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High School Hitters of Interest for the 2008 Draft

Here is my take on the top high school hitters of the 2008 draft. Note: I haven't seen these guys in person, so am relying on scouting reports, video, and intuition. High school stats are even more meaningless than college stats, so there isn't much that can be done with objective analysis.

I'm not overly impressed with high school hitting depth this year, though there are some interesting raw tools outfielders about. As I see it, the Elite Three are Beckham, Skipworth, and Hosmer, with the other guys a cut below.

1) Tim Beckham, SS, Georgia HS: Still rated as the best overall position player in the draft according to everything I've heard or read. Excellent tools, will be able to remain at shortstop, main question is present power but has plenty of projection, more polish than the other guys except perhaps Skipworth. 6-1, 180, righthanded hitter.

2) Kyle Skipworth, C, California HS: Best high school catcher since Joe Mauer, features power from the left side, strong arm, still needs to add some polish to his defense but he will remain at catcher and be a good one. I like him better than anyone else except Beckham, given that catchers who can both hit and field are hard to find. Won't make it out of the Top Ten on draft day and possibly not the Top Five. 6-3, 190, lefty hitter. My intuition loves him.

3) Eric Hosmer, 1B, Florida HS: Complete hitting package, features power and plate discipline, good glove at first base, should advance rapidly up the ladder. Main negative is Scott Boras, rumored to be asking for a $7 million package and a major league contract. I don't think I would give that to a high school first baseman unless his name was Lou Gehrig. 6-3, 210, lefty hitter.

4) Aaron Hicks, OF-RHP, California HS: Probably the best of the toolsy outfielders, speed, power, very strong arm, great range, etc. Has a measure of polish but not enough to make him a sure thing just yet, might have trouble with the strike zone or batting average if he has "long swing" problems. Would fit well in mid-first round and under consideration for my Shadow Twins at 14. 6-2, 175, switch-hitter. Has been really good as a pitcher lately.

5) Isaac Galloway, OF, California HS: Better-known than Collier pre-season, scouts have been following him for years, which in some ways may actually hurt him: he's not the shiny new toy that draws attention. Another power/speed player, a bit more polish than Hicks but not quite as athletic or projectable. Mid-to-late first round. 6-2, 190, righthanded hitter.

6) Casey Kelly, SS, Florida HS: Another toolsy guy, strong arm, should be able to remain at shortstop, athletic, major league bloodlines. Two big questions pre-season: would his bat hold up, and University of Tennessee football scholarship. He has had a good spring and most scouts think he'll hit, but the quarterback option remains in play and bonus demands are unclear. Could go anywhere from 12 to 30 at this point. 6-4, 190, hits right.

7) Zach Collier, OF, California HS: Another tools outfielder, excellent tools but has less experience than Hicks or Galloway and less polish. Stock has been rising as scouts want to see a guy who was not well-known before the last few months. 6-2, 185, hits left.

8) Robbie Grossman, OF, Texas HS: Another tools outfielder but hasn't received as much attention this spring as the California guys. Switch-hitter, with above average speed and power. 6-1, 195 pounds. I think he could end up being something of an overlooked bargain.

9) Zach Cox, 3B, Kentucky HS: Pure hitter from the left side, not as toolsy as the others and some question about how much power he will develop, but very polished. Should be able to remain at third base due to strong arm and adequate range.  Second round possiblity? 6-0, 205.

10) Cutter Dykstra, INF, California HS: Gets attention for being Lenny's son, athletic, relatively polished, grew up around the game. Undersized which will keep him out of the first round, but I bet someone pops him in the second. If his name was "Fred Jones" I doubt he'd get as much attention. 6-0, 185, right-handed hitter.

Two-way guys Ethan Martin and Andrew Gose will be in the pitching report.

