Miggy Montero - post hype upside?

by Team Moneyball on Apr 19, 2008 11:45 AM EDT

Hey guys,

Miguel Montero, like other Dback prospects, came up and sputtered. Lots of people blame the easy hitter's parks of the Dback affiliates as to why some of the Arizona guys look a lot better on paper than they actually are.

Miguel came up last year, hit .224 with 10 bombs in 200+ abs. The average stinks but he's shown good contact in the minors and he had a 84% contact rate last year in the majors. The power is excellent for a catcher and is in line with what his prospects were when he was still in the minors.

Do you guys see Montero fitting the classic post-hype prospect bill, coming alive when he finally gets the chance? Or do you see weaknesses in his game that might prevent him from being an everyday regular?

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Platoon catcher

just like he is now. He will probably be traded in the next year or two, will get 250-350 AB with every team he plays for and will hit 20 HR with a .240 AVG. At age 28 or so, a team will give him a full time starting job. He will get 500 AB with 30 HR and a .270/.350/.500 line and will sign with a team for 3 or 4 years. The year after he will hit .240/.320/.420 or around there and stay around there for the rest of his career and will end up platooning again. At age 33, while platooning, he will flash a .300/.380/.550 line with 25 HR, but will still continue to platoon for the rest of his career.

By the end of his career he will have around 240 HR.

by METSMETSMETS on Apr 20, 2008 12:14 PM EDT reply actions