I’d rank Carrasco ahead of Marson

Hernandez? who do you mean by this? Diory? he’s no-where near 100.

Likewise to Hicks

I think I’d put him and also Teheran as probable. Locke is really coming on lately and his peripherals are good. Also, Schafer has to be at least as slight chance and I’d probably move Hicks to slight chance as well.

Definite: Heyward, Hanson, Schafer
Probables: Freeman, G. Hernandez
Slight Chance: Locke, Rohrbaugh, Hicks, Teheran, Flowers, Medlen (starting now, maintaining ratios)

Funny thing is, the Rangers might have as many Braves prospects in the top 100 as the Braves do. :-/

Saunders is a definite, and I think a lock for the top 50, unless he implodes.

Aumont is probably in the 70ish range, Halman is so volatile he could be anywhere from top 40 to off the list depending on his 2nd half.

Balentein is off, I bet.

Juan Ramirez and Michael Pineda are long shot possibilities, as is Triunfel.

saunders got a honorable mention on the top 25 list….....he might even be top 25 by year-end, depending how the olympics go for him

I think Beltre is a possible instead of definite. Max Ramirez may get his 120 at bats but I would bet against so he is likely a definite. Eric Hurley is also iffy to qualify for the list, if he is qualified he is at least a possible.

If the Rangers don’t have the highest number of players in the top 100 they will certainly be in the top 3.

Jackson was rated #14 by them. He’s just holding his own, but when you compare it to say McCutchen 2007, it looks good. Scouts love his tools and think he’s capable of more.

Tabata will be at least on somewhere. He’ll be back in a few weeks, so his placement will probably depend on what he can show when he returns. He was back to hitting for average after his slow start, but the power remains a question as he recovers from hamate surgery.

McAllister has unimpressive stuff? Low 90s sinker will still room to grow looks pretty good. I don’t think Jairo will make it. Betances might, he has great stuff but is having major issues finding the zone.

A couple of the hitters in Charleston may find their way on late too, as might the guys coming back from injury like Sanchez and Garcia.

just saw him pitch a week ago. Turned out to be one of his “worst” starts (walked 4 in 6 innings, struggled with his control) but he’s a big kid who has plenty of room to grow into his body, and was hitting 91 consistently throughout the game. I didn’t see the guns until the 4th or so, but people around me said they saw him hit 95 early on. He’s also pretty much making mincemeat of NY-Penn, a league of mostly older prospects, as he’s still just 19.

The knock on him is he’s just a fastball pitcher eating up less sophisticated hitters. While his secondary stuff lacked command throughout the start, he did have one just devastating curveball to strike out a batter. The promise is there, and it’ll be interesting to see what kind of attention he gets. I’m going to try and see him again soon.

Definitely someone to keep an eye on.

Weglarz a bit lower, probably 50+. I also think Huff might come in ahead of Hodges and Mills but that’s quibbling. I might get some suggestions about a lobotomy but I would not be altogether shocked to see Adam Miller around the bottom of the list. I also think Rondon is a much better darkhorse than DeLa.

I, too, think Weglarz will be a 50+ guy.

I’m wondering what Chisenhall has to do to make the list. He was one of the best hitters in the draft, but off-field issues caused him to drop… I’d think that if he hits and is a “good citizen” the rest of the summer, he has a chance.

I think he is a probable at this point. He’s been pretty underrated given his performances so far. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him around 50-60, with the potential to be higher with more solid performances.

Ivan DeJesus has to make it for me.

(Not a “The Tick” reference.)

But you sniped me… :)

I don’t think Vitters is top 50. So much will depend on the next few weeks for him… I am not sure that he’s even a lock for top 100 if he struggles too much.

I don’t think Samardzija will make it.

I do think that Ceda might make it, and could move up on the list if he blows people away.

Nice to read that someone else likes Welington. :)

I think Niese will be on the list. I’d give Carp and Niese a better shot of showing up than Murphy actually.

Agree with F-Mart (if the Mets don’t call him up)

I’d put Evans and Murphy into the “Longshots” category, and Niese into the “Possibles” category.

I honestly don’t think Havens or Kunz even has a long shot.

Lock:
Fernando Martinez – Top 50

Maybe:
Nick Evans – 80-120
Jon Niese – 80-120

Long shots:
Flores – 80 -150
Parnell – 120-180
Kunz 150-200
Murphy – 150-250
Carp – 150-250

Evans is tough to guess, as I think he is currently under rated by a lot of people. The kid is second in the Eastern League in extra base hits, but hasn’t really even learned to pull the ball yet. I think many under estimate how much upside is still there in that bat. He’s still a bit on the skinny side too. I would have him 80-100. I don’t know that BA will see it my way, but they did at least give him some notice as an HM in their mid-season prospect all-stars.

Niese is sort of where guys like Bowden and Lofgren were a year ago. Really he’s not that far behind Bowden now, but is allowing quite a few more hits. He doesn’t have quite the raw stuff of a Brett Anderson, but the overall package of stuff, age, and polish probably gets him narrowly into the top 100. He is 7th in all AA in strikeouts right now.

Flores is tough to judge just because he’s so far away, and different people will rank those types very differently. BA is sometimes aggressive with high ceiling low level guys like that, so he has a shot.

