2008 Top 50 Pitching Prospects Status Report
Status report on the 2008 Top 50 Pitching Prospects. Remember, this is the PRE-SEASON List.
1) Clay Buchholz, RHP, Boston Red Sox: 2-3, 5.53 in the majors, but with 43 strikeouts in 42 innings. Currently on Triple-A rehab assignment for torn fingernail. He'll be fine in the long run.
2) Joba Chamberlain, RHP, New York Yankees: 2.42 ERA in the Yankees bullpen, could still convert to starter.
3) Clayton Kershaw, LHP, Los Angeles Dodgers: 2.28 ERA in Double-A, looked great in his first major league start this weekend.
4) David Price, LHP, Tampa Bay Rays: Just activated after some arm trouble this spring, looked great in his first Class A start.
5) Jacob McGee, LHP, Tampa Bay Rays: 3.59 ERA with 51/23 K/BB in 53 innings in Double-A. Command has been an issue.
6) Franklin Morales, LHP, Colorado Rockies: Has completely lost his command, mechanics fell apart in the majors, getting crushed in Triple-A too.
7) Johnny Cueto, RHP, Cincinnati Reds: 5.56 ERA for the Reds, was brilliant early, excellent K/BB ratio but giving up a lot of homers.
8) Homer Bailey, RHP, Cincinnati Reds: 4.30 ERA with 50/25 K/BB in 61 innings in Triple-A. Wobbling lately after a fast start.
9) Wade Davis, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays: 3.39 ERA with 43/24 K/BBin 58 innings in Double-A. Like McGee, command hasn't quite been there.
10) Ian Kennedy, RHP, New York Yankees: 7.27 ERA in the majors, then pitched 8.1 shutout innings in Triple-A. Will get more chances, command was unusually shaky in major league trial.
11) Gio Gonzalez, LHP, Oakland Athletics: 5.92 ERA with 44/26 K/BB in 49 innings in Triple-A. Gave up 10 runs in his last start, distorting numbers a bit, but he hasn't been that sharp overall.
12) Eric Hurley, RHP, Texas Rangers: 5.93 ERA with 57/22 K/BB in 55 innings in Triple-A, 66 hits. I overrated him at this spot, velocity has dropped, homer tendencies worrisome.
13) James McDonald, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers: 4.20 ERA with 49/15 K/BB in 49 innings in Double-A. Doing OK.
14) Manny Parra, LHP, Milwaukee Brewers: Command issues have resulted in 5.11 ERA in 10 starts for Brewers. Still like him long-term.
15) Fautino De Los Santos, RHP, Oakland Athletics: Sore elbow, might need Tommy John.
16) Chris Tillman, RHP, Baltimore Orioles: 6-0, 2.59 with 44/24 K/BB in 49 innings in Double-A. Stock continues to rise.
17) Rick Porcello, RHP, Detroit Tigers: 2.25 ERA with 31/14 K/BB in 52 innings in the Florida State League. Low strikeout rate, but getting tons of grounders and young for level.
18) Jarrod Parker, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks: 2.45 ERA with 30/9 K/BB in 37 innings for Class A South Bend. Doing very well.
19) Jeremy Hellickson, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays: 2.22 ERA with 64/4 K/BB in 57 innings in FSL. Stock rising rapidly.
20) Nick Adenhart, RHP, Los Angeles Angels: Pretty 2.61 ERA in Triple-A but with poor 24/22 K/BB. Command has hurt him in majors, 4/13 K/BB in 12 innings.
21) Max Scherzer, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks: 1.96 ERA with 28/8 K/BB in 23 innings since being promoted to the majors. Looks excellent.
22) Aaron Poreda, LHP, Chicago White Sox: 2.77 ERA with 38/14 K/BB in 55 innings in the Carolina League. Doing well, low K/IP ratio of some concern.
23) Deolis Guerra, RHP, Minnesota Twins: 4.56 ERA with 29/21 K/BB in 49 innings in the FSL. Very erratic, velocity as low as 85 MPH at times. But very young still.
24) Ross Detwiler, LHP, Washington Nationals: 4.17 ERA with 50/24 K/BB in 45 innings in Carolina League. Good strikeout rate, getting grounders.
25) Tyler Robertson, LHP, Minnesota Twins: 3.04 ERA with 53/21 K/BB in 56 innings in FSL. Not bad at all.
26) Brett Anderson, LHP, Oakland Athletics: 5.68 ERA with 45/14 K/BB in 44 innings, 49 hits. Great K/BB ratio, components support a lower ERA.
27) Casey Weathers, RHP, Colorado Rockies: 2.21 ERA with 22/11 K/BB in 20 innings in Double-A. Ground ball machine with high strikeout rate.
