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Scouting Report: Chad Billingsley, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers

Billingsley_medium

via baseballmastermind.com


I’ve always been very interested in Major League scouting. I’m not a scout myself, but I thought I’d take a stab at learning the art this season. So for the rest of the season, I’m going to cover some hitters and pitchers who I feel are primed for big seasons and cover what they do well and what they might need some work on as well as cover their careers leading up to this season a bit. If anyone is more familiar with scouting than I, I would appreciate any suggestions or feedback.

 

Today, I will scout Los Angeles Dodgers right hander Chad Billingsley on Baseball Mastermind.

Profile:

Chad Billingsley: RHP, listed as 6′1″ 245 lbs on MLB.com.

Background:

Chad Ryan Billingsley was drafted by the Los Angeles Dodgers in the 1st round (24th overall) in the 2003 amateur draft under scouting director Logan White out of Defiance High School, Ohio. In his senior year with Defiance, Billingsley pitched 56 innings with a 1.49 ERA striking out 113 batters and walking only 16, going 6-1. He was signed by Marty Lamb, withing the Dodger’s organization.

He also went 3-0 with a 2.45 ERA for Team USA in the 2002 IFBA World Junior Championships in Sherbrooke, Canada. Team USA wound up finishing with the bronze medal that year.

In Billingsley’s pro debut in rookie ball, he pitched 54 innings with a 2.83 ERA, striking out 62 and walking 16 with a 5-4 record as an 18 year old in 2003. In 2004, Billingsley split time between advanced A ball and AA, finishing with 134 innings with a 2.55 ERA, striking out 158 and walking 71, finishing with a 11-4 record. In 2005, Billingsley was Baseball America’s #19 prospect and the #2 prospect within the Dodgers organization behind Joel Guzman, the #5 prospect. He repeated AA and finished with 146 innings with a 3.51 ERA, striking out 162 and walking 50 with a 13-6 record. In 2006, Billingsley was Baseball America’s #7 prospect and pitched 70.2 innings for AAA Las Vegas with a 3.95 ERA, striking out 78 and walking 32 with a 6-3 record. Billingsley was then promoted to the Dodgers where he began in the bullpen, but by the end of the season, was a member of the Dodgers’ rotation, finishing with 90 innings with a 3.80 ERA, striking out 59 and walking 58. In 2007, Billingsley started the season in the bullpen again, to keep his innings totals down, and finished the season pitching 147 innings with a 3.31 ERA, striking out 141 and walking 64 with 12-5 record. Coming into the 2008 season, Billingsley, 23, is the best pitcher in the Dodgers organization including Clayton Kershaw and looks poised for a breakout season.

Scouting Report:

Delivery: Chad Billingsley has a deliberate wind-up, with a high leg-kick. He generates a lot of velocity from his leg-drive and from torquing his hips, which comes from his heavy-set build and excellent core strength. He throws from a three-quarters arm-slot, which allows him to get late life and tailing action on his fastball. From the stretch, he sets with his hands at chest level and has a less-dramatic leg kick.

Repertoire: Chad Billingsley throws a fastball that sits 92-94 mph that can touch 95 and a a cut-fastball that sits 86-88 mph that works for inducing ground balls. He also throws a curve ball that has a looping, downward break (2-7 action) that usually comes in around 77-79 mph and a slider that sits around 82-84 mph with a tight break. He also mixes in a change up but throws that pitch in far less than the other three pitches.

Demeanor: Billingsley has great mound presence, which he is noted for. Tommy Lasorta has dubbed Billingsley this generation’s "Bulldog," named after Orel Hershiser. Billingsley attacks hitters with his fastball on both the inner and outer-half of the strike zone and can throw his curve ball in just about any count.

Again, this is my first attempt at writing a scouting report, if anyone can offer any pointers of corrections, I’d appreciate the feedback.

Poll
What do you think Chad Billingsley's 2008 ERA will be, provided he stays healthy?
2.76-3.00
2 votes
3.00-3.25
8 votes
3.26-3.50
44 votes
3.50-3.75
35 votes
3.76-4.00
21 votes
4.00-4.25
3 votes
4.26-4.50
1 votes
4.50+
3 votes

117 votes | Poll has closed

2 recs | Comment 11 comments

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Comments

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Nice idea

Like the idea, although a scouting report on a guy like Billz may be unnecessary for most hardcore minor-league junkies on here.