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would name his son something like “Cutter”

Amaury translates into "Punisher of Spheroids" in the lost tongue of Atlantis. Marti means "Belgian Waffle."

by erik on May 13, 2008 1:51 PM EDT   0 recs

Gose said he wanted to play OF if he got drafted, period. Maybe he should have been included as a hitter rather than a pitcher even though I heard he has great stuff.

by zeisenbe on May 13, 2008 2:04 PM EDT   0 recs

gose

Could go either way. What I’ve heard is more positive about his pitching, but we’ll have to see how it plays out

by John Sickels on May 13, 2008 3:22 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

seen him

even he himself says juan pierre is his hero and models his game after him. even if he reaches that projection, his projection is much, much, more as a pitcher. he is lefty, throws 97mph and has a nasty hook. roll the dice on the lefty arm pumping 97 at age 18 than a pierre clone

by ScottAZ on May 13, 2008 3:38 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Martin/Gose...Hicks?

John,
You mention Martin and Gose as two way guys who will be profiled in the pitcher’s report, but Hicks comes up as a hitter. Do you feel that his future is as a position player and not a pitcher while Martin and Gose have more likelihood of being moundsmen?

Either way, care to explain?
Thanks

by ofsticksandbats on May 13, 2008 2:24 PM EDT   0 recs

yeah

yeah, something like that…although Hicks has been great as a pitcher lately.

by John Sickels on May 13, 2008 3:23 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Hicks

I would force him to pitch. He is regarded as either the best or 2nd best pitcher behind martin in the class. Power arms are too much of a premium to pass on that

by ScottAZ on May 13, 2008 3:42 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I was thinking that for awhile but

Callis made the point that he has the best all-around toolset among OFs, and a 5-tool OF is rarer than a power HS arm (esp in this draft). I don’t like picking guys early who have bat Qs but in the mid first round it would be nice to get a could-be Torii Hunter

There are a few other guys comparable to Hicks around the same spot in terms of pitching potential and power arms but no other OFs have his all-around impact OF tools

by nms on May 13, 2008 4:01 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

re

5 tool OFers are a premium, but I’m in the state of mind that if I have to spend a #14 pick and $2million, I want a sure thing. Pitching, unless the kid completely blows out his arm, he is relatively a safe pick. In the OF, you are taking a big gamble for a CJ henry, Greg Golson, or (insert your pick in the long list of recent HS OF tool busts). I know they always say he can try OF and then switch to pitcher down the road, but how often does that work out? Look at Matt Bush, he will be lucky to make it to the show as a stop gap reliever at this point, but if the Pads had him pitch immediately there is no telling what he could have been. Even to tools OFers that do make good on the switch, usually don’t ammount to much (Marcus McBeth).

If I was a GM throwing around all this cash, I would want the closest thing to a guarentee for my money in the first five rounds. There are plenty of premium tools athletes that you can gamble on later in the draft such as Chris Young, Dominick Brown, Desmond Jennings types

by ScottAZ on May 14, 2008 10:42 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Xavier Avery

Is it the football scholarship or his raw skills that keep him name off your list. Baseball America seems to dig him, as he was named to the 1st team.

by batonball on May 13, 2008 2:45 PM EDT   0 recs

bat

Bat is considered raw last I hear, rawer than the other OFs.

by John Sickels on May 13, 2008 3:23 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Prediction

The Twins will draft Kelly. He’s a paradigm kind of kid for them.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on May 13, 2008 3:29 PM EDT   0 recs

Whyso?

Kelly looks like a pricey sign, something the Twins (last year at least) desperately avoided

by nms on May 13, 2008 3:58 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Twins have cash this year

They’re $17 million under budget going into the draft this year, compared with being $3 million over budget last year.

They also have three picks in the first 31 selections, so I expect them to take Kelly with either their second first rounder or their sandwich pick. He’s a lot like Plouffe or Paul Kelly.

"You're thinking too much. Just have fun." -- Bennie "The Jet" Rodriguez in Sandlot

by cmathewson on May 13, 2008 7:19 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Kelly is also a pitcher/SS

The big thing is that Kelly says if he is drafted as a RHP he will go to college.
BA, for what its worth, says he is a mid-late first rounder as a pitcher but ‘only” a late first to supplemental rounder as a SS

by nms on May 13, 2008 3:57 PM EDT   0 recs

Dystra

reminds me a little of Gary brown, now at Cal St Fullerton

by ScottAZ on May 13, 2008 4:01 PM EDT   0 recs

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