28) Matt Harrison, LHP, Texas Rangers: 3.15 ERA with 28/14 K/BB in 40 innings in Double-A. Doing OK but components aren't terrific.
29) Brett Cecil, LHP, Toronto Blue Jays: 4.63 ERA with 23/10 K/BB in 23 innings in Double-A. Transition to rotation going OK.
30) Troy Patton, LHP, Baltimore Orioles: Torn labrum, out for the year
31) Tommy Hanson, RHP, Atlanta Braves: 0.90 ERA in A-ball, but 7.71 ERA with 14/9 K/BB in 14 innings, 16 hits in Double-A. Needs to adjust.
32) Kevin Mulvey, RHP, Minnesota Twins: 4.10 ERA with 41/22 K/BB in 48 innings in Triple-A, 57 hits allowed. Eating innings but not spectacular.
33) Adam Miller, RHP, Cleveland Indians: 1.88 ERA with 20/12 K/BB in 29 innings in Triple-A. As always, he's effective when healthy but can he stay healthy?
34) Radhames Liz, RHP, Baltimore Orioles: 4.12 ERA with 57/25 K/BB in 59 innings in Triple-A. Great stuff, command still shaky.
35) Jon Meloan, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers: 4.14 ERA with 47/27 K/BB in 50 innings in Triple-A. Conversion from relief is goign well, and he's surviving Vegas.
36) Alan Horne, RHP, New York Yankees: Extended spring training, rehabbing sore biceps.
37) Gaby Hernandez, RHP, Florida Marlins: 5.79 ERA with 29/7 K/BB in 33 innings in Triple-A. Showing good command at least.
38) Trevor Cahill, RHP, Oakland Athletics: 2.82 ERA with 77/18 K/BB in 61 innings, just 37 hits allowed in the Cal League. Stock rising rapidly.
39) Henry Sosa, RHP, San Francisco Giants: knee injury, just came off the DL a couple of days ago and pitched well in first outing for San Jose in the Cal League.
40) Justin Masterson, RHP, Boston Red Sox: 4.23 ERA with 37/16 K/BB in Double-A, has doen well in first two major league starts.
41) Sean Gallagher, RHP, Chicago Cubs: 3.10 ERA in Triple-A with 30/9 K/BB in 29 innings. 1-1, 5.68 in five major league starts with 14/8 K/BB in 19 innings, 22 hits. Still like him.
42) Chuck Lofgren, LHP, Cleveland Indians: Significant control problems in Double-A, has walked 29 in 42 innings with 5.62 ERA. Was overrated in this spot.
43) Jordan Walden, RHP, Los Angeles Angels: 2.56 ERA with 41/15 K/BB in 53 innings in the Midwest League. Performing well, stock rising.
44) Luke Hochevar, RHP, Kansas City Royals: 3-4, 4.54 with 30/24 K/BB in 42 major league innings. Needs better command, getting grounders though.
45) Eduardo Morlan, RHP, Tampa Bay Rays: Out of action with sore shoulder.
46) Matt Latos, RHP, San Diego Padres: 3.42 ERA with 20/7 K/BB in 24 innings in the Midwest League before going on the DL with an intercostal muscle strain.
47) Will Inman, RHP, San Diego Padres: Continues to defy scouts with 2.96 ERA and 56/23 K/BB in 52 innings in the Double-A Texas League, just 42 hits allowed.
48) Henry Alberto Rodriguez, RHP, Oakland Athletics: 8.89 ERA with horrible 29/30 K/BB in 26 innings since being promoted to Double-A. Obviously has some major command issues.
49) Kasey Kiker, LHP, Texas Rangers: 4.83 ERA with 34/8 K/BB in 41 innings in the Cal League, 43 hits allowed. Considering his age and competition he is doing OK.
50) Michael Bowden, RHP, Boston Red Sox: 2.47 ERA with 53/14 K/BB in 55 innings in Double-A. Stock rising.
Pitching lists are always problematic. Aside from some guys that I cringe at having overrated (Hurley, Lofgren) I don't think it is too bad.
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39 comments
Comments
How was Volstad not in a Top 50 pitchers list?
by bucklin12 on
May 28, 2008 9:55 AM EDT
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volstad
I gave him a Grade B in the book so he could have been on the list easily, but I’ve always felt he’s been a tad overrated. I’d put him on now….remember this was the pre-season list.
by John Sickels on
May 28, 2008 10:43 AM EDT
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I don't blame Sickels
Volquez had a minor league career ERA of 3.74 and walked more than his share of batters before 2007. He struggled at A ball – was really roughed up! 0-4 7.13 ERA somehow he was promoted and then was 8-1 with a 3.52 ERA at AA and then was virtually unhittable for an 8 start stint at AAA – 6-1 1.41. Certainly a mixed bag.