Parnell’s raw stuff is a good bit better than Niese. But he’s 2 years older and has yet to perform quite as well. The change is supposedly what he needs to work on, but he has actually been better vs. LH than RH batters this season. I think he mainly needs to continue to improve his command.

Kunz has struggled with command as well, with an ugly BB9 of 4.96 for the season so far. But he has improved steadily as the season progressed, and has been lights out in his last 10 appearances. And has only walked 1 batter over his last 8. He can be pretty dominating when he throws strikes, so if the trend continues, he has a shot. And he could get a callup to Shea before long. Right now though, he’s not top 150, and some will ignore relievers anyway.

Murphy’s best fit is probably 3B, where the Mets don’t exactly have a need. I’m intrigued though about them trying him at 2B. He’s a good polished bat, with more defensive versatility than Carp, but probably doesn’t have enough pop to break top 150 unless he shows he can play 2B. I like to compare to Blake DeWitt of the Dodgers.

Carp does have a higher ceiling than Murphy, and is 18 months younger. At times he looks like he can really be something special. But he has been frustratingly inconsistent in his power output. After a red hot April, in which he posted a .998 OPS in 101AB, he has been rather mundane. He still lines plenty of singles with his smoth LH stroke, and gets on base at a very high clip (.370+ every month), but much like last season, the power has again seemingly gone on vacation. In the end, an XBH every 14 PA (his rate for this season) isn’t going to get you into the top tier of prospects at 1B.

By the end of this month, he’ll be a 23 year old in High A. His numbers are nice, but I’m not completely sold on him until he shows more at a higher level at that age.

Morrison is definitely a lock, and could be a big surprise in how high he could possible rank…

Sort of surprised no one has responded to his inclusion. Is everyone on board the bandwagon already? You should be.

I have no doubt Kalish is in, and if so… well, Reddick is now the better prospect in many ways. He has to be on the list.

Much better than usual, but if Neil Walker hasn’t sucked his way out of the top 100, no one ever will.

I’d suggest Jamie Romak as a distant sleeper . . .

I’d move Bryan Anderson up to a lock. He is up there with Wieters as the best catcher in terms of hitting for average. He still hasn’t hit for much power though its likely the 21 year old is just trying to get hits in leagues that are filled with 23-26 year olds. I still think 10-15 HR power isn’t out of the question. Defensively he has improved but is still weak compared to other top 100 catchers. Won’t keep him out of the 75-100 range, though.

Daryl Jones is a BA favorite. They love his tools and potential and now they can love his production. His turnaround this year has been amazing however it is something BA has been calling for since he was drafted. They’ve always said he is going to take time to develop but could be a really special player when he does. Jones is one of the best athletes in all of the minors with a chance to be a 30-40 SB guy. And the power he has displayed in the FSL is somewhat remarkable for the type of player he is. I wouldn’t say he is a lock, but definitely a probable top 100 prospect.

I think you’re placing too heavy a weight on the actual statistics. Soto MAY be a top 100 guy. He isn’t going to be anywhere near the top 10.

Jim Callis has said that he considers Frazier to be the No. 1 Reds prospect, with Yonder Alonso taking over at No. 1 after he signs. I’d be very surprised if Stubbs didn’t make the list. He’s got tools galore, pedigree, and improving the walkrate while cutting down on the strikeouts. The guy’s floor is 4th-5th OF at the major league level due to his plus-plus speed and glove in CF – if he can hit at all he’s a regular, and if he hits pretty well then he’s an above-average player.

Thompson and Valaika should make solid showings. Kyle Lotzkar and Devin Mesoraco are potential placers off the top of my head as well.

I actually have seen some of these guys play in the FSL..

Todd Frazier is maybe the best athlete I’ve seen this year aside from Desmond Jennings.

Sean Henry is more of a 4th OF. He’s on the short side (shorter than his listed 5’ 10”) and isn’t really going to develop more power than he has now. So he really doesn’t have a high ceiling, though he has a very polished line drive strike now with a quick bat. You can make a case for him in the 150-200 range. I do think the Mets undervalued him, but they wouldn’t have traded him for Jeff Conine a year ago if he were that close to being a top 50 talent. He’s performing pretty much as I would have expected.

Of course it is hard to do these rankings. None of us have that much to go on besides stats. My own expertise beyond that is limited to guys who cane through one league and mostly Mets guys, because that’s the farm team I follow.

He looks bustier than Pamela Anderson at this point.

Have to be in I would think… toolsy BA favs.

Mazarro I would drop to the long shots. Lots of reasons to like him, but BA wont look past the 6.39 K/9. I would say everyone on your lists is in except for Mazzaro and Sulentic – with Sulentic having a real good chance. BA is going to love the A’s.

He has a good sinking fastball, but that’s about it as far as I know.

He must be doing something right in Midland, but that doesn’t mean that BA is going to give him any credit for it.

(Actually, the reputable prognosticators, like Andy Glockner, have started really cracking down on the term “lock” lately. But it used to be that you’d see like 40 locks in mid-February, which was ridiculous.)

has 57.2 IP with the Rockies. That would DQ him, wouldn’t it?