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Top College Pitchers in the 2008 Draft

Here's my take on the top college pitchers in the 2008 draft.

This class isn't particularly impressive and doesn't have as much depth as some past groups, but there are some reasonable options here especially for teams in the middle and later part of the first round.

Some tentative rankings:

1) Aaron Crow, RHP, University of Missouri: 10-0, 3.08 ERA with 92/24 K/BB ratio in 76 innings, 66 hits allowed. The talk of college baseball early in the season due to his long scoreless inning streak, but he's been hit around a bit lately. Still a certain lock on the Top Ten and most likely in the Top Five. Throws hard, mid-90s command is usually there, good slider and changeup, has done very well at a high level of competition and in a league (Big 12) that's good for hitting. I like him a hair better than Matusz but that may be Midwest bias talking. Some scouts have concern about Crow's arm action and delivery, but as long as he repeats his delivery consistently, I don't think his injury risk is massively higher than anyone else's.

2) Brian Matusz, LHP, University of San Diego: 9-2, 2.03 ERA with 108/20 K/BB in 79.2 innings, 68 hits allowed. Raw stats are better than Crow's now, but he pitches in a friendlier context for pitchers. Big guy, throws hard for a lefty, great command, nothing not to like here. It's very close between the two.

3) Tanner Scheppers, RHP, Fresno State University: 8-2, 2.93 ERA with 109/34 K/BB in 70.2 innings, 54 hits allowed. He's made huge progress refining his talent this year, and pitching in a context with a composite ERA well over 5.00. He still has some work to do with his command, but I think he has a shot to be an outstanding pitcher, and I've had fleeting thoughts of ranking him first overall ahead of Crow and Matusz. I like the fact that he is a great athlete with a reasonably fresh arm in particular.

4) Shooter Hunt, RHP, Tulane: 8-1, 2.04 ERA with 96/39 K/BB in 70.2 innings, 33 hits allowed. Very good K/IP and exceptionally good H/IP ratio (he's held hitters to a .138 mark) testify to the quality of his stuff, but his walk rate is too high. Lots of potential here, but a cut beneath the top three. In the mix for the Shadow Twins at 14.

5) Josh Fields, RHP, University of Georgia: 13 saves, 0.37 ERA with 44/14 K/BB in 24.1 innings, just six hits allowed. Has recovered from disappointing 2007 season and will definitely have a spot in the first round as a hard-throwing college closer. Command is still an issue, and given the mixed track record of college closers in the pros, he's not a sure thing. But his upside potential is impressive.

6) Christian Friedrich, LHP, Eastern Kentucky University: 5-1, 1.78 ERA with 86/24 K/BB in 65.2 innings, 32 hits allowed. Strong K/IP ratio, not many hits, walk rate is higher than ideal. Three-pitch lefty, not quite in Matusz quality but a legitimate first-round pick.

7) Andrew Cashner, RHP, Texas Christian University: Stock is rising rapidly. He throws hard, and has a 2.06 ERA with a 61/24 K/BB in 39.1 innings, allowing 13 hits. Excellent K/IP and H/IP ratios back up scouting reports of plus stuff. Rumors have him possibly going as high as the mid first round.

8) Ryan Perry, RHP, University of Arizona: 3.75 ERA with 57/13 K/BB in 57.2 innings, 52 hits allowed. Still getting late first round consideration due to quality of his stuff, though performance track record has been mixed and he struggled when used as a starter earlier in the season. Can hit 98 MPH when he's going good, and that kind of velocity will get him into the first round, though exactly where is unclear.

9) Zach Putnam, RHP-1B, University of Michigan: 6-0, 2.72 with 60/17 K/BB in 59.2 innings, 47 hits allowed. Also hitting .321/.394/.536 on the season. Being a two-way player is both a good thing and a bad thing. As a pitcher, throws a heavy fastball and has solid control. I could see him as an impressive ground ball-getting reliever or an inning-eating starter. Has a slider, splitter and curve to go with the sinker. Could go in the late first or supplemental round.

10) Tim Murphy, LHP, UCLA: 3.64 ERA with 87/31 K/BB in 76.2 innings, 67 hits allowed. Stock has been up and down this spring, and command is a problem, but you have to like the K/IP ratio and he has good stuff for a lefty. Probably a supplemental pick.

11) Tyson Ross, RHP, University of California: 7-2, 4.47 ERA with 51/24 K/BB in 56.1 innings, 56 hits allowed. He's winning games but command has been an issue for him and his component marks aren't outstanding. Big guy at 6-6, but delivery looks funny (stiff and upright) and that hurts his stock a bit. Can hit 95 MPH.

12) Bryce Stowell, RHP, UC Irvine: 6-2, 2.12 with 73/27 K/BB in 68 innings, 56 hits allowed. 88-92 range with projection to get above that in time, athletic, projectable, some command issues. Sophomore-eligible, status will probably depend on bonus demands.