Former #1 overall pick Josh Hamilton was traded from the Cinicinnati Reds to the Texas Rangers for pitchers Edinson Volquez and Danny Herrera. This is what we should be talking about! A young MVP for a young Cy Young hopeful. What a great trade for both clubs.
by batonball on
May 28, 2008 12:32 PM EDT
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what does
Volquez have to do with Volstad? Also, Volquez wasn’t a prospect entering the season, or else I’m sure he would have been on this top 50 list considering he was quite good last season.
by bigboy1234 on
May 28, 2008 3:55 PM EDT
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not giving enough credit
they both start with Vol
by DenverBears on
May 28, 2008 6:16 PM EDT
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Next year's list
will feature Neftali Feliz prominently.
...and curse Sir Walter Raleigh, he was such a stupid git.
by t ball on
May 28, 2008 10:15 AM EDT
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Aumont
I´m having a hard time wrapping my mind around Porcello and Parker back to back in the top 20 and Philippe Aumont excluded entirely from the list. Oversight, or is there something you didn´t like about him?
by slamcactus on
May 28, 2008 11:32 AM EDT
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aumont
Kinda raw for me, when I made the list anyway.
by John Sickels on
May 28, 2008 1:00 PM EDT
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everyone thought
he was raw at the time..not your fault..i think he has supirsed some people.
by jsmall404 on
May 28, 2008 3:41 PM EDT
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Tyler Robertson
I don’t know what you see in Tyler Robertson! Is it because he’s left-handed and 6”5”??
by orioole26 on
May 28, 2008 11:40 AM EDT
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Robertson
Maybe I’m missing sarcasm, but I do like Robertson. His Peripherals are decent, and as you point out he’s a left-handed 6-5 pitcher. Time will tell how he develops.
Support the Leukemia & Lymphoma Society by supporting my endurance training through Team In Training! http://www.active.com/donate/tntmn/tntmnDBimber
by dbimberg on
May 28, 2008 12:13 PM EDT
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Jon Meloan
So he is being converted to a starter. I have to say I did not see that coming. The guy looks like a bull coming out of the pen.
by themurph on
May 28, 2008 11:45 AM EDT
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Franklin Morales
I really thought this kid was the real deal.
What happened? He’s starting to remind me a little bit of Ankiel, although I doubt he can hit like him. But as far as walking batters they are neck and neck.
by batonball on
May 28, 2008 12:21 PM EDT
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He's probably one of the better bets to hit like Ankiel
Although Ankiel himself was an extreme longshot to find success this way. Most teams were looking at Morales as a power hitting outfielder, the Rockies got him because they let him be a pitcher instead.
by Rox Girl on
May 28, 2008 2:01 PM EDT
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Nick Blackburn
any thoughts?
Go Pirates!!!
by cool hand Charlie on
May 28, 2008 12:26 PM EDT
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blackburn
I have to admit that I have never had a great feel for blackburn. He was a Grade C prospect a year ago, just a guy with an OK arm and a mixed track record. Suddenly he takes off last year. I’ll probably do a piece on him soon.
by John Sickels on
May 28, 2008 1:01 PM EDT
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sweet!
I’m a fan of Blackburn, so I look forward to reading that. Thanks John.
Go Pirates!!!
by cool hand Charlie on
May 28, 2008 3:33 PM EDT
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Jake Arrieta
Has he pushed his way onto this list for next year?
by dkdc on
May 28, 2008 1:08 PM EDT
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Hurley
Hurley spent his first 7 starts attempting to refine his change up as a useful pitch. Needless to say, thats been completely scrapped and Hurley is now using a spliter to go with his fasball and slider.
He his last four starts:
May 9th – 7IP 5H 2ER 1BB 8K’s (9/4 GB:FB)
May 16th – 5IP 5H 5ER 2BB 2K’s (3/10 GB:FB)
May 22nd – 7IP 6H 0ER 3BB 5K’s (9/5 GB:FB)
May 27th – 6IP 7H 1ER 2BB 4K’s (12/2 GB:FB)
ERA – 2.88 WHIP – 1,24
After the first four games of the season – ERA – 5.94. His HR totals are still worrisome, but its looking like the dumping of the change and refinement to his mechanics have looked to have put Hurley back on track.
