he puts up half of those numbers over his career he’s still at least a top 25 prospect.
You’re basically giving two different stories here.
by mrkupe on Jul 24, 2008 2:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry
Looking back I should’ve been clearer:
My crystal ball is like my 70th percentile projection. My fear is that he underachieves to a tune of a career .277/.352/.438 line with 230-240 HR and 300 SB over a 14-15 year period.
by METSMETSMETS on Jul 24, 2008 10:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
2 years away?
He’ll be ready in July 2009 if he keeps hitting.
BA recently ranked him at #15, soooo
by number_twentyone on Jul 24, 2008 7:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Love Jackson's Steady Progression, Afraid He'll be Rushed to New York
Toolsy players often don’t fair particularly well when rushed to the show. I have some concerns that with the Yankees aging outfield and lack of production from Melky Cabrera, that Jackson will be in the show before 2010. He’s really starting to put it all together in AA, but needs more time. He SHOULD be the next great Yankees CF and I don’t want to see him wilt under the pressure.
Mike Newman
baseballhandyman.blogspot.com
by Baseball Handyman on Jul 24, 2008 2:53 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Adam Jones, take 2.
Only overhyped if someone is predicting perennial 30 HR power.
by elrey34 on Jul 24, 2008 7:10 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
ruben rivera or bernie williams
Both played in AA at 21. Ruben had better numbers than Jackson and flamed out. Bernie had a little better eye, less power at that age, and turned in a great, sub-hall of fame level career.
Rivera at 21 in A: .292/.402/.523 in half season, 9 homers in 256 at bats, 37/71 BB/K, 16 steals 8 caught. He then tore up AAA for about 150 at-bats.
Bernie Williams: .281/.409/.414, 39 steals and 18 caught stealing in AA at 21. Only 8 homers in 400+ at bats, and he was repeating (he’d actually reached AAA in his age 20 season).
For some reason I am reminded of Ruppert Jones. Anyway, Austin Jackson sounds like a ballplayer, but I think he is over-hyped. Top 15 in BA? They love toolsy guys, plus he has the ratios stat heads at least find decent. He obviously could be very good indeed. I guess he is one of the top position players, in a slightly weak period for hitters. I think there are 15 pitchers I’d rather take the chance with. McCutchen is same age and a level ahead. Wonder how Austin will do in AAA.
John, I think you made the comment in the prospect book that asking how good Rivera was was like asking how good looking is Teri Hatcher, is she an A or A-. That got me in trouble because once I picked up a magazine sitting on our coffee table to see what Teri Hatcher looked like. My wife thought I had a thing for Teri Hatcher and didn’t believe me when I said I was just trying to see how good Ruben Rivera was.
by wobatus on Jul 25, 2008 7:32 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I may have underrated him
there aren’t 15 pitchers I’d rather have. Price/Kershaw/Porcello/Cahill/Anderson/Bumgarner/Scherzer/Bowden/Feliz/Chacin. Maybe Hellickson, although he is struggling in AA. I kinda like James McDonald. I guess I like Jackson better. I dunno, i like pitchers.
Maybe he goes Colby Rasmus or Matt Antonelli on us in AAA.
Anyway, I guess I don’t get that gaga yet for a guy slugging .460 in AA, 21 or not. But he is supposedly a good fielder, has tools and a developing good eye and average.
by wobatus on Jul 25, 2008 7:41 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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