If I'm looking for a college pitcher at 14 for the Shadow Twins, favorite candidates would be Hunt, Fields or Friedrich. Putnam would be interesting at 27 or 31.  

 

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My list was similar

I like Matusz more then Crow, Fields and Cashner are a little lower and I don’t think I had Putnam or Stowell in the top 12 but it’s basically the same players in different order.

by jfish26101 on May 8, 2008 6:07 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

shadow draft

in the real draft i think hunt and friedrich will be two of the top candidates on the cardinals’ board at 13. that could mean that neither of them make it to 14.

by fewgoodcards on May 8, 2008 6:27 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Personally

I seperate the tiers into

Crow/Matusz
(big gap)
Scheppers/Fields/Hunt/Friedrich/
(gap)
Perry/Murphy/Ross/ect

I think Scheppers is a very good pitcher but I don’t quite see him as mega-elite like Crow or Matsuz.

i don’t know enough about Cashner

by nms on May 8, 2008 6:51 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Crow

What are the thoughts on Crow’s recent slide? He’s been knocked around the past few starts, and I’m not sure what to make of it. Is this simply fatigue or are hitters figuring him out? Any reports on a decline in velocity?

Right now I like Matusz more, but I wouldn’t be surprised if MLB teams were split almost 50/50 on these two.

Founder of the Rowdy Hardy Fan Club

by eazyb81 on May 8, 2008 7:08 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Hes just running into some big-hitting Big 12 offenses

2 of his 3 bad starts came against Texas and Texas A/M – two teams that have no problem mashing any pitcher when they are on. K-State has a solid offense but is still a team he should have done better against.
On the other hand he shutout an Oklahoma State team that is loooaded with nasty bats.
He also shutout a good, but underachieving Baylor and shutout Texas Tech ON THE ROAD. Tex Tech is bad this year but thats because of their pitching. Their O can still hit. Plus shutting out Tex Tech in Lubbock is especially impressive because of how difficult it is to pitch there

I think hes still as good as ever

Plus the Texas game had some insane midwestern winds going on (over 40 runs scored total in that game). Actually Missouris whole talented pitching staff has been kind of choking in general recently.. I wonder if maybe the winds on the plains have kicked up in general this time of year or if the whole staff is just slumping

I lean a little towards Crow over Matsuz mostly because – in prospects – I like the guys with power arms more than polish but like you said it is pretty close and it isn’t like Crow LACKS polish or Matusz LACKS a great arm. Both have plenty of each but I, personally, like the little extra fire in Crows arm.

by nms on May 8, 2008 7:32 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Cole St. Clair

Haven’t heard much lately about St. Clair. It seems as if his draft stock is really dropping. Anybody know anything about him?

The one constant through all the years, Ray, has been baseball. It reminds us of all that once was good, and that could be again.

by Savoy on May 8, 2008 11:57 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

keep in mind about murphy

he was drafted out of HS as an outfielder. not much pitching experience behind him. he strikes guys out a lot and when his curve is falling for strikes he is almost unhittable. i like him at that 10 spot. throwing low 90s from the left side is nice, although his velo has been down in the mid to high 80s his last few outings. he will be a nice pitcher.

by PhillyBruin on May 9, 2008 12:36 AM EDT reply reply   0 recs

murphy

did anyone watch his start on espn2 earlier this year? he wasn’t facing much competition, but he was nasty. he struck out something like 7 in a row, and his curve was dropping off the table.

by fewgoodcards on May 9, 2008 10:47 AM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

I didn't know his velo dropped

recently but I like what I have heard about him. I like live armed, athletic pitchers and the left hand just makes him a little more useful

by nms on May 9, 2008 2:47 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

Tim Kiely, P, Trinity

This guy will be worth a selection. Plays for the only undefeated team in the nation. 36-0!

A division lll school, located in Hartford, CT.

9-0, 1.41 ERA

88-89 MPH Fastball, but here’s one of the most unbelievable stat lines you’ll ever see. One walk in 70 innings pitched. One walk!

He has three solid pitches too!

by batonball on May 11, 2008 12:42 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

Putnam

Is it a near-certainty that he’ll be drafted as a RHP, or might he go as a 3B?

I remember when he came out of HS there was considerable disagreement about position.

by ian on May 11, 2008 3:45 PM EDT reply reply   0 recs

putnam

From what I have heard most people prefer him on the mound, but who knows?

by John Sickels on May 11, 2008 4:40 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs

well

if he does go as a hitter it would almost certainly be LF/RF and not 3b.

Id say there is almost no chance he gets drafted to hit

by nms on May 12, 2008 5:49 PM EDT to parent up reply reply   0 recs


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