(thanks RBiA15)
by laxtonto on
May 28, 2008 1:53 PM EDT
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What about Jaime Garcia, Carlos Carrasco, Madison Bumgarner, Aaron Laffey, Jon Niese, Neftali Feliz, and Collin Balester, all of whom made my personal top 50 pitching list last year.
by sully10x on
May 28, 2008 3:26 PM EDT
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the usual gallagher comment
partly because he is arguably one of the few bright spots for the cubs prospects this year …
That said, I thought he was underrated by the blogosphere entering the year. Outside of 1 bad inning in AAA, he was real good. As a starter in the bigs this year, he’s been fine for a kid, with a 1.36 WHIP with 16 K’s in 22 innings and only 1 homer. He’s flashed his nasty curve at times, to go with a low 90’s 2 seamer, while mixing in a mid-90’s 4 seamer and a decent slider. The slider has been a bit spotty from what I’ve seen.
Now, I’m not expecting greatness from him this year. In fact, I’m certain he’ll get banged around a bit, like he did in his road start. But I thought he was a quality talent last year, and I think he’s taken a step forward this year. He’s slimmer as well, which probably has helped. People read way too much into his pen performance last year, and a lot of Cubs fans overreacted after this road start in Houston. I am perfectly fine with our 4/5 options on the roster (would love to dump Marquis, and give Hill/Marshall/Hart/Lieber the other spot). I think he still could develop into a 2/3 type starter in time.
by toonsterwu on
May 28, 2008 3:31 PM EDT
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ian kennedy
should never have been that high, said it at the time.
how is a guy who has 4th and 5th SP stuff get in the top 10? I know he was closer to the majors at that point.
by jsmall404 on
May 28, 2008 3:42 PM EDT
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+1
agreed … Kennedy was way overhyped. He’s a middle of the rotation starter at best, IMO.
by toonsterwu on
May 28, 2008 7:28 PM EDT
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Brett Anderson's high ERA is due to a couple really bad starts
after which he went on the DL for some sort of hand (thumb?) injury.
by Zonis on
May 28, 2008 3:49 PM EDT
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Rohrbough?
John, will Cole find his way onto the list next year?
by montenegro on
May 28, 2008 5:45 PM EDT
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Adam Miller
33) Adam Miller, RHP, Cleveland Indians: 1.88 ERA with 20/12 K/BB in 29 innings in Triple-A. As always, he’s effective when healthy but can he stay healthy?
In a word, no.
Rotoworld:
Triple-A Buffalo’s Adam Miller underwent surgery on the middle finger of his right hand to reattach the flexor tendon to the bone and won’t be able to throw for two months.
That pretty much ends his season. Maybe he could make it back in late August, but the minor league season concludes in early September. It’s another major disappointment for a right-hander with one of the highest ceilings in the minors.
Source: Cleveland Plain Dealer
by AucklandGM on
May 28, 2008 7:45 PM EDT
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adam miller is very unlucky
he’s a top 5 talent when healthy. he should have had this done last year. other than a big time black cloud hanging over his head he’s definitely worth of any top 50 list. give me a break.
I heard Tim Lincecum will win 1 Cy Young & 11 Tim Lincecums. Question is, how many Cole Hamels will he win?
by the pinstripes on
May 29, 2008 12:44 PM EDT
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Fautino de los Santos had Tommy John surgery.
He's extremely quick and good.
by battlekow on
May 29, 2008 11:52 AM EDT
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Gallagher Vs. Morrow
Who would you rather have long term
by bingbing on
May 29, 2008 8:23 PM EDT
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Gallagher
Better success so far, better track record.
I think Morrow can eventaully be a dominant closer while Gallagher as at best a #2 starter… Take the starterover reliver every time
by laxtonto on
May 29, 2008 10:44 PM EDT
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Gallagher vs morrow
I was thinking the same but i know they have thought about converting morrow to a sp with his 99 mph fb, seattle also has rowland smith who can Step in after putz
by bingbing on
May 29, 2008 10:55 PM EDT
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I'm glad
my Cubbies aren’t in the AL East. The Rays are set for the next 10 years with their pitching. I mean 4 in your top 20 and 3 in your top ten! Hellickson is going to be in the top ten next year. I can feel it.
I am like your Dan Aykroyd and biglow would be Jane, the ignorant slut. -Chad
by thecoolest on
May 29, 2008 10:49 PM EDT
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Which Pitcher
Made a recent post but figured id make it a little more interesting. If you had the choice who would you take, and who has the best chance of becoming a legitimate ace or 2 starter in the future?
How would you rank them?
Sean Gallagher- Cubs
Garrett Olson- Baltimore
Brandon Morrow- Seattle
Ross Detwiler- Nats
Aaron Laffey- Indains
Ian Kennedy- Yanks
Radhames Liz- Baltimore
Manny Parra- brewers
by bingbing on
May 29, 2008 11:09 PM EDT
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No Alderson or Bumgarner?
Bumgarner is dominating the Sally as a teenager. Alderson doing nearly as well in High A the same age. Both seem extremely polished for being in high school last year.
by mxmob33 on
Jun 1, 2008 3:11 PM EDT
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