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Community Projection: B.J. Upton

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The community projection for B.J. Upton came out like this:

We had 36 entries. The projection:
147 games, 542 at-bats, 97 runs, 155 hits, 32 doubles, 5 triples, 25 homers, 93 RBI, 72 walks, 143 strikeouts, 30 steals, 10 caught, .286 average, .370 OBP, .502 SLG.

Many projections seemed unrealistically optimistic to me, but the final result looks OK, if still on the aggressive side. Comparisons:

CP: .286/.370/.502
Shandler: .275/.361/.439
James: .276/.362/.452
ZIPS: .278/.363/.452
Weighted Mean PECOTA: .270/.358/.455

The community is optimistic compared to these other projections, esp. in the SLG department. We will see.

                                                                                                                                                                                                               

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