In terms of the report itself, I'd prefer a little more "meat" in the "Repertoire" section, but maybe that's just me. You should take a look at Pitch/fx data and maybe incorporate that into your report. Also, you may want to present his stats in sabre-friendly formats, such as K/BB, K/9, and H/9. Last, for the right pitchers, GB and FB rates can be helpful to paint the picture.

All in all, nice idea and a welcome addition to the site. I'll be interested to see the reports on other pitchers.

Keep it up!

Formerly Uncle Charlie of Minor League Ball

by Yakker on Apr 4, 2008 1:46 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Thanks

Thanks for the comments and the feedback. I actually had to write this one based on the "start" against the Giants where he has raining and he was throwing mostly fastballs and only pitched about an inning and a half so I combined that with whatever footage I could find only. Not the best way to do it, but I had to come up with something.

I will try to incorporate more "meat," like how he uses his pitches and in which situations, but I couldn't discern that as well in the rain unfortunately.

I'm looking for a few knowledgeable fans who'd like to join me on Baseball Mastermind, whether you're a scout, a sabermetrician, a journalist or just a die-hard fan. Sign up for an account on BM today.

by Baseball Mastermind on Apr 4, 2008 2:13 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

more starts

watch more starts if the only start you've seen is the weird game against the Giants.

by npurcell on Apr 4, 2008 2:58 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Thanks

I'm actually a Dodgers fan so I've seen him pitch quite a bit, but I took notes on his delivery and the action of his pitches using the rain game and some footage.

I'm looking for a few knowledgeable fans who'd like to join me on Baseball Mastermind, whether you're a scout, a sabermetrician, a journalist or just a die-hard fan. Sign up for an account on BM today.

by Baseball Mastermind on Apr 4, 2008 3:44 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah

Figured that might be the case. I like to watch a guy at least 2-3 times when scouting, because things can vary so much from outing to outing. Although Pitch/Fx data really helps fill in the holes for MLB guys.

BTW, don't know who else is on your to-be-scouted list, but I'm very interested in hearing more about Kuroda. I saw you are a Dodgers fan, so perhaps you have some insight. I have yet to see him pitch. Others MLBers I have yet to see include Jurrjens and Morales.

Formerly Uncle Charlie of Minor League Ball

by Yakker on Apr 4, 2008 4:29 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Kuroda

I was actually planning on watching him tonight and writing that one up as well. I've read some descriptions of Kuroda on Baseball Prospectus and some other sites that I compiled for my site back when the Dodgers picked him up:

http://baseballmastermind.com/baseball/dodgers-sign-hiroki-kuroda-to-3-year-533-million-deal/

I'm looking for a few knowledgeable fans who'd like to join me on Baseball Mastermind, whether you're a scout, a sabermetrician, a journalist or just a die-hard fan. Sign up for an account on BM today.

by Baseball Mastermind on Apr 4, 2008 7:08 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Matt Cain comparison?

I have been comparing Chad Billingsley with Matt Cain for a couple of years now. IIRC they are about the same age, but Matt is a year ahead in experience.

I have rated Cain ahead of Billingsley by the slightest of margins. In some ways they might become almost like bookends. Any team would be delighted to have EITHER of them.

by sharksrog on Apr 4, 2008 4:53 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Very nice report...

just wanted to say "Thanks" - I'm a Billz fan and your report looked good to me!

by almantle on Apr 4, 2008 6:35 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

re:

Good stuff.

Also keep in mind that he does an excellent job scap loading, meaning he loads his arm horizontally (though it's actually loading his shoulder) and timed correctly, he is able to generate a ton of arm speed which obviously helps with velocity.

www.baseball-intellect.com

by NovaO on Apr 4, 2008 10:56 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Interesting

That's something I've never noticed, as I'm unfamiliar with the concept. What is/are the alternatives to scap loading? Example?

I'm looking for a few knowledgeable fans who'd like to join me on Baseball Mastermind, whether you're a scout, a sabermetrician, a journalist or just a die-hard fan. Sign up for an account on BM today.

by Baseball Mastermind on Apr 5, 2008 2:56 PM EDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Great Job

I am a big Billz fan and love this write up. Thanks for all the information!

by King Billy Royal on Apr 6, 2008 1:33 PM EDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

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